Tag: forex reserves

  • State Bank of Pakistan’s reserves soar to $8.27 billion, highest level since July 2023

    State Bank of Pakistan’s reserves soar to $8.27 billion, highest level since July 2023

    In the latest report, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced a significant rise of $243.1 million, or 3.03 per cent week-on-week, in foreign exchange reserves, reaching $8.27 billion as of January 19, 2024. 

    This boost is credited to the reception of the second installment of SDR 528 million, equivalent to $705.6 million, from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    After settling government external debt repayments, the net increase for the week stands at $243.1 million, marking the highest level for SBP’s reserves since July 14, 2023.

    Furthermore, the total reserves of the country witnessed an increase of $196.3 million, or 1.49 per cent, totaling $13.34 billion during the same week. 

    In contrast, commercial banks experienced a decline in reserves, dropping by $46.8 million, or 0.91 per cent, to $5.07 billion week-on-week.

    It is noteworthy that in the current fiscal year, total liquid foreign reserves have shown a substantial growth of $4.18 billion, reflecting a 45.65 per cent increase. 

    Similarly, the ongoing calendar year has seen a rise of $0.12 billion, marking a 0.91 per cent increase in the nation’s reserves.

  • State Bank of Pakistan’s forex reserves decline to $7.02 billion amidst debt repayments 

    State Bank of Pakistan’s forex reserves decline to $7.02 billion amidst debt repayments 

    During the week ending December 1, 2023, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) witnessed a decline of $237 million in its foreign exchange reserves, bringing the total to $7,020.2 million. This reduction is attributed to debt repayments.  

    As of the same date, the country’s overall liquid foreign reserves amounted to $12.1 billion. Commercial banks held net foreign reserves totaling $5.08 billion. 

    Notably, the central bank’s reserves received a boost in July of the current year when Pakistan secured the initial tranche of approximately $1.2 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  

    This was part of a newly approved $3 billion stand-by arrangement (SBA). Additionally, inflows were received from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. 

    Despite these positive developments, the SBP’s reserves have been under pressure due to ongoing debt repayments, increased import payments following eased restrictions, and a lack of new inflows. 

    In a significant development, the IMF announced last month that a staff-level agreement (SLA) had been reached between its team and Pakistani authorities regarding the first review of the SBA.  

    However, the approval of the IMF Executive Board is required for this agreement to take effect. 

    Upon approval, approximately $700 million (SDR 528 million) will become available, bringing the total disbursements under the programme to almost $1.9 billion. 

    Addressing the media after the SLA with the IMF, Caretaker Finance Minister Dr Shamshad Akhtar expressed confidence that external financing would not be a concern.  

    The government anticipates inflows in December 2023, which are expected to contribute to an increase in foreign exchange reserves. 

  • Pakistan’s cotton production surge offers hope for forex reserves 

    Pakistan’s cotton production surge offers hope for forex reserves 

    Cotton production this year is proving to be a silver lining for Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves, with an impressive 83 per cent increase in production for the 2023-24 season, totalling 6.79 million bales. 

    According to an estimate by the Pakistan Cotton Ginners’ Forum, cumulative production in the current season may reach around 9 to 9.5 million bales, a significant improvement from the previous year’s production of 5 million bales. This can be attributed to favourable weather conditions. 

    However, it’s worth noting that the production is still below the government’s target of 11.5 million bales. 

    According to Express Tribune, the recent 193 per cent increase in gas prices has exacerbated challenges faced by textile manufacturers and exporters, reducing the country’s competitiveness among regional textile exporters. 

    Another discouraging factor is for the farmers, as the market is offering them Rs7,000 per 40 kilogrammes, falling short of the government’s announced support price of Rs8,500 per 40 kilogrammes.

    The government has yet to fulfil its promise of purchasing cotton to stabilise market prices.  

    The Caretaker Prime Minister has urged the activation of the Trading Corporation of Pakistan, but this action is contingent on approval from the Economic Coordination Committee of the Cabinet, which has not yet occurred. 

    Ginners has mentioned that the increase in cotton production will save the country approximately $1 billion in import costs. 

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves surge by $67 million to reach $7.7 billion

    Pakistan’s forex reserves surge by $67 million to reach $7.7 billion

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a notable weekly surge in foreign exchange reserves, with an increase of $67 million, reaching $7.7 billion as of October 13, as per the latest data release on Thursday.

    In total, the nation’s readily available foreign reserves amounted to $12.9 billion, with commercial banks holding $5.2 billion in net foreign reserves. The central bank did not provide a specific explanation for this increase.

    During the week concluding on October 13, 2023, the SBP’s reserves climbed by $67 million, reaching a total of $7,714.0 million, according to the SBP’s statement. This follows a previous week’s increase of $31 million.

    Notably, in July of this year, the central bank’s reserves received a significant boost when Pakistan received an initial disbursement of approximately $1.2 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), following the approval of a new $3-billion stand-by arrangement. Additionally, inflows from Saudi Arabia and the UAE contributed to this increase.

    Nevertheless, the central bank’s reserves have faced pressure due to ongoing debt repayments, increased import expenditures following the easing of restrictions, and a lack of fresh inflows.

  • Dar credits govt’s prudent economic policies as Pakistan’s forex reserves rise to $14 billion

    Dar credits govt’s prudent economic policies as Pakistan’s forex reserves rise to $14 billion

    In a recent Senate session, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced that Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have witnessed a significant increase, rising from $8 billion to an impressive $14 billion. He attributed this remarkable growth to the government’s prudent economic policies and the unwavering support received from friendly nations, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and China.

    Dar said that China played a pivotal role in bolstering Pakistan’s financial position. Recognising Pakistan’s adherence to all technicalities regarding loan repayment, China graciously agreed to roll over the country’s loans. This move from China came as a testament to Pakistan’s commitment to fulfilling its financial obligations.

    Speaking about the nation’s economic future, Dar urged all political forces to unite and collaborate on a charter for the economy. The proposed charter aims to tackle the country’s financial challenges collectively, serving as a guiding framework to lead Pakistan out of the current financial crisis.

    Addressing a specific issue, the Finance Minister expressed concern over Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) annual loss of approximately Rs70 billion. He attributed this financial setback to an irresponsible statement made by a former minister during the previous regime. Dar highlighted the need for careful and responsible statements from leaders, as they can have far-reaching consequences for the national flag carrier.

    In a piece of encouraging news for the aviation sector, the minister also shared that the Pakistan Airports Authority Bill 2023 is on track to be implemented. Once enacted, this bill will pave the way for the resumption of PIA’s operations in Europe. The move is expected to bolster the airline’s revenue and contribute positively to the nation’s economic growth.

  • IMF reaches $3 billion stand-by arrangement with Pakistan, averting impending default

    IMF reaches $3 billion stand-by arrangement with Pakistan, averting impending default

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Pakistan have reached a staff-level agreement on a stand-by arrangement worth $3 billion, announced the lender. This decision has been eagerly anticipated by Pakistan, a South Asian nation that is on the verge of default.

    The approval of the IMF board, expected in July, is required to finalise the deal. After an eight-month delay, this agreement brings some relief to Pakistan, which is currently grappling with a severe balance of payments crisis and dwindling foreign exchange reserves.

    The funding of $3 billion, which will be disbursed over a period of nine months, surpasses initial expectations. Pakistan had been awaiting the release of the remaining $2.5 billion from a $6.5 billion bailout package that was initially agreed upon in 2019, and which expired on Friday. As a result, the country’s stock and currency markets remained closed on that day.

    According to IMF official Nathan Porter, the new stand-by arrangement builds upon the 2019 programme. Porter acknowledged the significant challenges faced by Pakistan’s economy in recent times, including devastating floods last year and rising commodity prices following the war in Ukraine.

    He stated, “Despite the authorities’ efforts to reduce imports and the trade deficit, reserves have declined to very low levels. Liquidity conditions in the power sector also remain acute.” Porter further emphasised that the new arrangement would serve as a policy anchor and a framework for financial assistance from both multilateral and bilateral partners in the foreseeable future.

    Porter also highlighted the acute liquidity conditions in the power sector, characterised by mounting arrears and frequent power outages. Reforming the energy sector, which has accumulated a debt of nearly 3.6 trillion Pakistani rupees ($12.58 billion), has been a pivotal aspect of the discussions between Pakistan and the IMF.

  • Govt expected to increase petrol price by up to Rs14 per litre for the next fortnight

    Govt expected to increase petrol price by up to Rs14 per litre for the next fortnight

    Petroleum prices are expected to jump by approximately Rs10-14 per litre for the upcoming two weeks. Credible industry sources suggest that the government may contemplate increasing the prices of petroleum products in response to the increasing oil prices in the global markets.

    If the government considers compensating for exchange rate losses, as opposed to the previous review where the authorities did not transfer the impact of rupee devaluation to the public, the hike in prices could increase to as much as Rs14 per litre.

    The ex-depot price of petrol in the country is currently Rs272 per litre, and according to the workings of the oil sector, it is expected to reach Rs286.77 per litre in the next review if the government passes on the impact of global oil prices and exchange rate losses. However, even if the government does not adjust for exchange losses, petrol prices are still likely to increase due to higher global oil prices. The anticipated increase in the price of petrol is based on the current rate of taxes, with the government levying an Rs50 per litre charge on petrol and zero general sales tax.

    The expected rise in petrol prices is based on the Rs5 per litre exchange loss adjustment of Pakistan State Oil (PSO), which the government did not include in the past to keep petrol prices low. The prices of petroleum products would have been higher following the massive depreciation of the rupee against the dollar in the last two and a half months when, under International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditions, the market-based exchange rate was allowed.

    On the other hand, the price of high-speed diesel (HSD) is expected to remain unchanged in the next review of prices, as the current ex-depot price of HSD is the same as the expected price for the next fortnightly period. The anticipated unchanged price of HSD is based on the Rs17.50 exchange loss adjustment of PSO, which was pending when the dollar price increased massively in the last few weeks. Sources suggest that if the government does not adjust for exchange rate losses, the diesel price may decrease by Rs15 per litre.

    The government raised the petroleum levy on HSD to Rs50 per litre under IMF conditions in the last review of prices and charged no GST on it. According to sources, while the oil sector’s workings reflect a rise in petrol prices and no change in HSD, it is up to the government to decide. In the current scenario, the government has no option but to increase the price of petrol, as its financial space is already squeezed. Additionally, the government is making desperate efforts to revive the IMF program to shore up forex reserves.