Tag: Extended Fund Facility

  • Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Pakistan’s much-anticipated $7 billion bailout package has not yet been scheduled for review by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board, with the agenda extending only until August 30, according to the IMF’s recently released calendar.

    In July, Pakistani authorities and the IMF reached a staff-level agreement, potentially paving the way for a 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) valued at SDR 5,320 million (approximately $7 billion).

    However, this agreement hinges on the approval of the IMF Executive Board, which is contingent upon Pakistan securing necessary financing assurances from its development and bilateral partners.

    The proposed programme is designed to build on the hard-won macroeconomic stability achieved in the past year. It aims to strengthen public finances, reduce inflation, rebuild external reserves, and eliminate economic distortions to foster private sector-led growth.

    Despite five weeks having passed since the staff-level agreement, Pakistan has yet to bridge an external financing gap of up to $5 billion.

    This delay has prevented the country from signing the Letter of Intent (LoI) required to formally request the IMF executive board’s approval of the $7 billion package under the EFF programme.

    The LoI is a critical step in requesting the IMF’s endorsement of the 37-month, $7 billion EFF programme. Without this approval, Pakistan cannot proceed with the much-needed financial support.

  • IMF deal to improve Pakistan’s financial outlook, but continuous reforms are essential: Moody’s

    IMF deal to improve Pakistan’s financial outlook, but continuous reforms are essential: Moody’s

    Moody’s Investors Service has stated that Pakistan’s recent staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) enhances the nation’s funding prospects.

    However, the global rating agency stressed the necessity of sustained reforms to mitigate liquidity risks.

    On 12 July, Pakistani authorities and the IMF reached a staff-level agreement on a 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) worth approximately $7 billion. This agreement still awaits approval from the IMF Executive Board, with no specific date set for the vote.

    Moody’s commented that once the loan deal is approved, which is highly anticipated, it will significantly boost Pakistan’s funding prospects. The new IMF program is expected to provide reliable financing from the IMF and attract additional funding from other bilateral and multilateral partners, addressing Pakistan’s external financing needs.

    Nonetheless, Moody’s cautioned that the government’s ability to consistently implement reforms will be crucial to maintaining continuous financial support throughout the IMF program, ultimately reducing liquidity risks.

    The new IMF EFF requires Pakistan to undertake extensive reforms, including broadening the tax base, eliminating exemptions, timely managing and privatising energy enterprises, phasing out agricultural support prices and related subsidies, advancing anti-corruption measures, enhancing governance and transparency, and gradually liberalising trade policy.

    Moody’s also warned that rising social tensions, driven by the high cost of living—which could be exacerbated by increased taxes and future energy tariff adjustments—might hinder reform implementation. Furthermore, the coalition government may struggle to maintain sufficient electoral support to implement these challenging reforms consistently.

    An IMF report published in May highlighted Pakistan’s external financing needs, estimated at $21 billion for fiscal year 2025 (ending June 2025) and approximately $23 billion for fiscal years 2026-2027.

    Moody’s noted that Pakistan’s external position remains precarious, with substantial external financing requirements over the next three to five years.

    The country remains vulnerable to policy slippages, weak governance, and high social tensions, which could impair the government’s ability to advance reforms, complete IMF program reviews, and secure external financing.

  • IMF team engages in talks with Pakistan for new $8 billion programme

    IMF team engages in talks with Pakistan for new $8 billion programme

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed that it is in discussions with Pakistan regarding a 24th bailout programme under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), signalling a significant development in the country’s ongoing economic negotiations.

    IMF Communication Director Julie Kozack, during a press briefing, refrained from commenting directly on the status of a staff-level agreement, suggesting that the talks are still in progress.

    She stated, “A mission team led by Nathan Porter is currently meeting with Pakistani authorities to discuss the next phase of our engagement.”

    Kozack elaborated on recent IMF activities in Pakistan, noting that on April 29th, the IMF Executive Board completed the second review of the stand-by arrangement for Pakistan, enabling a disbursement of approximately $1.1 billion.

    “The completion of this review reflects the authorities’ robust policy efforts during the stand-by arrangement, which contributed to stabilising the economy,” she explained.

    Addressing further queries, Kozack indicated that the mission is actively working on the ground and that their findings would be communicated upon the mission’s completion. 

    Pakistan is seeking a substantial $6 to $8 billion bailout package from the IMF over a three- to four-year period to address its financial difficulties.

    The IMF’s technical team arrived in Pakistan on May 10 to engage in discussions regarding the new loan programme and budget preparations.

    These talks come at a critical time for Pakistan, which is grappling with considerable economic challenges, including the failure of a tax amnesty scheme proposed by the IMF. The outcome of these negotiations will be pivotal in determining Pakistan’s economic stability and future financial policies.

  • IMF mission holds crucial talks with FinMin Aurangzeb on $3 billion SBA

    IMF mission holds crucial talks with FinMin Aurangzeb on $3 billion SBA

    In a pivotal meeting held on Thursday, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, engaged in discussions regarding structural reforms and the viability of the energy sector with the visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission.

    The mission’s visit is part of the second review process of the $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) established between Pakistan and the international lender.

    Key points of deliberation encompassed various facets of Pakistan’s macroeconomic landscape, including fiscal consolidation efforts by the government, structural reforms, energy sector sustainability, and governance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

    Expressing a warm reception, the finance minister underscored the government’s steadfast commitment to collaborating with the IMF to drive forward the reform agenda, aimed at fostering economic growth and bolstering stability across Pakistan.

    During the meeting, Nathan Porter, head of the IMF mission, extended congratulations to Muhammad Aurangzeb on his appointment as the finance minister.

    Anticipations are high that the IMF mission’s visit could culminate in a staff-level agreement regarding the second review of the SBA.

    Since its inception in July 2023, Pakistan has received $1.9 billion out of the allocated $3 billion under the nine-month programme.

    Aurangzeb, articulating the government’s stance, outlined intentions to explore the possibility of acquiring a more extensive and prolonged Extended Fund Facility (EFF) within the IMF framework, with the overarching objective of attaining macroeconomic stability.

    Officials from Pakistan, including Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and Energy Minister Musadik Malik, apprised the IMF team of the concerted efforts undertaken to implement the prescribed reforms, including the adjustment of energy tariffs.

    An official from the Finance Division, speaking on anonymity, disclosed the IMF’s acknowledgment of Pakistan’s strides in meeting quarterly programmeme targets under the SBA.

    Simultaneously, discussions are underway to chart the trajectory of the subsequent programmeme, with deliberations leaning towards a more extensive endeavour valued at approximately $8 billion.

    Minister Malik elaborated on the government’s energy reform agenda, highlighting recent adjustments in electricity and gas prices aligned with the stipulated schedule.

    The recent levy hike on petrol and diesel, coupled with the augmentation of gas tariffs for domestic consumers, underscores Pakistan’s commitment to fulfilling key conditions outlined in the IMF’s final review.

    Economic analysts anticipate a seamless final review process, citing Pakistan’s commendable adherence to the IMF’s performance targets as a harbinger of success.

  • Pakistan gears up for crucial IMF talks on $3 billion SBA programme

    Pakistan gears up for crucial IMF talks on $3 billion SBA programme

    Pakistan is set to commence vital discussions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concerning the completion of the second review under the $3 billion Standby Arrangement (SBA) programme.

    The formal invitation to the Washington-based lender is expected to be dispatched shortly after the formation and oath-taking of the federal cabinet, with negotiations anticipated to commence in the coming week.

    Simultaneously, Pakistan plans to request a new deal under the 36-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF).

    Sources have indicated that the size of the upcoming EFF programme is yet to be finalized, but Islamabad aims to explore the inclusion of climate finance to potentially increase the programme’s magnitude from $6 billion to $8 billion.

    A significant challenge facing the incoming finance minister is the pursuit of the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR) tax collection target of Rs890 billion for March 2024. Failure to meet this quarterly (Jan-March) target with the IMF may prompt additional taxation measures for the remaining fiscal year.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif chaired a high-level meeting on Tuesday to receive a comprehensive briefing from the FBR team on the future strategy for revamping the taxation system.

    The FBR has, to date, collected Rs5.82 trillion in the first eight months of the current fiscal year, experiencing a shortfall of Rs33 billion in achieving the February 2024 monthly target.

    To meet the targeted Rs9.415 trillion by June 30, 2024, the FBR must collect Rs3.58 trillion in the remaining four months (March-June) period.

    March 2024 holds particular significance, with the monthly target of Rs890 billion crucial for fulfilling the agreed third-quarter (Jan-March) period with the IMF.

    PM Shehbaz emphasized the immediate commencement of automation and digitization of the FBR, personally committing to monitor the entire process.

    According to The News, he urged the adoption of international best practices to enhance transparency, increase tax collection, and eradicate tax evasion, corruption, and smuggling.

    Expressing dissatisfaction with the current progress, PM Shehbaz directed the FBR to start the automation and digitization process immediately, urging the acquisition of services from international firms. He stressed the appointment of officers based on merit in the Track and Trace system.

    During the meeting, FBR Chairman Malik Amjad Tiwana briefed the prime minister on measures taken towards automation, tax net expansion, refund payments to exporters, and anti-smuggling efforts.

    PM Shehbaz, however, insisted on immediate progress, highlighting the collaboration with the Ministry of Interior and the Pakistan Army to combat smuggling effectively.

    As the meeting concluded, PM Shehbaz praised the efforts of caretaker finance minister Dr. Shamshad Akhtar and her team, commending their adherence to the policies laid by the previous government to avert default.

    The prime minister expressed confidence in achieving progress and prosperity through diligent efforts and adherence to the right direction.

    The meeting, attended by key officials, emphasized the urgency of digitalized invoicing and the inclusion of 1.5 million more individuals into the tax net, underlining the government’s commitment to fostering economic stability and growth.

  • Pakistan may enter fresh IMF loan programme, stricter conditions expected

    Pakistan may enter fresh IMF loan programme, stricter conditions expected

    In the wake of the completion of its current loan programme, Pakistan is poised to sign a new loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), reports indicate. 

    The forthcoming Extended Fund Facility programme, anticipated to span three years, will see Islamabad share budget proposals for FY 2024–25 with the IMF. 

    Sources suggest that before finalising the agreement, Pakistan will provide assurances to the IMF regarding further increases in electricity and gas prices, as well as a commitment to reduce subsidies. 

    Finance ministry sources have disclosed that the conditions for the new loan programme are expected to be more stringent compared to the current Standby Agreement (SBA) programme. 

    Earlier discussions hinted at Pakistan securing another loan package from the IMF following the conclusion of the ongoing standby agreement. 

    The caretaker government has commenced consultations for the upcoming IMF programme, with talks expected to commence this month. 

    Officials from the finance ministry have indicated that the measures initiated by the caretaker government will be continued by the elected government in discussions with the IMF.

  • Govt plans to increase gas and electricity prices in January

    Govt plans to increase gas and electricity prices in January

    The interim Finance Minister, Dr Shamshad Akhtar, announced during a press conference that the caretaker government is planning to increase electricity and gas tariffs in January to address the circular debt issue, in line with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Stand-By Arrangement (SBA). 

    The circular debt in the power and gas sectors, currently exceeding 4 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product, requires urgent action for reduction. 

    Dr Akhtar also discussed tariff revisions with the IMF and the potential imposition of additional taxes on sectors like real estate and retail, emphasizing that final decisions are pending. 

    She highlighted the necessity for a new short-term IMF program and anticipated a medium-term program under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) after the SBA concludes. 

    Regarding the external financing gap, Finance Secretary Imdad Bosal expressed optimism that a successful IMF review would unlock programme and project loans from multilateral lenders. 

    He anticipated approvals in December for loans from the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and Islamic Development Bank. 

    Bosal assured that there is no external financing gap, and the improved ratings post-review would attract foreign loans. 

    Dr Akhtar stated that the World Bank is expected to disburse $2 billion during the current fiscal year, contributing to foreign exchange reserves along with the $700 million tranche approval from the IMF, bringing the total disbursement under the SBA to $1.9 billion out of $3 billion. 

    The approval for the second tranche from the IMF’s Executive Board is anticipated within a month.

  • PM Shehbaz urges IMF to release stalled funds, assures compliance with conditions

    PM Shehbaz urges IMF to release stalled funds, assures compliance with conditions

    On Thursday, Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif had a meeting with Kristalina Georgieva, the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), where he urged the lender to release the stalled funds for Pakistan. He assured the IMF of Pakistan’s compliance with all the conditions set by the lender.

    The meeting took place during the Summit for a New Global Financial Pact held in Paris, emphasising Pakistan’s commitment to fulfilling its promises.

    During the meeting, the two leaders discussed the ongoing programmes and cooperation between Pakistan and the IMF. The prime minister briefed Georgieva on Pakistan’s economic outlook, highlighting the government’s efforts for economic growth and stability.

    He emphasised that all the necessary actions for the 9th review under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) had been completed, and Pakistan was fully dedicated to meeting its obligations as agreed with the IMF.

    The prime minister expressed his hope for the timely release of the funds allocated under the EFF, as it would contribute to Pakistan’s ongoing efforts in economic stabilisation and provide relief to the people.

    Georgieva shared the IMF’s perspective on the ongoing review process and acknowledged the meeting as an opportunity to assess the progress made in that context.

    It is crucial to note that Pakistan’s currency reserves are currently sufficient to cover only one month’s worth of imports. The country had expected $1.1 billion of the funds to be released in November, but the IMF has imposed certain conditions before making further disbursements.

    With only one IMF board review remaining before the end of the $6.5 billion EFF programme, Pakistan is expected to present a budget aligned with the programme objectives, restore proper functioning of the foreign exchange market, and bridge the $6 billion gap before the board review.

  • Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dip to $3.91 billion amid IMF agreement delay

    Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves dip to $3.91 billion amid IMF agreement delay

    In a challenging turn of events for Pakistan’s economy, the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) have plummeted to $3.91 billion.

    The decline in reserves is primarily attributed to external debt payments, coinciding with the expiration of the country’s International Monetary Fund (IMF) program, which has been stalled for several months.

    The SBP announced on Thursday that the reserves decreased by $179 million during the week ending on June 2, leaving the country with barely enough coverage for controlled imports for just one month.

    Commercial banks, on the other hand, are holding net foreign reserves worth $5.42 billion, $1.51 billion more than the central bank. Consequently, Pakistan’s total foreign reserves stand at $9.3 billion as of June 2.

    This marks the sixth consecutive weekly drop in foreign exchange reserves for Pakistan, signaling a lack of progress in securing external financing. Political instability has played a significant role in the deteriorating economy, and the country has yet to secure much-needed funding to avert the risk of default.

    Pakistan’s $350 billion economy is currently in turmoil due to financial woes and the delay in reaching an agreement with the IMF. The pending agreement would release crucial funds that are essential for stabilizing the economy.

    The government has been engaged in discussions with the IMF since the end of January to resume a $1.1 billion loan tranche, which has been on hold since November 2022. This loan is part of a larger $6.5 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreed upon in 2019.

    Earlier today, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar revealed that the coalition government has shared its budget numbers with the IMF, aiming to unlock the ninth review.

    He expressed confidence that there are “no issues in the numbers.” Pakistan’s government faces significant pressure from the IMF to implement stringent fiscal measures and unlock the final tranche of a vital bailout package.

    To meet the IMF’s requirements, Pakistan must eliminate subsidies in sectors such as energy, allow the rupee to float against the US dollar, increase taxes and duties, and impose import restrictions. These measures are seen as crucial steps toward stabilising the economy and securing external funding.

    The future of Pakistan’s economy hinges on successful negotiations with the IMF and the implementation of effective economic reforms.

    The government must address political instability and work towards regaining the confidence of international lenders to alleviate the financial strains on the country.