Tag: finance

  • Pakistan aims for more than $6 billion IMF bailout, targets agreement this month

    Pakistan aims for more than $6 billion IMF bailout, targets agreement this month

    Pakistan is on track to finalise a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a bailout exceeding $6 billion by the end of this month, announced Junior Finance Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik on Wednesday.

    The country, grappling with escalating domestic dissent over new tax measures, has set ambitious revenue targets in its latest budget, aimed at securing IMF approval to avert an economic crisis.

    “We hope to conclude this IMF process within the next three to four weeks,” Malik stated, highlighting the urgency to reach a staff-level agreement before the IMF board’s recess. While estimating the bailout package to exceed $6 billion, Malik underscored that the IMF’s endorsement remains paramount at this juncture.

    Pakistan’s fiscal blueprint for the fiscal year starting July 1 includes a daunting tax revenue target of 13 trillion rupees ($47 billion), marking a nearly 40 per cent surge from the previous year.

    Concurrently, the government aims to slash the fiscal deficit to 5.9 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 7.4 per cent in the preceding year.

    Malik defended the stringent budgetary measures, asserting that they were essential to pave the way for an IMF programme, which he claimed the lender had acknowledged positively during discussions. However, the anticipated budget approval from the IMF could exacerbate public discontent, analysts warn.

    “While these budget reforms may strain the local economy, the IMF programme prioritises economic stabilisation,” Malik affirmed.

    Economist Sakib Sherani, from the private firm Macro Economic Insights, highlighted the urgency of sealing a swift deal with the IMF to mitigate pressure on Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves and currency, given impending debt repayments and the unwinding effects of earlier capital and import controls.

    “If delays persist, the central bank may need to temporarily reinstate import and capital controls, leading to a period of uncertainty with potential implications for equity markets,” Sherani cautioned.

    In conclusion, Pakistan’s pursuit of an IMF bailout underscores its efforts to stabilise its economy amidst mounting challenges, balancing economic imperatives with public sentiment.

  • Halaat kb behtar honge? Finance Minister gives timeline for structural reforms

    Halaat kb behtar honge? Finance Minister gives timeline for structural reforms

    Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb spoke at the US think tank Atlantic Council in Washington DC, stating that Pakistan needs two or three years to implement structural reforms prescribed by International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    The minister remarked that Pakistan does not need any more policy prescription from the IMF because it knows what it needs to do in terms of reforms.

    “We have known the what and why not for years but for decades. […] It’s time for us to actually start moving the execution of these aspects and why we’re looking for a larger and extended program, so once we get into the execution we will need a two to three-year time period to go through the structural reforms,” said Aurangzeb, previously the head of Pakistan’s largest bank.

    The minister also remarked that if Pakistan failed to implement reforms, then it would be looking at another IMF program later.

    The Finance czar was of the opinion that Pakistan entered 2024 in a much better economic shape and credited the nine-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) programme.

    He also emphasized that needs to bring the under-taxed and untaxed sectors into the national tax net and also said that taxation process needed reforms.

  • World food prices rise for first time in seven months: FAO

    Global food prices rose in March, the first increase since July, pulled higher by cooking oil prices despite the cost of grains continuing to ease, the UN’s Food and Agricultural Organization said Friday.

    The FAO’s overall Food Price Index climbed 1.1 percent over the month to stand at 118.3 points in March 2024. On an annual comparison it was 7.7 percent lower.

    The sub-index for vegetable oils jumped by 8.0 percent over the month to reach a one-year high. The FAO said prices for palm, soy, sunflower and rapeseed oils all climbed higher.

    Rising palm oil prices were driven by seasonal drops in output in leading producing nations that coincided with strong demand in Southeast Asia, while demand from the biofuel sector pulled up soy oil prices.

    Dairy prices rose by 2.9 percent in March on a monthly basis, while meat prices climbed 1.7 percent.

    Meanwhile, cereals prices slid 2.6 percent on a monthly basis, while sugar prices fell 5.4 percent.

    Food prices reached a record high after Russia invaded agricultural power Ukraine in February 2022 but have dropped since then.

    Last month’s uptick comes as inflation has slowed dramatically in many countries but a recent rebound in global oil prices has sparked concern it may persist at a level that could discourage central banks from cutting interest rates.

  • IMF engagement should not hinder Pakistan’s economic progress: PM Shehbaz

    IMF engagement should not hinder Pakistan’s economic progress: PM Shehbaz

    Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif asserted on Tuesday that any forthcoming engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) must not impede Pakistan’s economic progress.

    His remarks come in the wake of discussions regarding a potential Extended Fund Facility (EFF) with the IMF, scheduled for deliberation in Washington next month, as the nation grapples with mitigating a looming economic crisis.

    With the expiration of the standby $3 billion arrangement with the IMF looming on April 11, recent negotiations have culminated in a staff-level agreement, paving the way for the disbursal of the final tranche of $1.1 billion.

    PM Shehbaz, following his re-inauguration, promptly directed his financial team to initiate efforts towards securing an EFF from the IMF.

    Speaking at a ceremony in Islamabad, the Prime Minister underscored the indispensability of another IMF programme while highlighting the imperative of simultaneously pursuing economic expansion.

    He highlighted key areas such as agriculture, IT exports, and both traditional and non-traditional exports as avenues for growth, questioning any limitations posed by an IMF programme on such initiatives.

    “If there is an IMF programme, who has stopped you from doubling agriculture output? from increasing IT exports? from increasing traditional and non-traditional exports?” PM Shehbaz posited, stressing the compatibility of economic growth initiatives with an IMF programme.

    He cautioned against using the IMF as an excuse for stagnation, urging prioritisation of domestically controllable economic avenues.

    In reiterating his stance, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif conveys a dual commitment to engaging with the IMF while ensuring a steadfast focus on bolstering Pakistan’s economic trajectory, fostering employment, and curbing inflation.

    As the nation navigates through economic challenges, the Prime Minister’s emphasis on proactive economic strategies resonates as a call to action for sustainable growth and resilience.

  • Significant increase in mobile phone imports in eight months

    Significant increase in mobile phone imports in eight months

    Imports of mobile phones have recorded a significant year-on-year increase in the first eight months of the current financial year.

    According to statistics released by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, during the period from July to February 2024, 1.148 billion dollars was spent on the imports of mobile phones, which is 156 per cent more than the 448 million dollars of the same period of the previous financial year.

    According to the data, 161 million dollars was spent on the imports of mobile phones in February, which is 387 per cent more than February of last year.

    Compared to January, there was a decrease of eight per cent in imports of mobile phones in February on a monthly basis — 195 million dollars were spent on the imports of mobile phones in January.

  • SBP reports marginal dip in bank deposits

    SBP reports marginal dip in bank deposits

    In January 2024, the total deposits held by scheduled banks in Pakistan experienced a robust year-on-year growth of 21.03 per cent, reaching Rs27.54 trillion.

    This marks a substantial increase from Rs22.75 trillion recorded in January 2023, as revealed by data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    However, on a month-on-month basis, there was a slight dip of 1.08 per cent in bank deposits compared to December 2024, where the total stood at Rs27.84 trillion.

    The data further highlights a positive trend in total advances, which saw a year-on-year increase of 3.74 per cent, reaching Rs12.09 trillion compared to Rs11.66 trillion in the same period last year.

     Conversely, on a monthly basis, advances experienced a marginal decline of 2.08 per cent from their December 2024 value of Rs12.35 trillion.

    The Advances to Deposit Ratio (ADR) exhibited a decrease, standing at 43.92 per cent, indicating a 732 basis points decline on a yearly basis and a 45 basis points decrease on a monthly basis.

    In terms of investments, scheduled banks in Pakistan reported total investments of Rs25.6 trillion in January 2024, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 32.71 per cent from Rs19.29 trillion in January 2023.

    Additionally, there was a month-on-month increase of 1.28 per cent from the Rs25.28 trillion recorded in December 2024.

    The Investment to Deposit Ratio (IDR) witnessed a notable rise of 818 basis points, reaching 92.97 per cent, compared to the figures from January 2023. On a monthly basis, IDR increased by 216 basis points.

    These statistics indicate a significant positive shift in the financial landscape of Pakistan’s banking sector, with notable expansions in both deposits and investments.

  • ECC approves Rs7.49 billion Ramzan Relief Package

    ECC approves Rs7.49 billion Ramzan Relief Package

    In a significant move to provide relief to the general public during the upcoming Ramazan, the Economic Coordination Committee (ECC), in its latest meeting chaired by the Federal Minister for Finance, Revenue, and Economic Affairs, Dr Shamshad Akhtar, approved the Ramzan Relief Package-2024.

    The approved package, with a net amount of Rs7.49 billion, is specifically designed to benefit targeted beneficiaries of the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP). This allocation is part of the budget for the fiscal year 2023-24.

    During the meeting, the committee also discussed and gave the green light to a summary from the Ministry of Commerce’s Tariff Policy Wing.

    The summary pertained to “Individual Tariff Rationalization Proposals from Different Sectors for Review of Custom Duties.” Following thorough deliberations, the committee advised that tariff rationalization should be coordinated with the overall trade policy.

    Furthermore, a proposal related to the “Permission to Import Wheat and Export of Wheat Flour under Export Facilitation Scheme 2021” was presented by the Ministry of Commerce.

    The ECC not only approved this proposal but also directed the relevant ministries to prepare comprehensive plans aimed at enhancing opportunities for value-added exports.

  • Tariff hike of Rs1.72 per unit approved for K-Electric consumers 

    Tariff hike of Rs1.72 per unit approved for K-Electric consumers 

    The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) has granted approval for quarterly tariff adjustments of Rs1.72 per unit for K-Electric, alongside government guarantees of Rs100 billion for Pakistan State Oil (PSO) and a Rs20 billion credit facility for Punjab’s Green Cooperative Initiative. 

    The ECC session, presided over by Federal Minister for Finance Dr Shamshad Akhtar and attended by other federal ministers and senior officials, addressed various summaries submitted by ministries such as Interior, Maritime Affairs, Energy (Power Division), Energy (Petroleum Division), Poverty Alleviation and Social Safety, and Defence. 

    The decision to adjust the tariff for K-Electric was reached after careful consideration of a summary presented by the Ministry of Energy regarding “Uniform Quarterly Tariff Adjustments for K-Electric Consumers on a par with XWDISCOs 2nd and 3rd Quarterly FY 2023.” 

    Following in-depth discussions, the ECC concluded that the tariff rationalisation through adjustments for K-Electric, aligning with the uniform Quarterly Tariff Adjustment (QTA) guidelines already issued to NEPRA, will be applicable to the consumption of July, August, and September 2023.  

    According to The News, these adjustments are set to be recovered from K-Electric consumers in December 2023, January 2024, and February 2024, respectively. 

  • 98 percent of Pakistanis unhappy with country’s direction, survey

    98 percent of Pakistanis unhappy with country’s direction, survey

    Along with the country’s economy, restoring the declining confidence of Pakistani consumers is a big challenge for the caretaker government.

    Apsus Pakistan released the third quarter survey report of Consumer Confidence Index.

    According to the survey report, 98 per cent of Pakistanis are not happy with the country’s direction, while the number of Pakistanis who consider the direction to be correct has come down to merely 2 per cent.

    According to the report, Pakistanis are disappointed with the country’s economy and their own financial situation, 76 per cent of Pakistanis say the country’s economy is weak and 68 per cent say their financial situation is precarious.

    The survey also revealed that 66 per cent of Pakistanis are not optimistic about improvement in the country’s economic conditions, even in the next six months, while 60 per cent see their financial conditions becoming weaker in the future.