Pakistan’s current account records first surplus since June 2023

In a noteworthy turnaround, Pakistan’s current account, after four consecutive months of deficits, revealed a surplus of $9 million in November 2023. 

This marks a stark contrast to the $157 million deficit recorded in the same month the previous year, as reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday.

This surplus, the first since June 2023, is significantly lower in volume compared to its standing at $520 million. 

Analysts attribute this surplus to a substantial rise in the country’s exports and remittances, coupled with a marginal decline in imports. Worth noting is the previous month’s current account deficit of $184 million in October 2023.

According to SBP data, November 2023 witnessed a 12 per cent surge in the country’s exports (goods and services) to $3.364 billion, compared to $2.999 billion in November 2022. 

Simultaneously, remittances reached $2.25 billion, reflecting a 4 per cent increase from the same month last year. Conversely, total imports saw a nearly 6 per cent reduction to $5.29 billion in November 2023, down from $5.01 billion the previous year.

SBP reports a significant improvement, with Pakistan’s current account deficit for July-November of FY24 standing at $1.16 billion, a remarkable 64 per cent decrease from the $3.3 billion deficit in the same period of the previous fiscal year (FY23).

During its latest Monetary Policy Committee meeting on December 12, the SBP highlighted a notable enhancement in the current account balance, with the deficit narrowing by 65.9 per cent year-on-year to $1.1 billion during Jul-Oct FY24.

This shift is crucial for economically challenged Pakistan, heavily reliant on imports, as a widening deficit exerts pressure on the exchange rate and depletes official foreign exchange reserves, currently standing at slightly over $7 billion according to the latest data.