Tag: Federal Reserve

  • Pakistani rupee gains 20 paisa against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee gains 20 paisa against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) extended its positive trajectory against the US dollar for the sixth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.07 per cent in the inter-bank market on Tuesday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs283.01, marking an increase of Re0.20.

    In the previous session, the rupee saw a marginal gain, settling at Rs283.21 against the US dollar.

    Meanwhile, in a noteworthy development, Pakistan secured $4.285 billion from various financing sources in the first five months (July–November) of the current fiscal year 2023–24.

    This represents a decrease from the $5.114 billion borrowed during the corresponding period in 2022–23, as disclosed by data from the Economic Affairs Division (EAD).

    On the global front, the US dollar experienced a 0.3 per cent decline against the yen, maintaining its position close to a four-month high of 140.95 reached last week.

    Additionally, the greenback lingered near approximately five-month lows against the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

    This was attributed to the strength of risk-sensitive currencies, driven by the anticipation that the US Federal Reserve might initiate interest rate adjustments as early as the beginning of next year.

    In the realm of commodities, oil prices stabilised on Tuesday as investors assessed the potential repercussions on oil supply arising from attacks by Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants on ships in the Red Sea.

    These attacks have disrupted maritime trade, compelling companies to reroute vessels. Notably, crude prices surged nearly 2 per cent on Monday due to concerns about trade disruptions through the Suez Canal, a vital shipping route that accounts for approximately 15 per cent of global shipping traffic.

    Brent crude declined by 12 cents to $77.83 per barrel.

    The US West Texas Intermediate crude for January, set to expire on Tuesday, experienced a decrease of 62 cents, reaching $71.85. In contrast, the more active February contract only incurred a marginal loss of 3 cents.

  • Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.02% against US dollar to close at Rs283.21

    Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.02% against US dollar to close at Rs283.21

    In a continuing upward trend, the Pakistani rupee demonstrated resilience in the inter-bank market by securing gains against the US dollar for the fifth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.02 per cent on Monday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee closed at Rs283.21, marking an increase of Re0.05.

    Throughout the preceding week, the rupee exhibited a noteworthy appreciation, gaining Re0.61 or 0.21 per cent to settle at Rs283.26 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market.

    This marks the fifth consecutive week of the rupee’s advancement against the dollar, a momentum attributed to the recent announcement of a staff-level agreement (SLA) between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concerning the first review of the $3 billion Stand-by Arrangement (SBA).

    Since the revelation of the SLA on November 15, the local currency has strengthened by Rs4.88, or 1.7 per cent, against the greenback.

    Meanwhile, on a global scale, currencies commenced the week with caution following significant fluctuations in the previous week, driven by various central bank meetings, including rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of England (BoE).

    The greenback, which had been bolstered throughout most of 2022 and 2023 by aggressive rate hikes from the Fed and expectations of prolonged higher rates, experienced a notable decline of approximately 1.3 per cent against a basket of currencies last week in response to the outcomes of the Fed’s policy meeting.

  • Gold price in Pakistan increases to Rs218,600 per tola

    Gold price in Pakistan increases to Rs218,600 per tola

    Gold prices in Pakistan experienced a marginal uptick on Friday, with the value of 24-karat gold climbing by Rs300 per tola, concluding the session at Rs218,600.

    According to the Karachi Sarafa Association, the closing rate for 10-gramme 24-karat gold in today’s session reached Rs187,414, marking an increase of Rs257.

    Simultaneously, the price of 10-gramme 22-karat gold reached Rs171,796, reflecting a rise of Rs235.

    In the domestic market, silver prices also saw an upward trend, with 24-karat silver and 10-gramme 24-karat silver settling at Rs2,670 and Rs2,289.09, respectively.

    It is noteworthy that the domestic bullion market displayed a robust recovery in the previous session after enduring five consecutive losses, resulting in a cumulative loss of Rs6,300 for 24-karat gold.

    This surge was attributed to a rally in international markets, which persisted today, contributing to gains in the domestic market.

    As of the latest update, international spot gold is trading at $2,041.17, reflecting a 0.26 per cent increase for the day.

    The ongoing upward trajectory in international gold prices is influenced by the recent statement from the US Federal Reserve, which indicates a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points in 2024.

  • PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued its positive trajectory against the US dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.09 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs283.26, reflecting an increase of Re0.25.

    Thursday witnessed a marginal gain in the rupee, settling at Rs283.51 against the US dollar.

    The ongoing optimism is buoyed by the recently released trade figures for November, revealing a noteworthy 13.16 per cent month-over-month (MoM) and a substantial 31.72 per cent year-over-year (YoY) reduction in the trade deficit, amounting to $1.89 billion.

    Export figures exhibited a robust 7.66 per cent YoY surge, reaching $2.57 billion, while imports saw a YoY decline of 14.47 per cent, totaling $4.46 billion.

    On the global front, the US dollar remained near four-month lows on Friday, influenced by the increasing likelihood of US interest rate cuts in the coming year.

    Conversely, the euro and pound found support as their respective central banks reiterated the necessity for sustained higher interest rates.

    Amid an eventful week for central banks, clarity emerged regarding the potential timing of interest rate cuts following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s statement during Wednesday’s meeting.

    Powell suggested that the tightening of monetary policy is likely concluding, with discussions about cuts coming “into view.”

    The Fed’s projections imply a 75-basis-point cut next year from the current level, leading to a broad decline of the greenback against its counterparts.

    The dollar index stands at 102.05, not far from the four-month low of 101.76 observed on Thursday, marking a 1.9 per cent decrease and its most significant weekly decline since July.

    Oil prices, a pivotal indicator of currency dynamics, saw an increase on Friday, set to achieve their first weekly rise in two months.

    This positive shift is attributed to a bullish forecast from the International Energy Agency (IEA) regarding oil demand for the upcoming year, coupled with a weaker dollar.

    Brent futures rose by 21 cents to $76.82 a barrel at 0918 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also experienced a 21-cent climb, reaching $71.79.

  • Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee gains 10 paisa against US dollar

    Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee gains 10 paisa against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) demonstrated resilience for the third consecutive session against the US dollar (USD), marking a 0.04 per cent appreciation in the interbank market on Thursday, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    The PKR settled at Rs283.51 after an increase of Rs0.10. This positive trend follows Wednesday’s marginal gain, where the rupee settled at Rs283.61 against the USD.

    In contrast to major currencies, the local currency experienced a loss of Rs2.64 against the Euro, closing at Rs308.49 compared to the previous value of Rs305.85.

    The British Pound strengthened by Rs2.91, concluding at Rs357.96 in comparison to Rs355.05 from the preceding day.

    The Swiss franc also witnessed gain of Rs1.46, closing at 325.35 compared to Rs323.89 in the previous session.

    Against the Japanese yen, PKR lost 5.23 paisa, settling at Rs1.9972 versus Rs1.9449 a day ago.

    In the ongoing financial year, the PKR has appreciated against the dollar by Rs2.48, or 0.87 per cent.

    However, in the current calendar year, it has depreciated by Rs57.08, or 20.13 per cent.

    In a related development, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), in its latest report, Asian Development Outlook (ADO), highlighted that Pakistan’s overall recovery is still constrained by moderate confidence and high inflation eroding purchasing power.

    The ADB noted that Pakistan’s inflation rate averaged 28.5 per cent over July–October but is expected to ease amid fiscal consolidation, monetary tightening, and improved availability of food and key imported inputs.

  • Gold price increases to Rs213,100 per tola

    Gold price increases to Rs213,100 per tola

    The gold price in Pakistan witnessed an increase on Friday, with the cost of 24-karat gold rising by Rs1,300 per tola, settling at Rs213,100 in today’s session.

    The Karachi Sarafa Association reported that the closing price for 10 grammes of 24-karat gold was Rs 182,698, indicating a loss of Rs1,114.
    Meanwhile, 10 grammes of 22-karat gold saw an increase, reaching Rs166,452, up by Rs1,022.

    In contrast, the silver prices remained unchanged in the domestic market, with 24-karat silver and 10 grammes of 24-karat silver closing at Rs2,580 and Rs2,211.93, respectively.

    It is noteworthy that domestic gold prices are influenced by fluctuations in international prices and changes in the local currency’s interbank exchange rate.

    Despite intraday gains, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) is facing its fourteenth consecutive loss against the USD.

    The depreciation of PKR against the USD leads to an increase in the value of PKR-denominated gold since gold is denominated in US dollars.

    On the global front, international gold prices experienced a decline, marking the second consecutive week of losses. International spot gold is currently trading at $1,954.29, down by 0.20 per cent for the day.

  • US sees strongest job growth in eight months, raising rate hike possibility

    US sees strongest job growth in eight months, raising rate hike possibility

    In September, the United States experienced a significant increase in employment, marking the most substantial growth in eight months. 

    This surge in hiring was widespread, indicating a persistent strength in the labour market. This development potentially provides the Federal Reserve with the rationale to consider raising interest rates once again, although it’s worth noting that wage growth is currently decelerating.

    The Labour Department’s latest employment report, released on Friday, revealed a nonfarm payroll increase that surpassed expectations, along with substantial upward revisions to job counts for July and August. These findings solidify the belief that economic activity gained momentum in the third quarter.

    The continued resilience of the labour market and the broader economy, even after 18 months of the US central bank’s efforts to temper demand by raising rates, suggests that monetary policy may remain restrictive for an extended period. 

    Recent data also indicates an increase in job openings in August, coupled with consistently low first-time applications for state unemployment benefits in September.

  • Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar

    Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee’s ascent against the US dollar persisted for the 12th consecutive session in the inter-bank market on Thursday, registering a 0.38 per cent gain.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee settled at 292.78, marking a notable increase of Rs1.1 within the inter-bank market. Just the day before, on Wednesday, the rupee had exhibited a similar upward trend, appreciating by 0.35 per cent and settling at 293.88.

    This remarkable turnaround in the rupee’s value follows a recent period of decline, during which it hit a record low of 307.1 in the inter-bank market on September 5.

    The transformation in its fortune can be attributed to a series of structural reforms introduced by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) within the Exchange Companies’ (ECs) sector, along with various administrative measures implemented by authorities to combat currency smuggling and hoarding.

    On the global stage, the US dollar reached new heights on Thursday, notably against the yen, marking its strongest position since November.

    This surge in the dollar’s strength followed a hawkish stance taken by the US Federal Reserve at its recent monetary policy meeting, where it opted to maintain interest rates within the 5.25 per cent–5.50 per cent range.

    The Fed’s decision reflected a growing confidence among officials that their assertive monetary policy approach can effectively combat inflation without causing significant economic disruption or substantial job losses.

    Conversely, oil prices experienced a decline on Thursday, following the previous session’s significant drop, as expectations of US interest rate hikes overshadowed the impact of reduced US crude stockpiles.

  • IMF loan delay continues to impact Pakistani rupee

    IMF loan delay continues to impact Pakistani rupee

    During trading on Wednesday, the Pakistani rupee experienced a slight decrease against the US dollar, with a depreciation of almost 0.06 per cent in the inter-bank market. At around 12:45 pm, the currency was being traded at Rs284.06, which is a decline of Re0.16.

    This comes after the rupee had previously regained some ground against the US dollar on Tuesday, settling at Rs283.9 in the inter-bank market. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Extended Fund Facility (EFF) has been stalled since last year, and market participants are waiting for its resumption.

    Experts have suggested that the reduced demand for US dollars can be attributed to the increase in inflows from workers’ remittances and a decline in import payments. Globally, the dollar saw some stability on Wednesday after being influenced by bond market volatility. Investors closely monitored US economic indicators, Federal Reserve commentary, and corporate earnings for indications about the path for interest rates.

    The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, rose by 0.11 per cent to 101.83 in Asian trading, following a 0.36 per cent decline on Tuesday that reversed the 0.54 per cent increase from the previous session.

    Oil prices, which serve as a significant indicator of currency parity, declined on Wednesday as the market considered potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Such hikes could slow growth and dampen oil consumption, offsetting the impact of falling US inventories and strong Chinese economic data.