Tag: financing gap

  • Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Uncertainty surrounds Pakistan’s $7 billion IMF bailout as approval date still not confirmed

    Pakistan’s much-anticipated $7 billion bailout package has not yet been scheduled for review by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board, with the agenda extending only until August 30, according to the IMF’s recently released calendar.

    In July, Pakistani authorities and the IMF reached a staff-level agreement, potentially paving the way for a 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) valued at SDR 5,320 million (approximately $7 billion).

    However, this agreement hinges on the approval of the IMF Executive Board, which is contingent upon Pakistan securing necessary financing assurances from its development and bilateral partners.

    The proposed programme is designed to build on the hard-won macroeconomic stability achieved in the past year. It aims to strengthen public finances, reduce inflation, rebuild external reserves, and eliminate economic distortions to foster private sector-led growth.

    Despite five weeks having passed since the staff-level agreement, Pakistan has yet to bridge an external financing gap of up to $5 billion.

    This delay has prevented the country from signing the Letter of Intent (LoI) required to formally request the IMF executive board’s approval of the $7 billion package under the EFF programme.

    The LoI is a critical step in requesting the IMF’s endorsement of the 37-month, $7 billion EFF programme. Without this approval, Pakistan cannot proceed with the much-needed financial support.

  • Pakistan shares plan with IMF to bridge $3 billion financing gap

    Pakistan shares plan with IMF to bridge $3 billion financing gap

    The coalition government of Pakistan has revealed its plan to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for obtaining an additional $3 billion to fill the financing gap as it tries to persuade the lender to release the next loan tranche.

    In order to conclude talks with Pakistan regarding its delayed bailout, the IMF required “necessary” financing guarantees as soon as possible. Pakistan was asked to raise $6 billion in external financing, which is required by the country until June to avoid a potential default.

    This figure was determined on the assumption that the current account deficit would remain at around $7 billion in the current fiscal year. The IMF welcomed the recent announcement of financial support from key bilateral partners, but this support is inadequate for Pakistan’s requirements.

    Islamabad informed the IMF about its plan to secure a $450 million second Resilient Institutions for Sustainable Economy (RISE-II) budget support loan, as well as its plans to obtain $1 billion from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and other commercial banks, and to materialise pledges made at the Geneva moot. According to sources, once the staff-level agreement is signed with the IMF, it will become easier for Pakistan to obtain financing.

    Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen to cover barely a month of imports following the stall in IMF funding in November, which was later complicated by snags over fiscal policy adjustments after officials from the lender visited Islamabad for talks in February. The fiscal policy adjustments were part of the ninth review exercise on a bailout package agreed upon in 2019, whose resumption is crucial for Pakistan to avoid the risk of defaulting on external payment obligations.

    Pakistan will receive another disbursement of more than $1 billion from the IMF programme before it ends in June, which will unlock other bilateral and multilateral financings for the country, helping to ease its financial difficulties.

    Programme loans from other multilateral agencies await completion of the IMF review, as reported by central bank governor Jameel Ahmad during the spring meetings of the lender and the World Bank in Washington.

  • Pakistan’s sustainable policy framework crucial to avoid default risk, says IMF

    Pakistan’s sustainable policy framework crucial to avoid default risk, says IMF

    Whilst serving as Finance Minister, Ishaq Dar has repeatedly assured the public that Pakistan has not defaulted and will not do so in the future. Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), has endorsed Dar’s views and stated that Pakistan has not yet reached the level of default.

    Speaking at a news conference during the spring meeting of Breton Wood Institutions at the Fund’s headquarters in Washington, Georgieva said that the Fund was seeking confirmation from international partners to meet Pakistan’s financing gap requirements. Responding to a question about Pakistan’s looming default risk, she stated that the country had not yet reached that level, but required a sustainable policy framework to avert such risks.

    Georgieva emphasized that the lender has been working closely with the authorities in Pakistan, within the context of the current programme, to ensure that the country has the policy framework in place to prevent reaching the point of unsustainable debt. Pakistan has less than a month’s worth of foreign exchange reserves and is awaiting a $1.1 billion bailout package from the IMF that has been delayed since November due to issues related to fiscal policy adjustments.

    Georgieva expressed hope that, with the goodwill of all parties involved and the implementation of what has already been agreed upon by the Pakistan authorities, the current programme can be completed successfully. Islamabad is required to provide assurance that its balance of payments deficit is fully financed for the fiscal year ending in June in order to unlock the next tranche of IMF funding.

    During the IMF-World Bank spring meetings, Dar attended via Zoom from Islamabad with IMF Deputy Managing Director Antoinette Moniso Sayeh. Sources report that Sayeh stated that Pakistan has yet to meet its external financing gap of $6 billion, of which $3 billion would need to be financed before striking a staff-level agreement.

    At this point, the State Bank of Pakistan’s Jameel Ahmed, who is presently in Washington, reportedly told participants that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) had shared a draft agreement for the provision of an additional $1 billion deposit to meet the requirement for signing the staff-level agreement. A top official expressed hope that the UAE deposit would be confirmed shortly and suggested that it may be confirmed as early as next week.

    Regarding the cross-fuel subsidy, the IMF was informed that it was only an idea floated by a relevant ministry and would be implemented only after an agreement on the salient features of the scheme. The Pakistani authorities agreed with the IMF that the scheme appeared good on paper but its transparent implementation would be challenging.