Tag: IMF

  • Khan lashes out at govt on fuel hike

    Khan lashes out at govt on fuel hike

    Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Chairman and former Prime Minister (PM) Imran Khan lashed out at the incumbent government for Sunday’s surprise hike in petroleum prices.

    In a tweet, he said, “Total mismanagement of our economy by a corrupt and incompetent imported govt has crushed masses and salaried class with the latest hike in petrol and diesel prices”.

    Moreover, he claimed that 35 per cent “unprecedented inflation” is expected with Rs 200 billion mini-budget.

    Earlier in the day, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced that the federal government has decided to hike the prices of petrol and diesel by Rs 35 per litre.

    The decision came days before International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) officials are scheduled to visit Pakistan to discuss the stalled ninth review of the country’s current funding programme.

  • Dar vs Khan: Ishaq challenges IK to live debate on economy

    Dar vs Khan: Ishaq challenges IK to live debate on economy

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar, in a televised address on Friday, strongly criticised Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Chairman and former Prime Minister (PM) Imran Khan’s economic policies and challenged him to hold a “live debate” with him on the economic crisis.

    The finance czar started by saying that the incumbent government sacrificed politics for the sake of the country.

    Taking a jibe at Khan’s address in which he narrated his economic successes, Dar said that the speech was “full of lies” and that he quoted wrong figures.

    “You [Khan] can hold a live debate and bring the economic survey and State Bank documents,” he said, asking the PTI chief to not mislead the public by quoting ‘wrong figures’.

    Speaking about Imran’s claims of creating 55 million jobs, the finance minister argued that the economic survey from the PTI setup showed that only 33 million jobs were created.

    Accusing Khan of creating the ongoing economic crisis, he said that inflation rate was 8.6 per cent under the former Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) government, which spiked to double digits during the PTI era.

    Shedding light on International Monetary Fund (IMF), Dar said when Imran realised he was being ousted, he disowned all the agreements and left behind landmines, adding that Pakistan had only completed one IMF programme in its history which was under the leadership of Nawaz Sharif.

    Dar also claimed that during their previous tenure international rating agencies predicted Pakistan would join G20 by 2030.

  • IMF mission to visit Pakistan next week to discuss stalled bailout programme

    IMF mission to visit Pakistan next week to discuss stalled bailout programme

    At the end of this month, an IMF delegation will travel to Pakistan to discuss the stalled ninth review of the country’s ongoing funding programme.

    The IMF provided Pakistan with a $6 billion bailout in 2019, which was increased by an additional $1 billion in 2022. However, the lender halted disbursements in November because Pakistan had not made further progress on fiscal reduction and economic reforms.

    “At the request of the authorities, an in-person Fund mission is scheduled to visit Islamabad January 31st–February 9th to continue the discussions under the ninth EFF review,” according to IMF Resident Representative in Pakistan Esther Perez Ruiz.

    A successful visit is crucial for Pakistan, which is facing an increasingly acute balance of payments crisis and is desperate to secure external financing with less than three weeks’ worth of import cover in its foreign exchange reserves.

    Multilateral and bilateral financing pledges for the cash-strapped country’s effort to rebuild after devastating floods last year are also tied to the country getting the green light from the IMF.

    According to Ruiz, the mission’s main objectives would be power sector reforms and local and international sustainability restoration strategies, such as strengthening the budgetary situation while aiding flood victims.

    The reinstatement of a market-based process to decide the value of the Pakistani rupee would also be discussed, she added. The country must have such a structure in place before receiving IMF assistance, but up until this week, it had not done so.

    The relaxation of price ceilings that the government had established but that the IMF disagreed with has resulted in a loss of close to 10 per cent of the value of the Pakistani rupee in just two days.

    In just two days, the local currency has lost close to 10 per cent of its value after the removal of price caps imposed by the government, which the IMF opposed.

    Stronger policy initiatives and reforms, according to Ruiz, are essential for Pakistan to get financial help from official partners and the markets and to lessen the high level of uncertainty that is weighing on its future.

    Market observers claimed that the IMF programme was trying to be restarted when the price limitations were abruptly removed.

  • Pakistani rupee witnesses biggest single-day decline against dollar in more than two decades

    Pakistani rupee witnesses biggest single-day decline against dollar in more than two decades

    Pakistani rupee dropped significantly against the US dollar in the interbank market on Thursday, as it fell more than 9 per cent during the intraday trade. Around 1:30 PM, the dollar’s intraday quote was Rs254.75, which represents a depreciation of Rs23.86.

    According to Ismail Iqbal Securities, “This is the largest single-day decline in both absolute and percentage terms, at least since 2000.”

    Earlier in the day the local unit was trading under Rs231.

    Experts predicted that as Pakistan attempted to meet the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) requirements to renew its bailout programme, the local currency would depreciate significantly in the coming days.

    While speaking to Brecorder, the Head of Research at Ismail Iqbal Securities Limited, Fahad Rauf, said it seems like the rupee has been let go today.

    “This is a market-driven rate,” Rauf said. “This is a sign that we are moving closer to reviving the stalled IMF programme.”

    The market expert said the development was much-needed, as capping the interbank rate only led to the creation of the grey market. He said that the development will improve the greenback supply to a significant extent.

    On Wednesday, the rupee registered a loss for the 26th successive session against the dollar to settle at Rs230.89, a decrease of Re0.49 or 0.21 per cent.

    Pakistani rupee on Thursday fell 9.61 per cent or Rs24.54 to a shocking all-time low of Rs255.43, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

  • Dar assures US of Pakistan’s commitment to the IMF ‘despite challenging economic conditions’

    Dar assures US of Pakistan’s commitment to the IMF ‘despite challenging economic conditions’

    Pakistan gave the United States reassurance on Wednesday that it was still committed to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme as the nation’s reserves fell to barely enough to cover one month’s worth of imports following another $500 million loan repayment.

    According to a formal statement from the Ministry of Finance, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar met Robert Kaproth, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Department of the Treasury for Asia.

    The status of the IMF programme was discussed by both parties during the meeting. Dar informed the US official about Pakistan’s efforts to reactivate the IMF programme.

    “Despite challenging economic conditions, the government is focusing on fixing things in the right direction and introducing reforms in all sectors including the energy sector and capital market to achieve economic growth and development,” Dar told Robert.

    Pakistan has been asked by the IMF to maintain a market-based currency rate, remove import restrictions, raise taxes, and raise electricity rates. However, the administration has not yet implemented any of these steps and is holding off until there has been a formal interaction with the international lender.

    According to Express Tribune, the summit was held as foreign exchange reserves were sharply declining, falling to only two weeks’ worth of import coverage, the lowest level in more than nine years.

  • Pakistan gets $2 billion from UAE, with $1 billion additional loan in pipeline

    Pakistan gets $2 billion from UAE, with $1 billion additional loan in pipeline

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced on Wednesday that the Abu Dhabi Fund for Development (ADFD) has rolled over their deposit of $2 billion with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    In a tweet, the minister highlighted that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had discussed the rollover with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, during his recent visit to the country.

    The UAE agreed to give Pakistan $1 billion and roll over an existing $2 billion loan on January 12, according to the Pakistani information minister, as the nation’s central bank’s foreign reserves had shrunk to only three weeks’ worth of imports.

    The UAE’s financial assistance gave the nation, which is still recovering from devastating countrywide floods that have cost more than $30 billion in damage, some solace.

    Shehbaz Sharif, the prime minister of Pakistan, announced the loans as he began a two-day trip to the United Arab Emirates. In a statement, Sharif stated, “This support will help us weather economic hardships.

    He met with UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan and was scheduled to speak with other government representatives and business executives about commercial and economic potential, according to Information Minister Marriyum Aurangzeb.

    External finance is essential for Pakistan’s faltering economy because the IMF’s ninth review to approve the transfer of a fresh $1.1 billion tranche of money to Pakistan has been on hold since September.

    According to Geo, SBP’s foreign exchange holdings dropped to an alarming $4.3 billion level, barely enough for three weeks’ worth of imports, according to the bank. Net foreign exchange reserves held by commercial banks stood at $5.8 billion, and total liquid reserves at $10.1 billion.

  • SBP-held foreign exchange reserves dropped to 9-year low of $4.34 billion

    SBP-held foreign exchange reserves dropped to 9-year low of $4.34 billion

    The State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange reserves fell to $4.34 billion, its lowest level since February 2014, due to a lack of dollar inflows from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or friendly nations.

    The SBP disclosed on Thursday that due to the repayment of external debt, its reserves fell by $1.23 billion during the week ended January 6.

    The country has been experiencing a severe dollar shortage, which is having a negative impact on the capacity to import even food and industrial raw supplies. The country doesn’t have enough dollars, according to the most recent status of foreign exchange reserves, to pay for even one month’s worth of routine imports.

    Data showed that commercial banks held $5.84 billion in net foreign currency reserves, while the overall amount of liquid foreign exchange reserves was $10.18 billion.

    Ever since the beginning of 2022–2023, reserves have been rapidly decreasing. In the upcoming months, analysts predict rising inflation and limited industrial output as manufacturing is constrained by the scarcity of imported raw materials.

    According to Geo, United Arab Emirates (UAE) will roll over the existing loan of $2 billion and give an additional $1 billion loan, which should stabilise the reserve position in the coming days.

    As the government strives to reduce imports amid a dollar shortage, the reserves, which fell to their lowest level since February 2014, would now only provide import coverage of 0.82 month.

  • Pakistan will take fiscal measures set by IMF but there will be no burden on the common man: Ishaq Dar

    Pakistan will take fiscal measures set by IMF but there will be no burden on the common man: Ishaq Dar

    Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue Ishaq Dar has categorically denied rumours suggesting that the government is considering “access to foreign exchange held with commercial banks.”

    “It is categorically denied and clarified that there is no such move under consideration of the government,” said Dar, in a series of tweets.

    The statement come days after the finance minister said that the country’s foreign exchange reserves stand at $10 billion, a much higher amount than the SBP’s $5.6 billion reserves as of December 30, 2022, since “dollars held by commercial banks also belonged to the country.”

    This comment gave rise to fears that the government may confiscate dollars from private banks as had been done in 1998 when Dar was the finance minister.

    However, Dar said that his comment was “greatly misconstrued” and nothing like this would happen.

    Dar explained at a press conference with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and other federal cabinet members that before 1999, all foreign currency was deposited with the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), and private banks were not permitted to hold any foreign currency.

    “In February 1999, when I was the finance minister, we devised a system whereby a substantial amount [of dollars] remain with [private] banks. It was on June 30, 1999 that reserves were broken down into three columns — those with the SBP, commercial banks and total.

    “Whenever Pakistan’s reserves are quoted anywhere in the world — a survey or a document — the [total figure] is quoted and then a breakdown is given. I gave a breakdown too,” he added.

    The minister claimed that certain people were to blame for the country’s dire circumstances, which caused it to drop from the 24th to the 47th largest economy in 2016.

    “Even now, they cannot tolerate any good development. They gave such a twist [to my statement],” he said, adding that while the federal cabinet was busy working for Pakistan under PM Shehbaz’s guidance, such people were spreading rumours that the government would take dollars from commercial banks.

    “Nothing of that sort will happen. Everything is all worked out … and in order. Nothing to worry about,” he assured, urging those “spreading the rumours” to play a positive national role.

    Dar also tweeted about the reserves later, saying national foreign exchange reserves always include forex held with SBP and commercial banks.

    Furthermore, Dar tweeted about the reserves and stated that SBP and commercial bank holdings are usually included in the nation’s foreign exchange reserves.

    “Recently I quoted the forex reserves figure based on this principle. Some vested elements who ruined this country’s economy in the past, gave it a deliberate twist and started a campaign as if govt was considering access to foreign exchange held with commercial banks which indeed is the property of the citizens.

    “It is categorically denied and clarified that there is no such move under consideration of the government,” he emphasised.

    The finance minister once again claimed that Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves would increase soon.

    As of December 30, 2022, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves had decreased to $5.6 billion, an eight-year low. This is equivalent to imports for three weeks.

    The swift decrease has made it impossible for the government to repay its international debts without taking out new loans from allies.

    Govt to comply with IMF conditions without burdening common man

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme’s ninth review, which would release $1.18 billion, has been postponed for months due to the government’s refusal to comply with some conditions imposed by the international lender.

    In today’s press conference, Dar acknowledged the delay and claimed that it was due to revenue collection. The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) missed its goal in December, the finance minister said, and the super tax that the administration enacted in June of last year had been declared unlawful by a high court.

    Dar said that his team informed the IMF that Pakistan could recover the amount easily after the Supreme Court takes a decision on the super tax.

    “We are not changing the fiscal budget target and we will achieve it,” he claimed.

    Dar said that the IMF suggested that the government implement fiscal measures and eliminate some subsidies. “We have identified some budgetary measures, but the average person won’t be overburdened.”

    He asserted that the measures would be very specific and classified.

  • Nearing default and lying about phone calls? Not good Pakistan, says IMF

    Nearing default and lying about phone calls? Not good Pakistan, says IMF

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated on Sunday that Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif spoke on the latter’s request, a claim that suggests Islamabad has continued to engage in politics while being on the verge of default.

    “The call took place in response to a request by the Prime Minister of Pakistan to discuss the International Conference on resilient Pakistan,” Esther Perez, the resident representative of the IMF told The Express Tribune.

    On Friday, the PM’s office issued an official handout stating that “the IMF managing director phoned premier Shehbaz on the phone” following his address at the Hazara Electric Supply Company’s (HAZECO) inaugural ceremony. The PM had also stated in his address that the managing director of the Fund had called him.

    As the country makes dubious claims of strength and has just $4.5 billion in foreign exchange reserves, it appears that the administration is still not ready to change its ways.

    Only three weeks’ worth of imports may be covered using the remaining funds. Pakistan has paid back $8.5 billion in debt during the past three months (January through March). Included in this is a $2 billion loan to the UAE for which the government is attempting to obtain a rollover.

    Given the long-standing animosity between the two parties, such factually erroneous claims might make it harder for Pakistan to persuade the IMF.

    Due to its propensity to make pledges while receiving a loan tranche but then break them after the tranche has been released, the country has had a rough history with the IMF. This has led to a significant gap.

    A spokesperson of the IMF in a statement to the media also said that “the Managing Director had a constructive call with Prime Minister Sharif in the context of the International Conference on Resilient Pakistan to be held in Geneva on Monday, January 9.”

    The MD once more conveyed her sympathies to those who were directly impacted by the floods, and it was also said that she backed Pakistan’s attempts to create a more robust recovery.

    Additionally, the PM asserted on Friday that an IMF delegation will visit Pakistan in a matter of two to three days.

    “I asked her to send an IMF team for the completion of the pending 9th review of the programme so that the next loan tranche is released. She assured that the mission will visit [Pakistan] in the next two to three days,” Shehbaz had said.

    However, in its statement to the media, the IMF spokesperson said that the IMF “delegation is expected to meet with Finance Minister Ishaq Dar on the sidelines of the Geneva conference to discuss outstanding issues and the path forward”.

    The self-claimed deadline, which ends on Monday, for the 9th review mission’s arrival in Pakistan was not mentioned in the statement.

    On Saturday, it was revealed that due to significant debt repayments, Pakistan’s official foreign exchange reserves have for the first time dropped to a perilous level of $4.5 billion.

    The sources in the finance ministry also stated that no dates for the IMF review mission had been decided upon as of the PM’s address.

    Additionally, the prime minister said that Georgieva had asked if Saudi Arabia and China were aiding Pakistan.

    After thereafter, Pakistan’s interior minister Rana Sanullah said that even foreign countries won’t assist without the IMF’s protection.

    “If we back out from these [IMF] conditionalities, then our economic survival will become next to impossible and even our friendly countries cannot extend financial help to us,” Sanaullah had said in Faisalabad.

    The interior minister had said that if the current administration tried to adhere to the strict requirements of the IMF, inflation would soar, prices would soar, and the economy would suffer.

    Since the 9th review negotiations between Islamabad and the Fund have not concluded as of yet, a $1.1 billion loan tranche has been withheld.

    In order for the World Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) to disburse their funds, Pakistan is eager to finish the ninth review.

    Disagreements about import restrictions, currency rate regulations, demands for the imposition of more taxes, and raising energy costs to pay off over Rs500 billion in circular debts have caused the discussions to be postponed.

  • IMF team to visit Pakistan in 2-3 days to finalise ninth review

    IMF team to visit Pakistan in 2-3 days to finalise ninth review

    A delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will visit Pakistan in two to three days to “undertake and complete” the key ninth review, according to Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif.

    PM Shehbaz said that he spoke to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva and stressed that Pakistan will complete the IMF bailout programme.

    “I told her to ease the terms of the deal because I cannot burden the common man any further. We have imposed taxes on the rich strata of the society. I requested her to send a delegation for the ninth review and she replied that a team will visit Pakistan in 2-3 days.”

    “After inquiring about Pakistan’s relations with China and Saudi Arabia, she also told me that China had urged IMF to support Pakistan,” he said.

    The IMF programme is currently stalled, with experts suggesting that the government is reluctant to implement some of the lender’s conditions over their effect on political capital in a year when elections are scheduled to take place.

    PM Shehbaz said that Pakistan was trying to mend its ties with friendly countries as well. “We should appreciate friendly countries for supporting Pakistan over the past few years but the previous government slapped allegations of corruption on Chinese firms and jeopardised the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).”

    He stated that the former leadership “had angered friendly nations”, adding that the contribution of Saudi Arabia, UAE and China to Pakistan’s economy is priceless.

    Pakistan needs the IMF programme to restart due to its declining rupee, shrinking reserves, and worse macroeconomic indices.

    The State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange holdings dropped by another $245 million on Thursday, down to a critically low level of $5.58 billion. Since April 2014, SBP-held reserves have never been this low.

    At the same time, the government has also been unable in obtaining crucial support from allies.

    The challenge has left Pakistani authorities scurrying to set up foreign exchange amid increased concerns over the country’s capacity to pay its debts and fund imports.

    Additionally, there are market rumours that Pakistan could possibly default, but the Pakistani government is still confident that Saudi Arabia would provide essential assistance for the country’s foreign exchange reserves.