Tag: IMF agreement

  • IMF board’s January meeting to shape future disbursements for Pakistan

    IMF board’s January meeting to shape future disbursements for Pakistan

    The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board is scheduled to convene on January 11 to endorse the Staff-Level Agreement (SLA) with Pakistan, marking the inaugural review of the $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA).

    In June, the IMF Executive Board granted approval for a crucial nine-month arrangement with Pakistan, aimed at supporting its economic stabilisation programme.

    This approval facilitated an immediate disbursement of $1.2 billion, with the remaining funds to be disbursed over the programme’s timeline, contingent upon two quarterly evaluations.

    Following negotiations between IMF staff and Pakistani authorities on November 15 in Islamabad, the SLA was successfully reached, paving the way for Pakistan to access SDR 528 million (approximately $700 million).

    This latest disbursement brings the cumulative total under the nine-month $3 billion SBA to nearly $1.9 billion.

    While the initial plan had tentatively slated the IMF Board meeting for December 7 to approve the initial tranche, the confirmed date is now set for January 11.

  • Pakistan Stock Exchange surges 2.33% to reach 66,223.63 points

    Pakistan Stock Exchange surges 2.33% to reach 66,223.63 points

    The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) maintained its upward trajectory, with the benchmark KSE-100 index reaching a new pinnacle on Friday. 

    At the close, the index concluded at 66,223.63, marking a noteworthy increase of 1,505.56 points, or 2.33 per cent.

    While surpassing the 66,000 level earlier in the day, a temporary slowdown occurred in the second half due to profit-taking. 

    Nevertheless, bullish activity returned during the final hour, propelling the benchmark index to an intra-day peak of 66,273.73.

    The market displayed widespread buying across key sectors such as cement, chemicals, commercial banks, fertiliser, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, and power generation and distribution sectors. 

    Thursday’s trading session had already seen a positive trend, with the KSE-100 settling at 64,718.08, reflecting a gain of 800.35 points, or 1.25 per cent.

    This continued momentum is attributed to enhanced economic indicators following the recent agreement between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) authorities on the first review of the Stand-By Agreement (SBA) last month.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves rebound: SBP gains $77 million in a week 

    Pakistan’s forex reserves rebound: SBP gains $77 million in a week 

    According to data released on Thursday, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) witnessed a weekly increase of $77 million in its foreign exchange reserves, reaching $7.26 billion as of November 24.  

    The total liquid foreign reserves for the country amounted to $12.39 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves at $5.13 billion. 

    During the week ending on November 24, 2023, SBP’s reserves increased by $77 million, reaching $7,257.0 million. Contrastingly, the previous week saw a decrease of $217 million in Pakistan’s central bank reserves. 

    In July of this year, the central bank’s reserves received a boost as Pakistan obtained the initial tranche of approximately $1.2 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) following the approval of a new $3-billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA).  

    This boost was complemented by inflows from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. 

    However, the SBP reserves faced pressure due to debt repayments, a surge in import payments after the easing of restrictions, and a lack of fresh inflows. 

    In a significant development, the IMF announced last week that its staff and Pakistani authorities had reached an agreement on the first review of the SBA.  

    The staff-level agreement is pending approval by the IMF Executive Board. 

    The IMF team reached a staff-level agreement (SLA) with the Pakistani authorities on the first review of their stabilization program supported by the IMF’s $3 billion (SDR2,250 million) SBA.  

    Upon approval, approximately $700 million (SDR 528 million) will become available, bringing total disbursements under the program to almost $1.9 billion. 

    Following the SLA with the IMF, Caretaker Finance Minister Dr Shamshad Akhtar expressed confidence that external financing would not be an issue, anticipating inflows in December 2023 to contribute to an increase in foreign exchange reserves. 

  • PSX hits historic high: KSE-100 index surpasses 59,000 mark for the first time

    PSX hits historic high: KSE-100 index surpasses 59,000 mark for the first time

    The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) extended its impressive performance, achieving a historic milestone as the benchmark KSE-100 Index surpassed the 59,000 mark for the first time ever on Friday.

    At the close of the session, the benchmark index concluded at 59,086.35, registering a gain of 186.51 points, or 0.32 per cent. This marks its highest closing level to date.

    Earlier in the day, the KSE-100 index reached an intra-day peak of 59,502.28. However, profit-taking activities in the second half of the trading session led to a partial retreat from these gains.

    The trading session commenced with widespread buying, particularly in key sectors such as automobile assemblers, cement, chemicals, commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, and technology and communication, all contributing to a positive market trend.

    In the preceding session on Thursday, bulls maintained control of the bourse, with the benchmark index settling at 58,899.84, marking a substantial increase of 701.08 points, or 1.20 per cent.

    The bullish momentum in the stock market follows the recent staff-level agreement between Pakistani authorities and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on the first review under the nine-month $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA).

    Market experts anticipate increased inflows in the coming weeks due to this agreement. However, data released on Thursday revealed a decrease of $217 million in foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on a weekly basis, reaching $7.2 billion as of November 17.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves dip by $79 million amidst external debt repayments

    Pakistan’s forex reserves dip by $79 million amidst external debt repayments

    Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves declined by $79 million in the past week, primarily due to external debt repayments. 

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), as of November 10, 2023, the country’s total reserves amounted to $12.535 billion, down from $12.614 billion on November 3, 2023.

    During the reviewed week, SBP’s reserves decreased by $115 million to $7.397 billion due to debt servicing. Conversely, commercial banks’ net foreign reserves increased by $36 million, reaching $5.139 billion by the end of the week.

    In a significant development, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced on Wednesday that a staff-level agreement (SLA) has been reached on the first review of a nine-month stand-by arrangement (SBA) totaling $3 billion with Pakistani authorities.

    Pending approval by the IMF Executive Board, the SLA signifies a milestone, and upon approval, an amount of SDR 528 million, approximately a $700 million loan tranche, will be disbursed to Pakistan. 

    This disbursement will bring the total funds received under the IMF SBA to $1.9 billion.

    These incoming funds are expected to contribute to replenishing the country’s diminishing foreign exchange reserves. 

    The IMF team, led by Nathan Porter, conducted discussions in Pakistan from November 2–15, 2023, culminating in the announcement of the SLA upon the completion of the economic review.

  • Finance Minister envisions Pakistan’s economy soaring to $2 trillion by 2047 

    Finance Minister envisions Pakistan’s economy soaring to $2 trillion by 2047 

    Dr Shamshad Akhtar, the Caretaker Finance Minister, emphasised Pakistan’s significant economic potential, stating that the country could achieve a $2 trillion economy by 2047, as per a World Bank report.  

    Addressing the Future Summit in Karachi, she underscored the importance of adopting robust economic and sector-specific policies, coupled with a resolute commitment to implementing challenging structural reforms. 

    Dr Akhtar highlighted the need for increased innovation and diversification within the economic framework to ensure sustainable growth.  

    Emphasising the role of Development Finance Institutions (DFIs), she noted that institutions with expertise, efficiency, and flexibility could serve as crucial drivers for the growth and development of the capital market. 

    In a recent meeting with the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) and heads of DFIs, Dr Akhtar discussed the progress of establishing a private equity and venture capital (PE and VC) fund.  

    While the DFIs reaffirmed their commitment, they also provided insights into the progress made and challenges encountered in the process. 

    Notably, Pakistan, currently under a caretaker government, successfully reached a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund on the first review of a short-term bailout program.  

    This agreement clears the path for unlocking $700 million, a crucial step in mitigating the looming economic crisis.  

    The caretaker government has implemented various fiscal measures, including an increase in the petrol levy, additional taxes, and significant reforms in the power sector, to address the economic challenges effectively. 

  • IMF-backed gas price hike in Pakistan aims to tackle rising circular debt

    IMF-backed gas price hike in Pakistan aims to tackle rising circular debt

    The Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) recently made a decision to raise gas prices, a move that financial experts at Topline Securities, a brokerage firm, believe is a crucial step in Pakistan’s efforts to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This agreement is set for review in November.

    The decision to increase gas prices is seen as a necessity due to the alarming escalation of gas circular debt, which has now reached a staggering Rs2.1 trillion.

    Unfortunately, this debt is increasing at a rate of Rs350–400 billion annually, as stated by the Energy Minister.

    The IMF has consistently advocated for reducing circular debt by raising gas tariffs, as it places a substantial burden on Pakistan’s fiscal accounts. We anticipate that this, in conjunction with the rationalisation of power tariffs, will pave the way for Pakistan to secure a staff-level agreement during the November review.

    Notably, the ECC approved the proposed tariff schedule submitted by the Ministry of Energy, which will come into effect on November 1, 2023, instead of the initially proposed date of October 1, 2023.

    According to the approved schedule, there will be an increase of up to 173 per cent for non-protected domestic consumers, 136 per cent for commercial consumers, 86 per cent for export, and 117 per cent for non-export industries.

    Looking ahead, Pakistani authorities are gearing up for discussions with the IMF during the upcoming review of the $3 billion loan programme scheduled for November.

    Analysts predict that the rise in gas tariffs will help to minimise the disparity in gas tariffs for Sui Southern Gas Company (SSGC) and Sui Northern Gas Company Limited (SNGPL), resulting in a positive impact on their cash flow.

    The combined revenues of both Sui companies, which totaled around Rs1.6 trillion, are expected to experience significant improvement following this gas price hike as the tariff differential narrows.

    Furthermore, the increase in gas prices will have a positive impact on exploration companies like the Oil & Gas Development Company (OGDC) and Pakistan Petroleum (PPL) as it aids in reducing gas circular debt.

  • Pakistani rupee claims top spot as best-performing currency worldwide 

    Pakistani rupee claims top spot as best-performing currency worldwide 

    Amidst a determined crackdown on smuggling and illegal financial activities, the Pakistani rupee has emerged as the world’s top-performing currency for September. During this remarkable month, the rupee’s value surged from Rs305.54 against the US dollar on August 31st to Rs287.74 on September 28th, a notable increase of Rs17.8 or 6.2 per cent.

    Impressively, this positive trend persisted for 17 consecutive trading sessions, resulting in an overall gain of nearly 7 per cent since hitting its lowest point at 307.1 on September 5th. 

    It’s essential to note that the currency market was closed on Friday, September 29th. In terms of global currency performance, the Mauritian rupee secured the second position with a modest appreciation of 0.7 per cent, while the Hong Kong dollar claimed third place, showing a slight improvement of 0.2 per cent throughout September. These figures are based on data from the brokerage house Arif Habib Limited (AHL), reported on a recent Friday. 

    Financial experts attribute this remarkable rupee surge to a series of government measures aimed at curbing dollar smuggling and currency hoarding. Additionally, during the same month, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) introduced structural reforms targeting the Exchange Companies (ECs) sector. These reforms included a directive for commercial banks to establish their own ECs as wholly-owned subsidiaries and an increase in the minimum capital requirement for ECs from Rs200 million to Rs500 million. 

    Notably, the Pakistani rupee recorded substantial gains in the inter-bank market, appreciating by 6-9 per cent against three major currencies – the US dollar, UK Pound, and Euro – over the past few weeks. Even in the open market, the rupee showed a significant upswing of 11-13 per cent, effectively eliminating the premium associated with the open-market rate. This is particularly impressive given that the US Dollar index reached a 10-month high. 

    This strengthening of the rupee aligns with the commitment made by Pakistani authorities in July when they entered into a vital $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This agreement was pivotal in averting a potential sovereign default and required the adoption of a market-based exchange rate, which has now proven to be a pivotal factor in the rupee’s impressive resurgence.