Tag: bailout package

  • Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Pakistan’s much-anticipated $7 billion bailout package has not yet been scheduled for review by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board, with the agenda extending only until August 30, according to the IMF’s recently released calendar.

    In July, Pakistani authorities and the IMF reached a staff-level agreement, potentially paving the way for a 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) valued at SDR 5,320 million (approximately $7 billion).

    However, this agreement hinges on the approval of the IMF Executive Board, which is contingent upon Pakistan securing necessary financing assurances from its development and bilateral partners.

    The proposed programme is designed to build on the hard-won macroeconomic stability achieved in the past year. It aims to strengthen public finances, reduce inflation, rebuild external reserves, and eliminate economic distortions to foster private sector-led growth.

    Despite five weeks having passed since the staff-level agreement, Pakistan has yet to bridge an external financing gap of up to $5 billion.

    This delay has prevented the country from signing the Letter of Intent (LoI) required to formally request the IMF executive board’s approval of the $7 billion package under the EFF programme.

    The LoI is a critical step in requesting the IMF’s endorsement of the 37-month, $7 billion EFF programme. Without this approval, Pakistan cannot proceed with the much-needed financial support.

  • Pakistan successfully secures final IMF approval for $3 billion bailout

    Pakistan successfully secures final IMF approval for $3 billion bailout

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has officially granted approval to Pakistan for a 9-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) amounting to approximately $3 billion. This decision comes shortly after reaching a staff-level agreement with the country.

    In a statement, the IMF announced, “Today, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a 9-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for Pakistan for an amount of SDR2,250 million (about $3 billion, or 111 percent of quota) to support the authorities’ economic stabilization program.”

    Earlier on the same day, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar confirmed that Pakistan had received $1 billion from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as part of their financial commitment to assist Pakistan in securing the IMF bailout package. During a televised media address, the finance minister stated, “The UAE has deposited the amount into the State Bank account.”

    Additionally, Saudi Arabia had previously deposited $2 billion in the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) account, fulfilling the IMF’s condition to bridge the external financing gap and bolster the country’s foreign reserves. This contribution aims to support the economic stability of Pakistan.

    Pakistan had signed a short-term IMF deal on June 30, under which the country was set to receive $3 billion over nine months, pending approval from the IMF’s board. With the Executive Board’s approval, an immediate disbursement of SDR894 million (approximately $1.2 billion) is authorised, as stated by the IMF.

    The remaining funds will be disbursed in phases throughout the duration of the programme, subject to two quarterly reviews, according to the IMF’s statement. The IMF acknowledges that Pakistan is currently facing a challenging economic situation due to external difficulties, devastating floods, and policy missteps, resulting in significant fiscal and external deficits, rising inflation, and depleted reserve buffers in the fiscal year 2023.

    The IMF sees the new SBA-supported programme as a means to address both domestic and external imbalances and provide a framework for financial support from multilateral and bilateral partners. Pakistan’s successful acquisition of the IMF bailout package was contingent upon implementing difficult economic measures, such as interest rate hikes and tax increases, to fulfill the IMF’s conditions.

  • Countdown to Pakistan’s budget unveiling: Last IMF review holds the key

    Countdown to Pakistan’s budget unveiling: Last IMF review holds the key

    Pakistan is heading towards a crucial phase as it prepares to unveil its budget on June 9, following an arduous bailout negotiation with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). A Fund official revealed that only one board review remains under the current IMF bailout package, which is seen as a step towards a successful review.

    Esther Perez Ruiz, the resident representative for Pakistan at the IMF, emphasised the need to restore the proper functioning of the foreign exchange market to pave the way for the final review.

    Ruiz outlined additional prerequisites, including passing a budget that aligns with the program objectives for the 2023-24 fiscal year, and securing credible financing commitments to address a $6 billion shortfall.

    Experts suggest that the coalition government is striving to strike a delicate balance between satisfying the demands of the IMF and winning over voters in the upcoming general election. Analysts expect the government to announce populist measures in the budget to appease the electorate while aiming to meet IMF prescriptions.

    The IMF program, which concludes this month, has approximately $2.5 billion in funds yet to be released due to ongoing negotiations between Pakistan and the lender. Pakistan’s economy is grappling with severe challenges, including high inflation, fiscal imbalances, and low reserves.

    The government is hoping that the general election scheduled for November will help alleviate the turmoil stemming from a protest campaign led by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) chairman after his removal in a no-confidence vote last year.

    Former finance minister Miftah Ismail stressed the importance of securing IMF funding, highlighting the difficulties Pakistan would face without it. Ismail expressed confidence that the government would present a budget in line with IMF prescriptions to ensure the country’s survival in the next fiscal year.

    A staff-level agreement between Pakistan and the IMF to release $1.1 billion from a $6.5 billion package has been delayed since November, further intensifying the country’s need for funds to avert a balance of payments crisis. Experts believe that even after the current program expires, Pakistan will likely seek another bailout in the upcoming fiscal year to avoid defaulting on its debt obligations.

    Pakistan’s central bank reserves can cover imports for only about a month, underscoring the urgency of securing financial assistance. Inflation in the country, home to 220 million people, has reached a staggering 37.97 per cent in May, marking a record high for the second consecutive month and making it the highest rate in South Asia.

    The planning minister recently announced that development spending targets in the new fiscal year would be set at 1,150 billion rupees ($4.02 billion), while projecting an inflation rate of 21 per cent for the same period. With the general election looming, some analysts anticipate that the government will announce vote-winning measures, even if they have to be scaled back later.

    Pakistan’s budget unveiling tomorrow will be closely watched by the nation, as it not only sets the course for the fiscal year but also represents a crucial step in the ongoing negotiations with the IMF and the government’s efforts to regain stability and boost economic growth.

  • PM Shehbaz urges Finance Ministry to ensure strict adherence to IMF guidelines in upcoming budget

    PM Shehbaz urges Finance Ministry to ensure strict adherence to IMF guidelines in upcoming budget

    In a meeting held between Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif and Finance Minister Ishaq Dar on Tuesday, it was emphasized that the upcoming budget, scheduled to be presented on June 9, should strictly adhere to the parameters set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    PM Shehbaz Sharif has expressed his optimism about reaching an agreement with the IMF, dispelling media reports suggesting a populist budget typically seen in election years.

    An informed source, who was present during the meeting, highlighted that Pakistan cannot afford to deviate from the IMF’s prescribed principles in the budget. The PM’s resolve to adhere to these guidelines was reinforced after his recent telephonic conversation with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva. It was during this conversation that PM Shehbaz Sharif personally appealed to Georgieva to revive the stalled $6.5 billion bailout package.

    The discussion between the PM and the IMF Managing Director took place due to the finance ministry’s inability to break the deadlock over loan talks in the past four months. However, the source disclosed that PM Shehbaz Sharif expressed satisfaction after his conversation with Georgieva, leading to an agreement to share the budget details with the IMF.

    Furthermore, the IMF Managing Director indicated the possibility of a revival of the programme. This positive development prompted PM Shehbaz Sharif to inform the Turkish media during his visit to Ankara that Pakistan remains hopeful of finalising a deal with the IMF this month. He assured that Pakistan had met all the required conditions and that the upcoming budget would align with the terms and conditions set forth by the IMF.

    “We are still very hopeful that the IMF programme will materialise. Our ninth review by the IMF will match all terms and conditions, and hopefully, we’ll have some good news this month,” PM Shehbaz Sharif stated during an interview with Anadolu in Ankara, where he was present for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s inauguration ceremony.

    According to Geo, the PM further clarified that while some actions are typically met after the board’s approval, this time, the IMF insisted on meeting those actions before granting approval. He affirmed that Pakistan has fulfilled these requirements as specified by the IMF.

    As the budget presentation approaches, all eyes are now on the Ministry of Finance, which has been tasked with ensuring strict compliance with IMF parameters. With the PM’s renewed optimism and the positive signals received from the IMF, there is a growing sense of hope that Pakistan will be able to secure the much-needed financial support to address its economic challenges.

    It remains to be seen how the upcoming budget will reflect the government’s commitment to IMF compliance and whether it will lead to a successful conclusion of negotiations with the international financial institution.

  • Saudi Arabia and UAE pledge $3 billion to Pakistan as IMF agreement nears

    Saudi Arabia and UAE pledge $3 billion to Pakistan as IMF agreement nears

    On Monday, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar stated that Pakistan has fulfilled all conditions set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He expressed hope that the IMF would soon sign the staff-level agreement, which would allow for the release of the $1.1 billion tranche.

    Since February, the two parties have been negotiating various conditions and external financing from friendly nations before signing the agreement. Speaking to Geo News, Dar stated that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have informed the IMF of their commitments to provide $3 billion to Pakistan.

    Riyadh has pledged $2 billion, while Abu Dhabi has promised $1 billion. The IMF has also been notified of this, according to Dar. The finance minister emphasized that all conditions for the staff-level agreement have been met, and he expressed optimism that the IMF’s Executive Board would approve it soon.

    The country’s foreign exchange reserves have dwindled to cover barely a month of imports since the IMF funding stalled in November. Pakistan must resume the bailout package, which was agreed upon in 2019 and is worth $6.5 billion, to avoid risking default on external payment obligations.

    Pakistan had to take several steps demanded by the IMF, including reversing subsidies in its power, export, and farming sectors, raising energy and fuel prices, imposing a permanent power surcharge, among other measures.

    These moves have pushed Pakistan’s inflation to its highest level ever, rising to over 35 per cent YoY in March. The IMF programme will disburse another tranche of $1.4 billion to Pakistan before it ends in June, and it will unlock other bilateral and multilateral financing for the cash-strapped country.

    In recent weeks, neighbouring China has rolled over $2 billion and refinanced another $1.3 billion.

  • Pakistan’s sustainable policy framework crucial to avoid default risk, says IMF

    Pakistan’s sustainable policy framework crucial to avoid default risk, says IMF

    Whilst serving as Finance Minister, Ishaq Dar has repeatedly assured the public that Pakistan has not defaulted and will not do so in the future. Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), has endorsed Dar’s views and stated that Pakistan has not yet reached the level of default.

    Speaking at a news conference during the spring meeting of Breton Wood Institutions at the Fund’s headquarters in Washington, Georgieva said that the Fund was seeking confirmation from international partners to meet Pakistan’s financing gap requirements. Responding to a question about Pakistan’s looming default risk, she stated that the country had not yet reached that level, but required a sustainable policy framework to avert such risks.

    Georgieva emphasized that the lender has been working closely with the authorities in Pakistan, within the context of the current programme, to ensure that the country has the policy framework in place to prevent reaching the point of unsustainable debt. Pakistan has less than a month’s worth of foreign exchange reserves and is awaiting a $1.1 billion bailout package from the IMF that has been delayed since November due to issues related to fiscal policy adjustments.

    Georgieva expressed hope that, with the goodwill of all parties involved and the implementation of what has already been agreed upon by the Pakistan authorities, the current programme can be completed successfully. Islamabad is required to provide assurance that its balance of payments deficit is fully financed for the fiscal year ending in June in order to unlock the next tranche of IMF funding.

    During the IMF-World Bank spring meetings, Dar attended via Zoom from Islamabad with IMF Deputy Managing Director Antoinette Moniso Sayeh. Sources report that Sayeh stated that Pakistan has yet to meet its external financing gap of $6 billion, of which $3 billion would need to be financed before striking a staff-level agreement.

    At this point, the State Bank of Pakistan’s Jameel Ahmed, who is presently in Washington, reportedly told participants that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) had shared a draft agreement for the provision of an additional $1 billion deposit to meet the requirement for signing the staff-level agreement. A top official expressed hope that the UAE deposit would be confirmed shortly and suggested that it may be confirmed as early as next week.

    Regarding the cross-fuel subsidy, the IMF was informed that it was only an idea floated by a relevant ministry and would be implemented only after an agreement on the salient features of the scheme. The Pakistani authorities agreed with the IMF that the scheme appeared good on paper but its transparent implementation would be challenging.

  • Pakistan to receive written guarantee from UAE for $1 billion loan

    Pakistan to receive written guarantee from UAE for $1 billion loan

    Pakistan is making progress towards securing a loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with a $1 billion financing pledge from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) expected this week. Sources suggest that the UAE will provide written confirmation of the financing to the IMF through the Finance Secretary during the current annual meeting in Washington.

    To secure external financing for this fiscal year, the IMF has asked Pakistan to seek assurances from friendly countries and multilateral partners for funding its balance of payment gap. In addition to Saudi Arabia’s $2 billion pledge, the agreement with the IMF is also contingent on the UAE’s $1 billion commitment.

    According to sources within the Ministry of Finance, the UAE has finalised the agreement, and as soon as Pakistan receives a written guarantee from the Gulf state, the IMF will also be informed. This development follows requests from Pakistan’s Prime Minister and Finance Minister to UAE officials to complete the necessary prerequisites for the Fund.

    Pakistan is currently facing one of the most severe economic crises in its history, with consumer prices at a record high and interest rates raised to an all-time high. Due to a dollar shortage, the IMF has revised its growth forecast for Pakistan to 0.5% from the earlier estimate of 2%, causing supply chain disruptions and companies to halt production.

    The IMF is also assessing the coalition government’s proposed fuel discount for lower-income groups, which is planned to be financed by raising fuel prices for wealthier motorists. The finance minister has assured that the IMF has received all the required information.

    The finance minister had cancelled his scheduled in-person meetings with IMF officials in Washington but has repeatedly claimed that the staff-level agreement with the lender would be reached soon. Islamabad has been hosting an IMF mission since January to negotiate policy measures and secure $1.1 billion in funding for the cash-strapped economy, which is on the verge of collapse.

    The funds are part of a $6.5 billion bailout package approved by the IMF in 2019, which analysts argue is crucial for Pakistan to avoid defaulting on external payment obligations. The deal will also unlock other financing options to shore up Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves, which have fallen to four weeks’ worth of import cover and help resolve the balance of payment crisis.

  • Pakistan’s hopes for IMF agreement rise as Saudi Arabia confirms $2 billion in additional deposits

    Pakistan’s hopes for IMF agreement rise as Saudi Arabia confirms $2 billion in additional deposits

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has informed Pakistan that Saudi Arabia has confirmed $2 billion in additional deposits, which has rekindled hopes of an early agreement signing. Since January, Islamabad has been negotiating with the IMF for the release of $1.1 billion from a $6.5 billion bailout package that was agreed upon in 2019.

    To unlock the funding, the Pakistani government has cut back on subsidies, removed an artificial cap on the exchange rate, added taxes, and raised fuel prices. However, assurances from friendly nations for additional funds have delayed the agreement.

    The lender has informed Pakistani authorities of the development and the Fund staff is reportedly satisfied with the latest confirmation. The report states that the Saudi authorities are set to make a public announcement, possibly during the upcoming visit of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to the kingdom.

    The Saudi envoy in Pakistan had also hinted in a recent interview that his country had always supported Pakistan in critical situations and that good news would be shared soon. The sources have stated that all eyes are focused on the UAE for getting confirmation on another $1 billion deposit from them, which may pave the way for striking the staff-level agreement (SLA) with the IMF.

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar is expected to visit UAE on his way to the US where he will hold talks on the release of funds. However, there is still another stumbling block in the way of signing the SLA with the IMF. The Ministry of Petroleum, in consultation with the PM Office, had announced an unplanned cross-fuel subsidy for owners of motorcycles and cars up to 800cc, which needs to be scrapped at this stage.

    The government has not yet withdrawn the proposed cross-fuel subsidy, which cannot be implemented in a half-baked manner. Such schemes were considered in the past during the tenure of former finance minister Shaukat Tarin and even during the era of the PDM-led government when Miftah Ismail had the charge of the Ministry of Finance.

    Even Miftah Ismail had allocated Rs48 billion on the eve of the last budget in the name of Sasta Petrol, but it could not be implemented because such schemes could not be designed properly. The announcement of a half-baked cross-fuel subsidy had provided an excuse to the IMF for delaying the SLA signing, as they were still raising questions for getting more details to ascertain how the scheme was going to be implemented in a transparent manner.

  • Pakistan’s nuclear program not linked to loan negotiations, says IMF representative

    Pakistan’s nuclear program not linked to loan negotiations, says IMF representative

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has refuted allegations that it imposed any conditions on the revival of a loan program that had been suspended for several months despite ongoing discussions between the two parties.

    Pakistan has been in discussions with the IMF since early February to negotiate the terms of the deal, which includes the adoption of policies aimed at addressing its fiscal deficit ahead of the annual budget in June. The funds are part of a $6.5 billion bailout package that the IMF approved in 2019, and which experts believe is critical for Pakistan to avoid defaulting on its external debt obligations.

    The delay in reaching a staff-level agreement with the IMF had prompted veteran politicians, Senator Raza Rabbani and former foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi, to express concerns about whether the delay was due to the country’s strategic assets, including its nuclear and missile programs. They have called on the government to clarify this issue.

    In response, IMF resident representative in Islamabad, Esther Perez Ruiz, released a statement on Sunday denying any involvement in Pakistan’s nuclear program, stating that there was “absolutely no truth” to the rumors that program discussions with the authorities may have covered the issue.

    Ruiz further clarified that the discussions had focused exclusively on economic policies aimed at resolving Pakistan’s economic and balance of payments problems, in line with the Fund’s mandate for promoting macroeconomic and financial stability.

  • Pakistan accepts IMF pre-condition to increase interest rate by 2%

    Pakistan accepts IMF pre-condition to increase interest rate by 2%

    Pakistan has agreed to increase its policy (interest) rate by two percent or 200 basis points, as a pre-condition for the release of $1.1 billion in critical funding from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The funding is part of a $6.5 billion bailout package.

    The increase is based on rates set by the government in an auction to raise domestic debt and will push the interest rate to 19 per cent. This is just below the previous record of 19.5 per cent set in October 1996.

    Sources from the Ministry of Finance stated that there had been technical-level discussions between Islamabad and the IMF review mission and that it was expected that Islamabad would increase the interest rate by two percent. Most of the pre-conditions set by the IMF had been fulfilled, according to these sources.

    Sources also indicated that discussions on some issues related to the power sector were in the final stages, after which a staff-level agreement with the IMF would be reached. Additionally, Pakistan provided a detailed briefing to IMF officials on the sources of foreign exchange until June.