Tag: Interest Rate Cuts

  • Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee demonstrated a slight appreciation against the US dollar for the 13th consecutive session, marking a gain of 0.02 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the day concluded with the rupee settling at Rs281.86, reflecting an increase of Rs0.07.

    Remarkably, this signifies a closure of 2023 with the rupee undergoing a depreciation of 19.7 per cent, originating from its starting point at Rs226.43 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market at the beginning of the year. 

    Notably, on the preceding Thursday, the rupee experienced a marginal upturn, settling at Rs281.93 against the US dollar.

    A significant development unfolded as the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan observed a substantial weekly upswing, surging by $852 million to reach $7.75 billion as of December 22, according to data released on Thursday. 

    The overall liquid foreign reserves for the country tallied at $12.85 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves amounting to $5.1 billion. The SBP attributed this surge in reserves to official government inflows.

    On the global stage, the US dollar appeared poised to conclude 2023 with a loss, reversing a two-year trend of gains. This shift was influenced by market expectations that the US Federal Reserve might initiate rate easing as early as March of the following year. 

    The greenback remained generally subdued on the last trading day of the year, hovering near a five-month low against a basket of currencies, falling 0.02 per cent to 101.18, following a recent dip to 100.61. 

    This trend underscored the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hike cycle initiated in early 2022 on the dollar’s trajectory over the past two years.

  • Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trend against the US dollar for the 12th consecutive session, appreciating by 0.1 per cent in the inter-bank market on Thursday. 

    The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the rupee settled at Rs281.93, marking an increase of Re0.27. A day earlier, the rupee had experienced a slight gain, closing at Rs282.20 against the US dollar.

    In a related development, the Ministry of Finance acknowledged the persistent challenge of higher markup payments. The ministry stressed the importance of both revenue enhancement and prudent expenditure control.

    Internationally, the US dollar faced substantial losses on Thursday, poised for a yearly decline after two years of robust gains. 

    Anticipation of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming year influenced market sentiments. As the year concludes, limited market activity is expected until the New Year due to thin liquidity.

    The dollar index, measuring the US currency against six rivals, reached a five-month low of 100.81. It declined by 0.5 per cent on Wednesday and is on track for a 2.6 per cent decrease this year, breaking a two-year trend of strong gains. I

    Investors are closely monitoring the timing of potential interest rate cuts from the Fed, with markets indicating an 89 per cent chance of a cut in March 2024, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Futures suggest up to 158 basis points of Fed easing in the coming year.

    Oil prices, a significant indicator of currency parity, stabilised on Thursday following a previous sharp decline. 

    Concerns about shipping disruptions along the Red Sea route eased, despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

    Brent crude futures rose by 2 cents to $79.75 a barrel, while US WTI crude futures traded 3 cents lower at $74.08 a barrel, rebounding from a nearly 2 per cent drop on Wednesday as major shipping firms resumed operations in the Red Sea.

  • Pakistani rupee gains ground against US dollar for 11th consecutive session

    Pakistani rupee gains ground against US dollar for 11th consecutive session

    The Pakistani rupee sustained its upward trajectory against the US dollar for the 11th consecutive session, exhibiting a 0.06 per cent appreciation in the interbank market on Wednesday. 

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs282.20, reflecting an increment of Re0.17.

    In the preceding session on Tuesday, the rupee had achieved a marginal gain, settling at Rs282.37 in relation to the US dollar. 

    Concurrently, there has been a notable surge of 200 per cent in the cumulative borrowing by the federal and provincial governments for budgetary support from the domestic banking system in the current fiscal year (FY24).

    Internationally, the US dollar encountered continued pressure on Wednesday, while the euro flirted with a four-month pinnacle. 

    This trend emerged as market expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve gained traction. The restrained week, marked by global holiday absences until the New Year, is anticipated to witness subdued trading volumes.

    The dollar index, gauging the US currency against six counterparts, stood at 101.54, just below the five-month low of 101.42 recorded last week. 

    The index is poised for a 1.9 per cent decline in 2023, following two consecutive years of robust gains driven by the Fed’s rate hikes to combat inflation. 

    The recent weakening of the dollar is attributed to market anticipation of forthcoming rate cuts by the Fed in the coming year, diminishing the allure of the greenback.

  • PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued its positive trajectory against the US dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.09 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs283.26, reflecting an increase of Re0.25.

    Thursday witnessed a marginal gain in the rupee, settling at Rs283.51 against the US dollar.

    The ongoing optimism is buoyed by the recently released trade figures for November, revealing a noteworthy 13.16 per cent month-over-month (MoM) and a substantial 31.72 per cent year-over-year (YoY) reduction in the trade deficit, amounting to $1.89 billion.

    Export figures exhibited a robust 7.66 per cent YoY surge, reaching $2.57 billion, while imports saw a YoY decline of 14.47 per cent, totaling $4.46 billion.

    On the global front, the US dollar remained near four-month lows on Friday, influenced by the increasing likelihood of US interest rate cuts in the coming year.

    Conversely, the euro and pound found support as their respective central banks reiterated the necessity for sustained higher interest rates.

    Amid an eventful week for central banks, clarity emerged regarding the potential timing of interest rate cuts following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s statement during Wednesday’s meeting.

    Powell suggested that the tightening of monetary policy is likely concluding, with discussions about cuts coming “into view.”

    The Fed’s projections imply a 75-basis-point cut next year from the current level, leading to a broad decline of the greenback against its counterparts.

    The dollar index stands at 102.05, not far from the four-month low of 101.76 observed on Thursday, marking a 1.9 per cent decrease and its most significant weekly decline since July.

    Oil prices, a pivotal indicator of currency dynamics, saw an increase on Friday, set to achieve their first weekly rise in two months.

    This positive shift is attributed to a bullish forecast from the International Energy Agency (IEA) regarding oil demand for the upcoming year, coupled with a weaker dollar.

    Brent futures rose by 21 cents to $76.82 a barrel at 0918 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also experienced a 21-cent climb, reaching $71.79.