Tag: foreign exchange reserves

  • Pakistan receives final installment of IMF’s $3 billion SBA

    Pakistan receives final installment of IMF’s $3 billion SBA

    Pakistan has received the final tranche of $1.1 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as part of its $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA), the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced on Tuesday.

    The disbursement follows the IMF’s successful completion of its final review of Pakistan’s economic reform programme supported by the 9-month SBA.

    The SBP said in its statement that the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) of 828 million, equivalent to approximately $1.1 billion, had been received on April 29, 2024, and would be reflected in the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves for the week ending May 3, 2024.

    As of April 19, the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $7.981 billion.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif welcomed the latest disbursement, stating that it would contribute to greater economic stability in Pakistan.

    He highlighted that the SBA was critical in preventing the country from defaulting on its external liabilities. 

    Pakistan’s government is now focused on securing a larger and longer Extended Fund Facility (EFF) to achieve sustained macroeconomic stability.

    The prime minister has already signalled his intention to pursue another IMF programme to ensure the continuity of economic growth and fiscal discipline.

    On Sunday, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting in Saudi Arabia.

    During the meeting, the prime minister reiterated his government’s commitment to implementing structural reforms, maintaining strict fiscal discipline, and following prudent policies that would support macroeconomic stability and sustainable economic growth.

    Pakistan is seeking additional support to maintain the economic gains made during the current SBA and to continue its positive economic growth trajectory.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves fall by $73.5 million in one week

    Pakistan’s forex reserves fall by $73.5 million in one week

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a significant decline in its foreign exchange reserves for the week ending April 19, 2024, attributing the drop to external debt repayments.

    The central bank’s reserves fell by $73.5 million, a 0.91 per cent week-on-week reduction, bringing the total to $7.98 billion.

    This decrease reflects Pakistan’s ongoing struggles to maintain a stable foreign exchange reserve position amid mounting economic pressures.

    The SBP issued a statement explaining the decline, citing debt repayments as the primary reason for the dip. “During the week ended on April 19, 2024, SBP’s reserves decreased by $74 million to $7.98 billion due to external debt repayments,” the statement read.

    Concurrently, the total reserves of Pakistan, which include those held by commercial banks, also fell. The country’s total reserves dropped by $93.2 million, a 0.7 per cent week-on-week decrease, to $13.28 billion.

    Commercial banks’ reserves diminished by $19.7 million, or 0.37 per cent week-on-week, bringing their total to $5.3 billion.

    Last week, the SBP reported a slight increase in its reserves, up by $14.4 million despite a $1 billion Eurobond repayment. However, this week’s decline indicates continued pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

    In a recent development, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) executive board is set to meet on April 29 to discuss the approval of a $1.1 billion funding tranche for Pakistan.

    This funding represents the second and final installment of a $3 billion standby arrangement with the IMF, which was agreed upon last summer to avert a sovereign default.

    The current arrangement with the IMF is due to expire at the end of this month, prompting Pakistan to seek a new long-term and larger loan from the IMF.

    Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb expressed optimism about the country’s foreign exchange reserves, stating that he expects the reserves held by the SBP to rise to around $9–10 billion by the end of the current fiscal year.

    Despite the recent decline, the total liquid foreign reserves have increased by $4.12 billion, or 44.98 per cent, since the beginning of the fiscal year.

    Additionally, the current calendar year has seen an increase of $0.61 billion, or 4.79 per cent.

    The fluctuations in Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves underscore the country’s ongoing economic challenges and the critical importance of securing international funding to maintain financial stability.

  • Pakistan anticipates final IMF tranche approval in late April

    Pakistan anticipates final IMF tranche approval in late April

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that its Executive Board meeting, anticipated for late April, is crucial for approving Pakistan’s final tranche of approximately $1.1 billion (SDR 828 million). 

    This sum represents the last portion of the $3-billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) initiated in June of the previous year.

    Julie Kozack, IMF Communication Director, revealed this information during a media briefing, highlighting the significance of the staff-level agreement reached on March 19 between IMF staff and Pakistani authorities. 

    This agreement, subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, acknowledges Pakistan’s strong program implementation by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and the interim government, as well as the new government’s commitment to ongoing policy and reform endeavors aimed at transitioning Pakistan from stabilisation to robust, sustainable recovery.

    Kozack emphasised the improvement in Pakistan’s economic and financial position since the completion of the first review, with growth and confidence steadily rebounding. 

    Looking ahead, she mentioned the possibility of a successor IMF-supported program to address Pakistan’s fiscal and external stability challenges and foster inclusive growth, indicating the IMF’s readiness to engage in discussions with Pakistani authorities.

    Meanwhile, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves witnessed a modest increase, reaching $8.04 billion as of March 29, although still considered low for an import-dependent economy, raising concerns about potential future pressure. 

    Finance Minister Muhammad Aurganzeb has acknowledged the need for another IMF bailout, with discussions slated for the upcoming Spring meetings of the Board of Governors of the World Bank Group and IMF scheduled for April 15-20, 2024, in Washington DC, where Aurangzeb is expected to lead Pakistan’s delegation.

  • SBP’s foreign exchange reserves rise by $18.5 million

    SBP’s foreign exchange reserves rise by $18.5 million

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) saw an increase in its foreign exchange reserves, rising by $18.5 million or 0.23 per cent week over week (WoW), reaching $8.04 billion by the week ending March 29, 2024, according to the latest data released by the central bank on Thursday.

    However, the country’s overall reserves took a dip, decreasing by $48.7 million, or 0.36 per cent of WoW, and settling at $13.38 billion. 

    This decline is attributed to a drop in reserves held by commercial banks, which fell by $67.2 million, or 1.24 per cent of WoW, reaching $5.34 billion.

    It’s important to note that in the current fiscal year, total liquid foreign reserves have increased by $4.22 billion, or 46.06 per cent. 

    Additionally, the ongoing calendar year has seen an increase of $0.71 billion, or 5.57 per cent.

  • SBP sees surge of over $17 million in forex reserves

    SBP sees surge of over $17 million in forex reserves

    The latest data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) revealed a notable rise in the country’s foreign exchange reserves. During the week ending March 8, 2024, SBP’s reserves increased by $17.2 million, marking a 0.22 per cent growth, reaching a total of $7.91 billion.

    Additionally, Pakistan’s overall reserves experienced a surge, ascending by $131.3 million, or 1.01 per cent, week-on-week (WoW), to a sum of $13.15 billion. This increase was further complemented by a rise in reserves held by commercial banks, which climbed by $114.1 million, or 2.23 per cent, to reach $5.24 billion.

    In a significant development, the second review of the stand-by arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is slated to take place from March 14 to 18, 2024. This review holds particular importance as it marks the final assessment under the SBA. Upon reaching a staff-level agreement, the final tranche of $1.1 billion will be disbursed, subject to approval by the Executive Board of the IMF.

    It is noteworthy that in the current fiscal year, Pakistan has witnessed a substantial increase in its total liquid foreign reserves, amounting to $3.99 billion, or 43.57 per cent. Similarly, the ongoing calendar year has seen a rise of $0.48 billion, or 3.77 per cent.

  • Moody’s cautions on Pakistan’s fiscal challenges despite recent stability

    Moody’s cautions on Pakistan’s fiscal challenges despite recent stability

    Moody’s Investors Service, a global credit rating agency, stated on Tuesday that Pakistan’s credit rating could see an upgrade if the government successfully reduces liquidity and external vulnerability risks.

    Despite this potential, Moody’s maintained Pakistan’s credit rating at ‘Caa3’ for long-term issuer rating with a stable outlook in its periodic review.

    The credit profile of Pakistan reflects significant liquidity and external vulnerability risks, attributed to low foreign exchange reserves insufficient to meet high external financing needs in the near to medium term, according to Moody’s.

    The agency also highlighted the country’s very weak fiscal strength and elevated political risks as constraints on its credit profile.

    Moody’s expressed uncertainty regarding the new government’s ability to swiftly negotiate a new International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme after the ongoing programme concludes in April.

    While acknowledging Pakistan’s large economy and moderate growth potential, the agency emphasized the nation’s high liquidity and external vulnerability risks, despite economic stability maintained by the caretaker government and recent reforms.

    The agency recognised the government’s efforts to unlock financing from the IMF and other partners, resulting in a modest accumulation of foreign exchange reserves.

    However, it cautioned that, despite meeting external debt obligations for the fiscal year ending June 2024, there is limited visibility on sources of financing to address high external financing needs post-the current IMF stand-by arrangement.

    Moody’s rationale for the stable outlook at the Caa3 rating level is based on the assessment that pressures on Pakistan align with this rating, with broadly balanced risks.

    The agency suggested that continued IMF engagement beyond the current programme could attract additional financing from other partners, reducing default risk.

    Nonetheless, it emphasised the substantial external financing required and low reserve position, indicating potential default risks with funding delays.

    Moody’s indicated that an upgrade in Pakistan’s rating could occur with a substantial and sustained reduction in liquidity and external vulnerability risks, coupled with increased foreign exchange reserves and fiscal consolidation.

    Conversely, a downgrade might be likely if Pakistan defaults on debt obligations with significant losses to creditors.

    The agency expressed uncertainty regarding the new government’s ability to negotiate a new IMF programme swiftly after the ongoing one expires in April, citing high political risks following the controversial general elections held on February 8, 2024.

    Moody’s warned that without a new programme, Pakistan’s ability to secure loans from other partners would be severely constrained.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves witness a dip of $127 million

    Pakistan’s forex reserves witness a dip of $127 million

    In a recent report, it was revealed that the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) experienced a decline of $127 million during the week ending January 12, settling at $8.03 billion.

    The country’s total liquid foreign reserves, including those held by commercial banks, amounted to $13.15 billion. Specifically, commercial banks held net foreign reserves of $5.12 billion.

    The SBP attributed the reduction in reserves to debt repayments, stating, “During the week ending on January 12, 2024, the SBP’s reserves decreased by US$ 127 million to US$ 8,027.4 million due to debt repayments.”

    Notably, the previous week had also seen a decrease in Pakistan’s central bank reserves, amounting to $66 million.

    In a significant development, Pakistan received a tranche of $705.6 million from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as confirmed in a statement by the SBP on Wednesday.

    The central bank stated, “The SBP has received SDR 528 million (equivalent to $705.6 million) on January 16, 2024, from the IMF following the successful completion of the first review by the Executive Board of the IMF under Standby Arrangement (SBA).”

    The impact of this disbursement will be reflected in the central bank reserves for the week ending January 19.

  • PKR sustains positive momentum, gains 0.04% against US dollar in ninth consecutive session

    PKR sustains positive momentum, gains 0.04% against US dollar in ninth consecutive session

    In the inter-bank market, the Pakistani rupee continued its positive trend against the US dollar for the ninth consecutive session on Monday, appreciating by 0.04 per cent to settle at Rs280.24, reflecting a gain of Re0.12, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    During the preceding week, the Pakistani rupee sustained its upward movement, appreciating by Rs1.04 or 0.37 per cent against the US dollar, settling at 280.36 in the inter-bank market.

    This surge in value is attributed to the recent announcement of a staff-level agreement (SLA) between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on the first review of the $3 billion Stand-by Arrangement (SBA). Consequently, the approval of the second tranche of the package ensued.

    The IMF Executive Board completed the first review of the SBA last week, facilitating an immediate disbursement of $700 million.

    As of January 5, the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan amount to $8.15 billion, with expectations of further augmentation through IMF inflows.

    On the global front, the US dollar experienced a decline on Monday amid renewed anticipations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March.

    Simultaneously, the Chinese yuan faced challenges, hovering near a one-month low ahead of forthcoming economic data releases.

    The likelihood of a Fed cut in March gained traction following unexpected December data indicating a decline in US producer prices, prompting a slide in US Treasury yields. The US dollar index remained stable at 102.50, exhibiting minimal fluctuations in recent sessions.

    In the realm of oil prices, a significant indicator of currency parity, a slight uptick was observed on Monday. This movement was influenced by concerns over potential supply disruptions in the Middle East, following strikes by US and British forces aimed at preventing Houthi militia in Yemen from attacking ships in the Red Sea.

  • Winning streak: Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.04% in fourth consecutive session

    Winning streak: Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.04% in fourth consecutive session

    In a resilient display, the Pakistani rupee continued its upward trajectory against the US dollar, marking gains for the fourth consecutive session in the interbank market on Monday. 

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a noteworthy appreciation of 0.04 per cent, with the rupee settling at Rs281.28 after a rise of Re0.12.

    This positive trend extends the rupee’s recent performance, as it achieved a 0.16 per cent appreciation during the preceding week, settling at Rs281.40 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market. 

    Impressively, this marks the eighth consecutive week of the local currency advancing against the greenback.

    The momentum driving the rupee’s strength can be attributed to the recent announcement of a staff-level agreement (SLA) between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    This agreement pertains to the first review of the $3 billion standby arrangement (SBA), reinforcing investor confidence in Pakistan’s economic stability.

    A significant development contributing to this positive outlook is the notable increase in foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan. 

    According to SBP data from the previous week, the central bank’s reserves surged by $464 million on a weekly basis, reaching $8.2 billion as of December 29.

    Internationally, the US dollar maintained stability on Monday, with investors eagerly awaiting a crucial US inflation report later in the week. This report is expected to provide clarity on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. 

    The greenback’s recent rally was supported by a rebound in US Treasury yields as traders adjusted their expectations regarding the pace and scale of potential Fed cuts this year. 

    This cautious optimism globally has complemented Pakistan’s positive economic indicators, contributing to the sustained strength of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar.

  • Pakistan repays $5.4 billion of $24.6 billion external debt

    Pakistan repays $5.4 billion of $24.6 billion external debt

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor revealed that Pakistan’s external debt obligations for Fiscal Year 2024 are $24.6 billion, as stated during the post-Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on Tuesday.

    Breaking down the figures, the principal amount is $20.7 billion, with an additional $3.9 billion accounting for interest.

    Notably, a total of $5.4 billion has already been repaid, encompassing a $4 billion principal payment and a $1.4 billion interest payment.

    As a result, the outstanding debt now stands at $19.2 billion, with plans to rollover $12.4 billion (with $9.3 billion already confirmed), according to the governor.

    This leaves a net remaining amount of $6.8 billion for the remaining seven months of the fiscal year. This comprises a $4.3 billion principal and a $2.5 billion interest payment.

    It’s crucial to note that the current foreign exchange reserves are relatively limited, standing at approximately $7 billion.