Tag: Economic Trends

  • Weekly inflation inches down, yearly SPI surges

    Weekly inflation inches down, yearly SPI surges

    The Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the Combined Group saw a slight dip of 0.09 per cent week over week (WoW) for the week ending March 28, 2024.

    However, compared to the same period last year, the SPI surged by 29.41 per cent, as revealed by data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

    The Combined Index stood at 323.20, a slight decrease from 323.50 the previous week, while it was considerably higher at 249.75 a year ago.

    Among the 51 items monitored, prices of 04 (7.84 per cent) items increased, 18 (35.30 per cent) items decreased, and 29 (56.86 per cent) items remained stable during the week.

    Notable decreases were observed in the prices of Tomatoes (12.04 per cent), Wheat Flour (3.80 per cent), Garlic (2.59 per cent), LPG (2.42 per cent), and Wheat (2.09 per cent).

    Conversely, significant increases were noted in the prices of Chicken (4.92 per cent), Eggs (1.61 per cent), Shirting (0.56 per cent), and Rice Irri 6/9 (0.15 per cent).

    The weekly SPI percentage change across all income groups indicated a decrease, ranging between -0.03 per cent and -0.27 per cent.

    The lowest income group experienced the most significant weekly fall of 0.27 per cent, while the highest income group saw a decrease of 0.03 per cent.

    On a yearly basis, SPI increased across all income segments, ranging between 22.15 per cent and 33.5 per cent.

    The Lowest Income Group recorded a 22.15 per cent increase, while the highest income group saw a rise of 26.58 per cent.

    In terms of specific commodities, the average price of Sona urea stood at Rs4,828 per 50 kg bag, marking a marginal decrease of 0.02 per cent compared to last week, yet reflecting a significant increase of 69.56 per cent compared to last year.

    Meanwhile, the average Cement price was recorded at Rs1,220 per 50 kg bag, showing a slight decrease of 0.06 per cent compared to the previous week but an increase of 8.47 per cent compared to prices last year.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves dip by $173 million, SBP cites debt repayments

    Pakistan’s forex reserves dip by $173 million, SBP cites debt repayments

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has reported a decrease of $173 million in its foreign exchange reserves on a weekly basis, revealing a total of $8.04 billion as of February 2, according to data released on Thursday.

    The country’s overall liquid foreign reserves are reported to stand at $13.09 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves amounting to $5.05 billion.

    The SBP has identified debt repayments as the primary factor contributing to the decline in reserves. In an official statement, the SBP stated, “During the week ending on 2-Feb-2024, SBP’s reserves decreased by US$ 173 million to US$ 8,044.0 million due to debt repayments.”

    This follows a trend from the previous week when Pakistan’s central bank reserves experienced a decrease of $54 million. The ongoing challenges related to debt servicing continue to impact the nation’s foreign exchange reserves.

  • Reversal trend: Gold price settles at Rs216,100 per tola, erasing recent upsurge

    Reversal trend: Gold price settles at Rs216,100 per tola, erasing recent upsurge

    In Wednesday’s trading session, the domestic gold market witnessed a reversal, wiping out gains from the previous day. 

    The price of 24-karat gold in Pakistan experienced a notable decline, dropping by Rs300 per tola to reach Rs216,100. 

    The Karachi Sarafa Association reported that the price of 10-gramme 24-karat gold also reflected this downturn, standing at Rs185,271 with a decline of Rs257. 

    Similarly, the price of 10-gramme 22-karat gold experienced a decrease, reaching Rs169,832, down by Rs235.

    Silver prices followed suit, with 24-karat silver selling at Rs 2,650 per tola and Rs 2,271.94 per 10-gram. 

    The decline in the domestic market is attributed to a slight dip in international prices and the persistent strengthening of the home currency.

    The international spot gold market observed a $3 drop when the Karachi Sarafa Association released the local gold rates. 

    This decrease is attributed to a stronger US dollar and elevated Treasury yields. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the US inflation report scheduled for Thursday, anticipating insights into the US Federal Reserve’s stance on a potential policy shift.

    Furthermore, the ongoing appreciation of the Pakistani rupee (PKR) against the greenback continues to exert additional pressure on the domestic gold market. 

    In the preceding session, the PKR secured its fifth consecutive victory against the US dollar, breaking a 13-day upside streak. 

    The dynamics of international and domestic factors are shaping the trajectory of the gold market, making it a focal point for investors and analysts alike.

  • Gold prices in Pakistan kick off 2024 with decline, hitting Rs219,700 per tola

    Gold prices in Pakistan kick off 2024 with decline, hitting Rs219,700 per tola

    On the inaugural day of 2024, gold prices experienced a downturn in Pakistan.

    The precious metal, colloquially referred to as the yellow metal, was valued at Rs219,700 per tola following a decline of Rs300 in Pakistani gold market on Monday. 

    In terms of 10 grammes, gold was traded at Rs188,357, reflecting a decrease of Rs258, as reported by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA). 

    Notably, this came after a Rs900 per tola decrease in gold prices on the preceding Saturday.

    Concurrently, the global gold rate exhibited stability at $2,082 per ounce on Monday, with an additional $20 premium per ounce, according to APGJSA. 

    In the realm of silver, rates held steady at Rs2,680 per tola in Pakistan.

  • Second consecutive decline: Gold price drops by Rs900 per tola in Pakistani markets

    Second consecutive decline: Gold price drops by Rs900 per tola in Pakistani markets

    Gold sustained its downward trend for the second consecutive session on Saturday, experiencing a decline of Rs900 per tola in the Pakistani gold market.

    The price of one tola gold was established at Rs220,000, and the 10-gramme gold recorded a sale at Rs188,615, reflecting a decrease of Rs771.

    These figures were provided by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA).

    In comparison, Friday witnessed a decrease of Rs1,900 per tola in gold rates in Pakistan. This local downturn aligns with the global moderation observed in the price of gold.

    The international rate of gold, marked by a $20 premium, was set at $2,082 per ounce on Saturday, following an $8 dip in the international market, according to APGJSA.

    In contrast, silver rates in Pakistan remained stable at Rs2,680 per tola.

    Reflecting on the broader trend, the year 2023 saw a noteworthy 20 per cent increase in gold prices in Pakistan, with the price per tola reaching around Rs184,000 by the end of 2022.

    The pinnacle of gold rates in 2023 occurred on September 2, recording Rs242,700 per tola, while the lowest point in the year was noted on October 4 at Rs188,400 per tola, based on APGJSA data.

  • Gold price in Pakistan registers Rs2,200 per tola single-day surge

    Gold price in Pakistan registers Rs2,200 per tola single-day surge

    On Thursday, the price of gold in Pakistan once again saw an upward trend, mirroring the global surge in rates. 

    The valued yellow metal reached Rs222,800 per tola in the domestic market, marking a noteworthy single-day gain of Rs2,200. 

    The 10-gramme gold, as reported by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA), was traded at Rs191,015 following an increase of Rs1,886.

    This escalation follows a Rs1,000 per tola rise in gold prices in Pakistan on the preceding Wednesday. 

    Internationally, gold prices experienced a $20 increment, reaching $2,105 per ounce (with a premium of $20), as highlighted by APGJSA. 

    Concurrently, silver rates remained constant at Rs2,680 per tola in the local market.

  • PSX faces record single-day plunge, shedding 2,534 points 

    PSX faces record single-day plunge, shedding 2,534 points 

    On Tuesday, Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 index experienced a significant downturn, plummeting by 2,534 points, or 4.11 per cent, culminating in a closure at 59,171—a record for the largest single-day drop in absolute points. 

    Since its zenith on December 13, the index has incurred a substantial loss of 7,923 points, reflecting an 11.81 per cent decline.

    The market correction intensified during today’s session, attributed to pronounced selling pressures in the final week of the year, compounded by prevailing political uncertainty. 

    In the latest session, the index showcased a wide trading range of 2,607.74 points, registering an intraday high of 61,634.55 (down by 70.54 points) and a low of 59,026.81 (down by 2,678.28 points). The total volume of the KSE-100 index reached 396.481 million shares.

    Within Tuesday’s session, 5 out of the 100 index companies closed higher, 91 closed lower, 1 remained unchanged, and 3 were untraded. 

    The decline of the KSE-100 index was particularly influenced by sectors such as oil and gas exploration companies (-508.87 points), commercial banks (-386.15 points), power generation and distribution (-271.96 points), cement (-211.88 points), and fertiliser (-194.77 points).

  • Weekly inflation in Pakistan remains above 40% for sixth consecutive week

    Weekly inflation in Pakistan remains above 40% for sixth consecutive week

    In the week concluding on December 21, weekly inflation exhibited a marginal easing but persisted above 40 per cent for the sixth consecutive week. 

    Official data released for this week highlighted heightened consumer costs for eggs, firewood, and pulses. 

    The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) revealed a 0.51 per cent decline in the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) from the previous week, attributed to lower prices of potatoes, petrol, diesel, tomatoes, and sugar.

    Despite this reduction, the SPI inflation rate remained notably high at 43.16 per cent, surpassing last year’s figure of 42.68 per cent for the same week. 

    This elevated inflation has adversely impacted the purchasing power of consumers, particularly those in lower and middle-income brackets. 

    The decline in SPI was driven by significant drops in the prices of potatoes (13.17 per cent), petrol (4.97 per cent), diesel (4.68 per cent), tomatoes (3.45 per cent), sugar (1.16 per cent), and other essential items.

    Conversely, considerable increases were observed in the prices of eggs (10.4 per cent), firewood (1.23 per cent), onions (1.19 per cent), and various pulses. 

    Out of the 51 essential items in the SPI, 35.29 per cent experienced price increases, 17.65 per cent saw decreases, and 47.06 per cent remained stable during the week.

    ConsumeRsin the lowest income bracket, earning up to Rs17,732 per month, faced a substantial SPI inflation rate of 35.13 per cent. 

    Meanwhile, the higher-income group, spending more than Rs44,175 per month, encountered an even higher SPI inflation rate of 40.93 per cent. 

    The middle quintile, ranging from Rs22,889 to Rs29,517, experienced a weekly inflation rate of 46.46 per cent.

    Various consumer goods displayed a mix of price increases, decreases, and stability, as indicated by the latest PBS data. 

    Notably, the price of a dozen eggs rose by 10.42 per cent, reaching Rs388.7, while firewood’s 40kg bundle increased by 1.23 per cent, totaling Rs1146. 

    Onion prices rose by 1.2 per cent, and various pulses witnessed increases.

    In contrast, potato prices per kilogramme dropped significantly by 13.17 per cent, reaching Rs76.8/kg, and petrol recorded a decrease of 4.97 per cent per litre, settling at Rs268.41. Hi-Speed Diesel also saw a decline of 4.68 per cent, reaching Rs277.29 per litre. 

    Tomatoes and refined sugar experienced decreases of 3.45 per cent and 1.16 per cent, respectively.

    Several essential commodities, including bread, beef, mutton, and various household items, maintained stable prices during the week with no significant fluctuations.

  • Gold price in Pakistan dips to Rs218,000 per tola

    Gold price in Pakistan dips to Rs218,000 per tola

    In a reversal of its recent upward trend, the price of gold in Pakistan saw a decline on Thursday, with the value of 24-karat gold dropping by Rs500 per tola and settling at Rs218,000.

    According to the Karachi Sarafa Association, the closing price for 10-gramme 24-karat gold in today’s session was recorded at Rs186,900, indicating a loss of Rs428.

    Additionally, the price of 10-gramme 22-karat gold stood at Rs171,325.

    Meanwhile, silver prices remained unchanged in the domestic market, with 24-karat silver and 10-gramme 24-karat silver concluding at Rs2,650 and Rs2,271.94, respectively.

    This decline in gold prices follows three consecutive sessions of steady increases, aligning with the continuous uptick in international gold prices.

    However, today’s downturn is attributed to a drop in global gold prices and the relative strengthening of the Pakistani rupee (PKR).

    The international spot gold market experienced a decrease of approximately $8.5 in the previous session, driven by a rebound in the U.S. dollar.

    Presently, spot gold is trading at $2,037.14, marking a 0.25% increase for the day as the dollar faces renewed pressure.

    Despite the gains observed today, they are not substantial enough to offset yesterday’s decline, resulting in an overall loss for the local bullion market.

    The market remains sensitive to fluctuations in both international gold prices and the strength of the Pakistani rupee.

  • Gold price surges to Rs218,500 per tola amid global uptick

    Gold price surges to Rs218,500 per tola amid global uptick

    In the latest update on the precious metals market, the cost of gold in Pakistan has witnessed a consistent upward trend for the third consecutive week, culminating in a settling price of Rs218,500 per tola on Wednesday.

    According to data released by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Association (APGJA), the rate of 24-karat gold experienced a notable surge, increasing by Rs900 per tola, reaching the current benchmark of Rs218,500.

    Simultaneously, the price for 10 grammes saw a rise of Rs771, now standing at Rs187,328.

    This surge in gold prices is a continuation of the trend observed earlier in the week, when prices increased by Rs400 twice.. This cumulative rise over the week amounts to Rs1,700 per tola, following a similar trend from the previous week when the precious metal’s price escalated by Rs1,200 per tola.

    Internationally, spot gold exhibited a modest 0.1 percent increase, reaching $2,042.10 per ounce as of 0729 GMT.

    Concurrently, US gold futures recorded a 0.2 percent uptick, settling at $2,055.90.

    These global market dynamics further contribute to the evolving landscape of gold prices, adding nuances to the economic outlook both domestically and abroad.