Tag: Global Oil Prices

  • Govt expected to increase petrol price by up to Rs14 per litre for the next fortnight

    Govt expected to increase petrol price by up to Rs14 per litre for the next fortnight

    Petroleum prices are expected to jump by approximately Rs10-14 per litre for the upcoming two weeks. Credible industry sources suggest that the government may contemplate increasing the prices of petroleum products in response to the increasing oil prices in the global markets.

    If the government considers compensating for exchange rate losses, as opposed to the previous review where the authorities did not transfer the impact of rupee devaluation to the public, the hike in prices could increase to as much as Rs14 per litre.

    The ex-depot price of petrol in the country is currently Rs272 per litre, and according to the workings of the oil sector, it is expected to reach Rs286.77 per litre in the next review if the government passes on the impact of global oil prices and exchange rate losses. However, even if the government does not adjust for exchange losses, petrol prices are still likely to increase due to higher global oil prices. The anticipated increase in the price of petrol is based on the current rate of taxes, with the government levying an Rs50 per litre charge on petrol and zero general sales tax.

    The expected rise in petrol prices is based on the Rs5 per litre exchange loss adjustment of Pakistan State Oil (PSO), which the government did not include in the past to keep petrol prices low. The prices of petroleum products would have been higher following the massive depreciation of the rupee against the dollar in the last two and a half months when, under International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditions, the market-based exchange rate was allowed.

    On the other hand, the price of high-speed diesel (HSD) is expected to remain unchanged in the next review of prices, as the current ex-depot price of HSD is the same as the expected price for the next fortnightly period. The anticipated unchanged price of HSD is based on the Rs17.50 exchange loss adjustment of PSO, which was pending when the dollar price increased massively in the last few weeks. Sources suggest that if the government does not adjust for exchange rate losses, the diesel price may decrease by Rs15 per litre.

    The government raised the petroleum levy on HSD to Rs50 per litre under IMF conditions in the last review of prices and charged no GST on it. According to sources, while the oil sector’s workings reflect a rise in petrol prices and no change in HSD, it is up to the government to decide. In the current scenario, the government has no option but to increase the price of petrol, as its financial space is already squeezed. Additionally, the government is making desperate efforts to revive the IMF program to shore up forex reserves.

  • International petrol, diesel prices drop, but no relief for Pakistanis

    The government has decided not to reduce the prices of diesel and petrol for local consumers, despite a significant decrease in their international prices. This decision is intended to offset previous exchange losses and raise taxation.

    On February 28, 2023, the average fortnightly prices of petrol and diesel in the global market will be used for the next price revision. According to industry sources, the average price of diesel for the next fortnightly review has dropped by $7 per barrel, which equates to a reduction of Rs30 per litre for domestic diesel prices.

    The global average price of diesel has fallen to approximately $100 per barrel compared to $107 per barrel in the previous fortnight. Similarly, the average price of petrol has dropped to $90 per barrel for the next review of prices compared to $93 per barrel in the last fortnightly review, which translates into a reduction of Rs10 per litre for consumers in the local market.

    According to Geo, the appreciation of the Pakistani rupee against the dollar in the last two weeks has also contributed to the reduction in import prices of diesel and petrol. However, industry sources do not expect any significant reduction in the prices of diesel and petrol for domestic consumers.

    The government is expected to adjust the exchange losses, which were not passed on fully to the oil sector in the last several reviews. For example, an exchange loss adjustment of Rs88 per litre was due on diesel, but the government only transferred Rs12 per litre on this head, leaving the remaining amount to be adjusted. The same is true for petrol, with an exchange loss adjustment of Rs34 per litre due, but only Rs12 per litre being given to the oil industry.

    Under the conditions set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the government may increase the petroleum levy (PL) on diesel to Rs50 per litre, as it now has room to do so. Currently, the PL on diesel is Rs40 per litre.

    If the government does not impose GST, sources expect a cut of Rs10 per litre in diesel prices, which would otherwise deprive local consumers of the drop in diesel prices in the global market.

    However, official industry sources do not anticipate any reduction in the price of petrol for local consumers, which would otherwise have been down by Rs10, as per the trends of its price in the global market.

  • Petrol price may go down by Rs7.24 to Rs230.19 per liter

    According to industry projections, the ex-depot cost of petrol has declined by Rs7.24 per litre to Rs230.19 per litre for the upcoming fortnight from the current price of Rs237.43 per litre, as reported by The News.

    Considering recent reports, this might lead to a fall in the price of petrol by Rs7.24 per litre and diesel by Rs16.61 per litre in Pakistan at the upcoming fortnightly review if the government does not raise taxes to offset the effects of the declining worldwide market.

    Expected new prices

    In comparison to the present price of Rs247.43 per litre, the ex-depot price of diesel has fallen by Rs16.61 to Rs230.82 per litre for the upcoming two weeks.

    In comparison to the current fortnight, the ex-depot price of light diesel decreased by Rs10.87 to Rs186.41 per litre.

    Kerosene’s ex-depot price fell from Rs197.28 per litre to Rs187.82 per litre, a decrease of Rs14.20.

    The oil sector bases its prices on the current taxes levied by the government. Petroleum goods are exempt from general sales tax (GST), which is charged at a rate of Rs37.42 for petrol and Rs7.58 for diesel per litre.

    There has been a considerable decline in international oil prices, but it is unclear if the government would pass the impact through to the public or offset it by increasing taxes.

  • Petrol price reduced by Rs18.50 per liter, Diesel by Rs40.54 per liter

    Petrol price reduced by Rs18.50 per liter, Diesel by Rs40.54 per liter

    In an attempt to provide relief to the masses and share the advantages of falling crude prices on the global market, the price of petrol has been slashed by Rs18.50 per liter.

    The price reductions for petroleum products were announced by the Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, in an address to the nation.

    Diesel will now cost Rs236 per liter, while gasoline will now be sold at Rs230.24 per liter. The new prices for petroleum products, according to the Prime Minister, will take effect from midnight.

    He went on to explain why, after taking office, his government had to raise the price of gasoline. He continued, “We had raised fuel prices to meet the demands made by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which were approved by the previous administration.

    “The government has decided to pass on the relief to the people and has therefore reduced the price of petrol and diesel by Rs18.50 and Rs40.54 per liter, respectively,” he continued.

  • Global oil prices rise amid supply concerns

    Global oil prices rise amid supply concerns

    Oil prices increased on April 20, swamped by fears about tightening supply as the European Union (EU) considers a possible ban on Russian oil imports, which would further impede global oil commerce.

    After reaching a high of $109.80, Brent oil futures finished up $1.53 to close at $108.33 a barrel. After earlier reaching a high of $105.42, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures ended up $1.60, or 1.6 per cent, at $103.79.

    Consumers also reacted to continued disruptions in Libya, where blockades at major fields and export terminals have resulted in a loss of about 550,000 barrels per day of oil supply.

    Brent has climbed about 8 per cent in the last seven days of trading, but the advance has been calm and steady, unlike the frenzy that surrounded Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February and again in mid-March.

    Last week, US crude exports increased to more than 4 million barrels per day, slightly countering Russian crude losses caused by US and European bans.

    Read more: Pakistani rupee plunges by Rs1.05 against the US dollar

    The oil market is still constrained, with the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its affiliates, led by Russia, striving to achieve output commitments and US crude inventories plunging dramatically in the week ending April 15.