Tag: Economic Woes

  • Pakistan grapples with 23% surge in power generation costs amidst economic woes

    Pakistan grapples with 23% surge in power generation costs amidst economic woes

    In a startling development, the cost of power generation in Pakistan has surged by a staggering 23 per cent in January 2024, compared to the same period last year, reports the brokerage house Topline Securities.

    The average cost per kilowatt-hour (KWh) soared to Rs13.8, marking a significant increase from Rs11.20/KWh recorded in January 2023.

    The substantial hike in costs is attributed primarily to elevated expenses in power generation from gas and nuclear sources, which witnessed a spike of 43 per cent and 24 per cent, respectively, on a yearly basis. Moreover, the fuel cost for furnace oil (FO) also surged by 22 per cent year-on-year, according to data from Topline Securities.

    This surge comes as a severe blow to the populace, which is already grappling with high inflation and sluggish economic activity. Rising electricity bills have compounded the financial burden on citizens.

    In terms of power generation, Pakistan witnessed a marginal decline of over 2 per cent in January 2024 compared to the same period last year, with total generation amounting to 8,313 GWh (11,175 MW).

    The decline in power generation was predominantly due to a decrease in coal-based generation, which plummeted by 20 per cent year-on-year. Gas and wind power generation also witnessed declines of 10 per cent and 55 per cent, respectively.

    However, there was a 9 per cent increase in power generation on a monthly basis, indicating some fluctuation in the generation patterns.

    Coal emerged as the primary source of power generation in January 2024, constituting 23.4 per cent of the total generation mix, surpassing nuclear and RLNG (re-gasified liquid natural gas). Nuclear energy accounted for 20.8 per cent of the overall generation, while RLNG contributed 18.2 per cent.

    Renewable sources like wind, bagasse, and solar collectively made up a modest portion of the generation mix, indicating a potential for further development and investment in sustainable energy solutions.

    Overall, the surge in power generation costs coupled with a slight decline in generation highlights the challenges facing Pakistan’s energy sector and underscores the need for strategic measures to ensure an affordable and sustainable power supply in the country.

  • Pakistan faces worsening financial woes as state-owned enterprises suffer losses

    Pakistan faces worsening financial woes as state-owned enterprises suffer losses

    Interim Prime Minister (PM) Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar conveyed on Wednesday that Pakistan is grappling with financial challenges, exacerbated by the continuous losses incurred by state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

    The PM presided over a high-level meeting specifically addressing the issues plaguing Pakistan International Airlines (PIA). 

    During this meeting, comprehensive briefings were presented on various aspects of PIA’s operations.

    Key figures, including Caretaker Minister for Privatisation Fawad Hassan Fawad, Adviser to the Prime Minister Ahad Cheema, and other relevant authorities, were in attendance.

    PM Kakar articulated his concerns regarding the protracted decision-making process concerning PIA’s issues.

    He highlighted the urgency of expediting the privatisation of PIA and other state-owned enterprises that are incurring losses, highlighting that these financial setbacks should not be shouldered by the public through tax money.

    PM Kakar underscored that reforming the aviation sector could lead to improved services for the public.

    Furthermore, he stressed the importance of transparency in the privatisation process and the need to assign responsibility for the losses to facilitate corrective actions and prevent further financial setbacks.

    The meeting received updates on PIA’s financial situation and the progress of its privatisation process.

    The PM directed that the privatisation of the national flag carrier be expedited to relieve the burden on the national treasury.

  • Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dip to $3.91 billion amid IMF agreement delay

    Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dip to $3.91 billion amid IMF agreement delay

    In a challenging turn of events for Pakistan’s economy, the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) have plummeted to $3.91 billion.

    The decline in reserves is primarily attributed to external debt payments, coinciding with the expiration of the country’s International Monetary Fund (IMF) program, which has been stalled for several months.

    The SBP announced on Thursday that the reserves decreased by $179 million during the week ending on June 2, leaving the country with barely enough coverage for controlled imports for just one month.

    Commercial banks, on the other hand, are holding net foreign reserves worth $5.42 billion, $1.51 billion more than the central bank. Consequently, Pakistan’s total foreign reserves stand at $9.3 billion as of June 2.

    This marks the sixth consecutive weekly drop in foreign exchange reserves for Pakistan, signaling a lack of progress in securing external financing. Political instability has played a significant role in the deteriorating economy, and the country has yet to secure much-needed funding to avert the risk of default.

    Pakistan’s $350 billion economy is currently in turmoil due to financial woes and the delay in reaching an agreement with the IMF. The pending agreement would release crucial funds that are essential for stabilizing the economy.

    The government has been engaged in discussions with the IMF since the end of January to resume a $1.1 billion loan tranche, which has been on hold since November 2022. This loan is part of a larger $6.5 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreed upon in 2019.

    Earlier today, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar revealed that the coalition government has shared its budget numbers with the IMF, aiming to unlock the ninth review.

    He expressed confidence that there are “no issues in the numbers.” Pakistan’s government faces significant pressure from the IMF to implement stringent fiscal measures and unlock the final tranche of a vital bailout package.

    To meet the IMF’s requirements, Pakistan must eliminate subsidies in sectors such as energy, allow the rupee to float against the US dollar, increase taxes and duties, and impose import restrictions. These measures are seen as crucial steps toward stabilising the economy and securing external funding.

    The future of Pakistan’s economy hinges on successful negotiations with the IMF and the implementation of effective economic reforms.

    The government must address political instability and work towards regaining the confidence of international lenders to alleviate the financial strains on the country.

  • Gas and cigarette prices push Pakistan’s weekly inflation to 41%

    Gas and cigarette prices push Pakistan’s weekly inflation to 41%

    According to official data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), Pakistan’s weekly inflation has remained high, with an increase of 2.78 per cent week-on-week and 41.54 per cent year-on-year for the seven-day period that ended on February 23.

    The latest figures of the Sensitive Price Index (SPI) reveal that the rise is due to an increase in gas prices for Q1 (108.38 per cent), cigarettes (76.45 per cent), bananas (6.67 per cent), chicken (5.27 per cent), sugar (3.37 per cent), cooking oil 5 litre (3.07 per cent), vegetable ghee 2.5kg (2.79 per cent), vegetable ghee 1kg (2.20 per cent) and prepared tea (1.09 per cent).

    The government of Pakistan almost doubled the gas charges for up to 3.3719 mmBtu to secure the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) approval for the $1.1 billion tranche out of the $6.5 billion bailout package under the Extended Fund Facility. Previously, the rate was Rs147.57, which now stands at Rs295.

    The PBS attributes the YoY increase in SPI to the rise in prices of onions (372.03 per cent), cigarettes (164.71 per cent), gas charges for Q1 (108.38 per cent), chicken (85.65 per cent), diesel (81.36 per cent), eggs (75.81 per cent), rice irri-6/9 (75.41 per cent), rice basmati broken (74.16 per cent), bananas (72.22 per cent), pulse moong (70.39 per cent), petrol (69.87 per cent), tea (62.76 per cent), pulse gram (57.02 per cent), bread (55.36 per cent), pulse mash (53.90 per cent) and LPG (52.59 per cent). However, there was a decrease in the prices of tomatoes (67.93 per cent), chilli powder (7.42 per cent) and electricity charges for Q1 (6.64 per cent).

    Analysts had predicted that inflationary pressures would intensify due to tax measures and adjustments in electricity, petroleum and gas prices made by the government to unlock the IMF programme.

    Consumers have been facing the burden of rising prices of essential kitchen items, particularly edibles. The average price of 1kg broiler chicken was Rs469.81 during the week under review compared to Rs446.29 last week. For the groups spending up to Rs17,732; Rs17,733-22,888; Rs22,889-29,517; Rs29,518-44,175; and above Rs44,175; WoW SPI increased 2.42, 2.86, 2.32, 2.18, and 3.10 per cent respectively.

    The YoY SPI for the expenditure groups went up 37.81, 39.80, 40.95, 41.94, and 42.98 per cent respectively. For the week under review, SPI was recorded at 241.29 points against 234.77 points registered last week and 170.47 points recorded during the week ended February 24, 2022.