Tag: EXCHANGE RATE

  • Pakistani rupee sets new record, falls to Rs307.10 per US dollar 

    Pakistani rupee sets new record, falls to Rs307.10 per US dollar 

    In the interbank market on Tuesday, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued to weaken against the US dollar, losing PKR 1.4569 (0.48 per cent) on a day-over-day basis and ending the session at PKR 307.0996 per US dollar.

    On Monday, the Pakistani rupee experienced a slight decline against the US dollar, settling at Rs305.64 in the interbank market.

    The government has not yet finalised relief measures for the surging electricity bills of consumers, primarily due to disagreement between the federal government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding the provided data.

    On the international front, the US dollar remained strong on Tuesday, while the Australian dollar faced some pressure. Traders were closely monitoring the Reserve Bank of Australia’s upcoming interest rate decision, speculating that interest rates may have reached their peak.

  • Petrol and diesel prices expected to surpass Rs300 per litre this week

    As global oil rates surge and the rupee’s value against the US dollar weakens, there are growing indications that petrol and diesel prices in Pakistan could soon breach the significant Rs300 mark. The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) is reportedly contemplating recommending a substantial increase in petroleum product prices for the upcoming fortnight, in an attempt to address the challenges posed by these economic dynamics.

    Sources indicate that if the proposal is approved, petrol prices might experience a sharp upswing of around Rs12 per litre, while diesel could see an even more substantial increase of Rs14.83 per litre. These potential hikes, set to take effect from September 1, 2023, have sparked concerns about their impact on the already high inflation rate, which currently stands at 28 per cent.

    A senior official from the Energy Ministry has expressed apprehensions regarding the potential consequences of these price adjustments. Balancing the need to mitigate citizens’ financial burdens with the demands of existing agreements, the government is grappling with a challenging decision. Notably, any attempt to counteract the price hikes could put the caretaker government in a precarious situation, as it might be perceived as a default on the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) stipulations tied to a $3 billion standby agreement (SBA) loan.

    The depreciation of the rupee against the dollar has further fueled the need for these adjustments. With the dollar’s value reaching Rs301.75 in the interbank market and around Rs319 in the open market, the impact on petroleum prices is undeniable. The authorities have decided to recalibrate their calculations, opting for a dollar rate of Rs299 to account for the recent Rs12 exchange rate impact.

    Beyond the exchange rate, the recent surge in LC (letter of credit) confirmation charges, marked by a 10 per cent increase, has also played a role in pushing petroleum prices upwards. These charges have contributed to the overall increase in the cost of PSO (Pakistan State Oil) petroleum products. Presently, Mogas (motor gasoline) is priced at Rs290.45 per litre; however, this could rise by Rs12 per litre if the recommendations are greenlit. Similarly, the price of HSD (high-speed diesel) might surge from Rs293.40 per litre to Rs308.23 per litre, assuming the proposed Rs14.83 increase goes into effect.

    According to The News, of particular concern is the potential hike in diesel prices, given its primary use in powering heavy transport vehicles, trains, and various agricultural engines. This ripple effect could raise the cost of essential commodities, putting pressure on consumers’ wallets. 

    On the other hand, a surge in petrol prices would directly affect private transportation, rickshaws, two-wheelers, and small vehicles, disproportionately impacting the budgets of middle and lower-middle-class citizens. The impending decision on petroleum prices presents a delicate challenge for the government, requiring a careful balance between economic realities, inflation concerns, and public sentiment.

  • Pakistani rupee’s fall continues, settles at new record low of Rs301 against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee’s fall continues, settles at new record low of Rs301 against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee continued its unsettling descent, marking a fresh all-time low against the US dollar, with a settlement at Rs301 in the inter-bank market on Friday. As reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the local currency reached the 301 mark, experiencing a decline of Re0.78 or 0.26 per cent.

    On the preceding day, the rupee concluded at a historic low against the US dollar, reaching a settlement of Rs300.22.

    On the global front, the US dollar achieved its highest position in over two months on Friday, poised for its sixth consecutive week of gains, as financial markets eagerly awaited a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to gain insights into the trajectory of monetary policy.

    The dollar index, a measure of the US dollar’s strength against six other major currencies, witnessed a 0.019 per cent increase, reaching 104.11, the highest level since June 7. With a 2 per cent increase in August, the index is poised to end its two-month losing streak.

    Oil prices, a pivotal gauge of currency equilibrium, surged by over 1 per cent on Friday due to the firming of the dollar, as anticipation built ahead of a highly awaited speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve. This speech is expected to provide insights into the future of interest rates.

  • US dollar surges by Rs1.90, closes at Rs279.80 against Pakistani rupee

    US dollar surges by Rs1.90, closes at Rs279.80 against Pakistani rupee

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan, the US dollar demonstrated further appreciation against the Pakistani rupee in the interbank market on Monday.

    The American currency gained Rs1.90 against the local currency, closing at a rate of Rs279.80, compared to the previous day’s closing rate of Rs277.90.

    Concurrently, in the open market, the dollar is being traded at Rs283. It is noteworthy that the Pakistani rupee had experienced a gain of Rs10.58 over the course of last week.

    Anticipating future trends, Malik Bostan, the President of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP), expressed his belief that the value of the dollar will continue to decrease in the upcoming days.

    Furthermore, the price of gold in Pakistan also experienced a slight increase at the beginning of the week, corresponding to the devaluation of the rupee against the dollar.

    As per the data released by the All-Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of 24-carat gold rose by Rs800 per tola and Rs686 per 10 grammes, reaching Rs209,000 and Rs179,184 respectively.

  • Pakistani rupee closes at Rs277.41 as US dollar recovers by nearly Rs2 in interbank trade

    Pakistani rupee closes at Rs277.41 as US dollar recovers by nearly Rs2 in interbank trade

    The US dollar appears to have bounced back on Wednesday at the opening of interbank trade, as it gained 31 paisas. The American currency closed at Rs277.41 after gaining Rs1.97 against the local unit. The dollar was exchanged for Rs275.75 at the start of the trading session on Wednesday.

    However, later the greenback gained even more value with Rs1.31 in interbank trade and was being traded at Rs276.75. In just a short while, the currency gained even more strength with Rs1.56 and was traded at Rs277.

    Owing to the strengthening of the dollar in the interbank trade, the currency’s value stopped falling in the open market also. Its value remained stable at Rs280 in the open market. On Tuesday, the greenback had lost a massive Rs10 in the interbank market.

    On the other hand, the Pakistan Stock Exchange continued its bullish trend. The shares of energy, oil and gas, and refinery companies were shared in the market.

    The stock exchange retained its limit of 44,000 points on Wednesday morning. The KSE-100 index rose with 472 points to 44,030 points. At the start of the trading session, the index gained 200 points to reach 43,770 points.

  • Pakistani rupee gains Rs15 versus US dollar during intraday trade

    Pakistani rupee gains Rs15 versus US dollar during intraday trade

    In the aftermath of securing last-minute funding from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Pakistani rupee exhibited a substantial gain of Rs15 against the US dollar in the interbank market on Tuesday.

    As reported by the Forex Association of Pakistan, the local currency’s exchange rate appreciated to Rs271 around 10 am. It is worth noting that the rupee had closed at 285.99 against the dollar on June 27, with trading activities suspended due to the Eid holidays last week and a bank holiday on Monday.

    This positive development follows a previous record-high exchange rate of Rs290.93 reached on May 11. Since then, the dollar has experienced a considerable decline of more than Rs23.

    The anticipated 3 per cent appreciation of the rupee has been realised, but the sustainability of these gains will be verified in the days ahead. The government has indicated that the partial funds from the IMF deal will be disbursed by mid-July.

    Additionally, the government has expressed confidence in securing approximately $4 to $5 billion from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and the Islamic Development Bank. These additional funds would contribute to resolving the dollar liquidity issues.

    The strength and stability of the rupee are likely to be maintained if these payments materialise. However, any delays could potentially increase pressure on the currency.

    According to the government’s projections, Pakistan’s reserves are expected to increase to $14 billion by August. Should this estimation hold true, it is anticipated that the rupee will stabilise around the range of 270 to 280, as suggested by experts.

  • Pakistani rupee records slight increase against US dollar, settles at Rs285.99

    Pakistani rupee records slight increase against US dollar, settles at Rs285.99

    The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the Pakistani Rupee (PKR) maintained an upward trajectory against the US dollar in the interbank foreign exchange market on Tuesday.

    The PKR experienced a gain of Rs0.072 against the greenback, resulting in a closing rate of Rs285.99. This marks an improvement from the previous day’s closing rate of Rs286.71.

    Experts attribute the rise in the dollar’s value to the government’s successful fulfillment of all conditions set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif recently engaged in his fourth communication with the IMF Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, within a span of six days.

    It is worth noting that Pakistan’s ninth review by the IMF under the 2019 Extended Fund Facility, which aims to secure the release of $1.2 billion in funds, is still pending. With only three days remaining until the programme’s expiry on June 30, there is a pressing need to conclude the review process promptly.

  • Currency crisis alert: Pakistani rupee could drop to Rs350 against dollar without IMF assistance

    Currency crisis alert: Pakistani rupee could drop to Rs350 against dollar without IMF assistance

    The Pakistani rupee is poised to face a significant downfall, with expectations that it may plummet to as low as Rs350 against the US dollar. This alarming projection has raised concerns among stakeholders, as the weakening currency is anticipated to have far-reaching implications, particularly in terms of inflationary pressures that will disproportionately affect the lower and middle classes.

    According to Geo, the steep devaluation of the rupee, which has already lost approximately 20 per cent of its value this year, positions it among the worst-performing currencies worldwide.

    Experts, including economists Ankur Shukla and Abhishek Gupta, attribute this weakness to a range of factors. Capital flight from Pakistan is intensifying due to the growing apprehension that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) may not provide the much-needed bailout required to prevent a fiscal default in the upcoming fiscal year commencing in July.

    The delay in receiving aid, which has been stalled since November, is suspected to be linked to political unrest, further exacerbating the rupee’s decline. The country’s leadership has been plagued by instability since the removal of Imran Khan, Chairman of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), through a no-confidence motion vote in April last year.

    Khan’s recent arrest has heightened tensions between him, the government, and the military. Following his imprisonment, the rupee experienced a sharp drop to a record low of 299 per dollar, only to partially recover and stabilize at 285 after his release.

    Multiple experts are warning of an imminent massive drop in the rupee, with some analysts even foreseeing a further 20 per cent depreciation. The currency’s future trajectory heavily depends on the ongoing clashes between Khan and the government, as well as the IMF’s decision regarding financial assistance.

    Adil Ghaffar, CEO at Premier Financial Services Pvt in Karachi, concurs, stating that failure to secure the loan could lead to a slump in the rupee’s value to Rs350 per dollar in June. Market sentiment remains precarious, and economists such as Farooq Pasha highlight the persistent uncertainty surrounding the rupee’s path.

    In the near term, politics will continue to pose a key risk until the elections. The bond market has also been adversely affected, with bond investors growing increasingly nervous as the spread between Pakistan’s dollar bonds and US Treasuries reached a record high of over 35 per cent this month.

    With the looming prospect of the rupee’s significant decline, the economic landscape of Pakistan hangs in a precarious balance.

  • Pakistani rupee falls to historic low of Rs288.43 against dollar

    Pakistani rupee falls to historic low of Rs288.43 against dollar

    On Wednesday, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) reached a new record low, falling to Rs288.43 against the US dollar in the interbank market.

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported that the rupee slid by Rs1.34 against the greenback before closing at Rs288.43. Meanwhile, the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP) has reported that the selling rate of the dollar in the open market was recorded at Rs295.

    This comes after the rupee had closed at Rs287.09 per US dollar the day before, with the greenback trading at over Rs291 in the open market. Additionally, on April 5, the rupee had closed at Rs287.85 per US dollar, while the greenback was trading at over Rs293 in the open market.

    Experts suggest that the drop in the rupee’s value can be attributed to various factors such as economic challenges, political uncertainty, and depleting foreign exchange reserves.

    It is worth noting that a staff-level agreement between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Pakistan was scheduled to take place on February 9.

  • Pakistan’s hopes for IMF agreement rise as Saudi Arabia confirms $2 billion in additional deposits

    Pakistan’s hopes for IMF agreement rise as Saudi Arabia confirms $2 billion in additional deposits

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has informed Pakistan that Saudi Arabia has confirmed $2 billion in additional deposits, which has rekindled hopes of an early agreement signing. Since January, Islamabad has been negotiating with the IMF for the release of $1.1 billion from a $6.5 billion bailout package that was agreed upon in 2019.

    To unlock the funding, the Pakistani government has cut back on subsidies, removed an artificial cap on the exchange rate, added taxes, and raised fuel prices. However, assurances from friendly nations for additional funds have delayed the agreement.

    The lender has informed Pakistani authorities of the development and the Fund staff is reportedly satisfied with the latest confirmation. The report states that the Saudi authorities are set to make a public announcement, possibly during the upcoming visit of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to the kingdom.

    The Saudi envoy in Pakistan had also hinted in a recent interview that his country had always supported Pakistan in critical situations and that good news would be shared soon. The sources have stated that all eyes are focused on the UAE for getting confirmation on another $1 billion deposit from them, which may pave the way for striking the staff-level agreement (SLA) with the IMF.

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar is expected to visit UAE on his way to the US where he will hold talks on the release of funds. However, there is still another stumbling block in the way of signing the SLA with the IMF. The Ministry of Petroleum, in consultation with the PM Office, had announced an unplanned cross-fuel subsidy for owners of motorcycles and cars up to 800cc, which needs to be scrapped at this stage.

    The government has not yet withdrawn the proposed cross-fuel subsidy, which cannot be implemented in a half-baked manner. Such schemes were considered in the past during the tenure of former finance minister Shaukat Tarin and even during the era of the PDM-led government when Miftah Ismail had the charge of the Ministry of Finance.

    Even Miftah Ismail had allocated Rs48 billion on the eve of the last budget in the name of Sasta Petrol, but it could not be implemented because such schemes could not be designed properly. The announcement of a half-baked cross-fuel subsidy had provided an excuse to the IMF for delaying the SLA signing, as they were still raising questions for getting more details to ascertain how the scheme was going to be implemented in a transparent manner.