Tag: International Lender

  • IMF wants FBR to bring over 20 million Pakistanis into tax net in five years

    IMF wants FBR to bring over 20 million Pakistanis into tax net in five years

    To broaden the tax base, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has outlined its five-year objectives to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), sources reveal.

    The FBR aims to include over 20 million individuals in the tax net over the next five years, as per the IMF’s requirements.

    To meet this goal, the FBR plans to register 3.72 million people and 23,500 associations of persons within the current year. Additionally, more than 9,500 companies will be incorporated into the tax system during this financial year.

    For the following fiscal year, the FBR’s target is to add 3.91 million individuals, associations, and companies to its records. By FY27, the board aims to enrol 4.1 million non-filers, with a further increase to 4.31 million individuals by FY28.

    The goal for the 2028-29 financial year is to incorporate 4.525 million people into the tax net.

    Sources indicate that the IMF has insisted on the strict implementation of this plan, starting from the current financial year.

  • Critical IMF meeting scheduled for April 29 to approve $1.1 billion for Pakistan

    Critical IMF meeting scheduled for April 29 to approve $1.1 billion for Pakistan

    The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is scheduled to meet on April 29 to deliberate on the approval of a $1.1 billion funding tranche for Pakistan.

    This amount represents the final installment of a $3 billion stand-by arrangement (SBA) with the IMF that is due to expire this month.

    The anticipated funding comes at a critical time for Pakistan’s economy, which has been struggling with a chronic balance of payments crisis.

    The country has nearly $24 billion in debt and interest repayments due over the next fiscal year, which is approximately three times more than its central bank’s foreign currency reserves.

    Meanwhile, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, has indicated that the government is seeking a new long-term, larger loan from the IMF. Discussions are underway, with a staff-level agreement expected by early July.

    Islamabad is reportedly aiming for a multi-year agreement to promote macroeconomic stability and implement long-overdue structural reforms. However, the finance minister has not disclosed the exact loan size Pakistan is seeking.

    If approved, this would mark the 24th IMF bailout for Pakistan. The ongoing negotiations reflect the country’s continued reliance on international financial assistance to navigate its economic challenges.

    Pakistan’s economy is projected to grow by 2.6 per cent in the current fiscal year ending in June, according to the finance ministry.

    Despite this modest growth, the country continues to face high inflation, which is expected to average around 24 per cent this fiscal year, down from a record high of 38 per cent in May 2023.

    As Pakistan navigates these economic hurdles, securing the final tranche of the IMF’s stand-by arrangement and potentially a new loan agreement could provide much-needed relief and lay the groundwork for longer-term stability.

  • Pakistan expects positive outcome in talks with IMF, eyes $700 million disbursement

    Pakistan expects positive outcome in talks with IMF, eyes $700 million disbursement

    Pakistan is optimistic about the successful completion of the initial review under the $3 billion standby arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    According to reports, the ongoing negotiations, now in their final phase, are anticipated to culminate positively, marking a crucial milestone. 

    Commencing on Monday, policy-level discussions between Pakistani authorities and the IMF are scheduled to persist until November 15, spearheaded by Finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar.  

    The Pakistani delegation, including key figures such as State Bank of Pakistan Governor Jameel Ahmad and Federal Board of Revenue Chairman Malik Amjed Zubair Tiwan, along with representatives from the finance and energy ministries, has been actively engaged in the deliberations. Nathan Porter leads the IMF team in this dialogue. 

    During the latest session, the IMF delegation articulated their recommendations and requirements, while technical-level talks involved the sharing of pertinent economic data with the international lender’s team, according to The News.  

    Sources within the finance ministry assert that Pakistan has diligently fulfilled all stipulated conditions set forth by the IMF. 

    It is anticipated that the staff-level agreement will be finalised during the ongoing policy-level talks, paving the way for the disbursement of approximately $700 million to Pakistan upon the successful completion of the first review. 

    Earlier this month, the IMF review mission commended the Pakistani government for its commendable progress towards economic recovery, as stated by the finance ministry.  

    The IMF’s $3 billion loan programme, sanctioned in July, played a pivotal role in averting a sovereign debt default. The initial tranche of $1.2 billion was disbursed in July, with the remaining amount contingent on subsequent reviews. 

    Finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar has unequivocally ruled out any requests to the IMF for an extension of the SBA programme’s timeframe or an increase in its size. 

  • Fitch warns of further depreciation of Pakistani rupee due to $6.7 billion debt payment

    Fitch warns of further depreciation of Pakistani rupee due to $6.7 billion debt payment

    Fitch, the world’s leading credit rating agency based in Hong Kong, said on Friday that Pakistan must pay a total of $6.7 billion in debt payments for the ongoing fiscal year of 2022-23.

    Of this amount, $3.7 billion must be paid by Islamabad this month, with another $3 billion due in June. Krisjanis Krustins, Fitch’s director, warned that these payments could cause the Pakistani rupee to depreciate further, exerting greater pressure on the country’s currency.

    Krustins also revealed that Pakistan expects a rollover of $2.4 billion from China to address its economic needs. However, he emphasised the need for Pakistan to revive its International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan programme.

    Pakistan has been working to restart the stalled loan programme with the IMF. Earlier this year, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates pledged external funds, but the IMF has demanded that Pakistan “do more” to unlock the loan programme.

    Finance Secretary Hamid Yakoob recently met with the IMF in the US, but the meeting remained unfruitful. The international lender has proposed that Pakistan arrange $1 billion from commercial banks to unlock the loan programme.

  • Everything is going alright with IMF, says Ishaq Dar

    Everything is going alright with IMF, says Ishaq Dar

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said on Thursday that it is expected that the matters between the government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding the conclusion of the 9th review of the $7 billion loan program will be settled today.

    “Everything is going alright,” replied the finance minister when asked about the status of the discussions with the visiting IMF delegation. “The final round is currently underway. I have daily meetings with the IMF team and will do so again today,” he added.

    “It is expected matters will be settled today,” Dar said. “We will give you the news very soon.”

    A delegation from the IMF, led by Nathan Porter, has arrived in Islamabad for discussions surrounding the completion of the ninth review. The discussions are set to conclude on the same day.

    The successful completion of the review would result in the disbursement of $1.2 billion from the IMF and also unlock additional funding from friendly nations and other multilateral lenders, which is crucial for Pakistan to avoid default.

    Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Aisha Ghaus Pasha informed journalists on Wednesday that the government and the IMF are in close proximity to finalizing the Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (MEFP).

    Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Aisha Ghaus Pasha stated that the Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies (MEFP) would be delivered to Pakistan by the IMF once all issues have been resolved. The Minister noted that significant progress had been made, but added that the IMF was seeking clarification on certain aspects, which the government team is working to address.

    In a written statement, the ministry said the talks with the IMF continued on Wednesday and “focused on fiscal table, financing, etc. There is a broad consensus on the reform actions and measures”.

    Additionally, the mission chief also held a meeting with the finance minister to provide an update on the discussions. “The mission is working on putting it all together and will finalise the MEFP,” stated the finance secretary, who declined to comment on the possibility of extending the scheduled talks in order to reach a staff-level agreement.

    According to Dawn, it is of utmost importance for Pakistan to reach a agreement with the IMF, as the foreign exchange reserves have depleted to a low of $3.09 billion as of January 27th, which is only sufficient to cover 18 days’ worth of imports.

  • Pakistan will have to agree to ‘unimaginable’ IMF conditions for bailout: PM Shehbaz

    Pakistan will have to agree to ‘unimaginable’ IMF conditions for bailout: PM Shehbaz

    The government will have to accept “beyond imagination” International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout requirements, according to Pakistan’s Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif, who made the statement on Friday in a meeting of civil and military leaders in the northwestern city of Peshawar.

    In order to avoid backlash before the upcoming elections in October, the administration has refused to implement the tax increases and subsidy reductions that the IMF has required.

    “I will not go into the details but will only say that our economic challenge is unimaginable. The conditions we will have to agree to with the IMF are beyond imagination. But we will have to agree with the conditions,” PM Shehbaz said.

    In the midst of political unrest, a deteriorating security situation, and a balance of payments crisis caused by its high levels of foreign debt, Pakistan’s economy is in terrible circumstances.

    The nation’s central bank announced Thursday that its foreign exchange holdings had decreased once again to $3.1 billion, which analysts said was just enough to cover imports for fewer than three weeks.

    On Wednesday, year-over-year inflation reached a 48-year high, making it difficult for Pakistanis to afford food products.

    With the possibility of national bankruptcy looming and no friendly countries prepared to give less painful bailouts, Islamabad started to submit to pressure ahead of the IMF visit.

    To manage a rogue illicit market in US dollars, the government relaxed regulations on the rupee, which led to the currency falling to historic lows. Additionally, artificially low gasoline costs have increased.

    A backlog of thousands of cargo containers filled with material the countrycannot afford is accumulating at Karachi port as a result of the government no longer providing letters of credit, with the exception of necessary food and medication.

    IMF advises Pakistan to fetch additional revenue

    The IMF has suggested the Pakistani government implement significant, high-quality, and long-lasting tax and non-tax revenue initiatives in order to raise extra funds to close the anticipated Rs. 600 billion fiscal framework shortfall.

    Currently in Pakistan, an IMF delegation led by Mission Chief Nathan Porter is having discussions for the ninth review, which will go through February 9.

    After months of resistance, the government was finally obliged to agree to all the terms laid forth by the Washington-based lender due to the country’s declining foreign exchange reserves and deteriorating economic circumstances.

    Following the conclusion of the negotiations under the $6.5 billion Extended Fund Facility, a staff-level agreement is anticipated.

  • IMF mission to visit Pakistan next week to discuss stalled bailout programme

    IMF mission to visit Pakistan next week to discuss stalled bailout programme

    At the end of this month, an IMF delegation will travel to Pakistan to discuss the stalled ninth review of the country’s ongoing funding programme.

    The IMF provided Pakistan with a $6 billion bailout in 2019, which was increased by an additional $1 billion in 2022. However, the lender halted disbursements in November because Pakistan had not made further progress on fiscal reduction and economic reforms.

    “At the request of the authorities, an in-person Fund mission is scheduled to visit Islamabad January 31st–February 9th to continue the discussions under the ninth EFF review,” according to IMF Resident Representative in Pakistan Esther Perez Ruiz.

    A successful visit is crucial for Pakistan, which is facing an increasingly acute balance of payments crisis and is desperate to secure external financing with less than three weeks’ worth of import cover in its foreign exchange reserves.

    Multilateral and bilateral financing pledges for the cash-strapped country’s effort to rebuild after devastating floods last year are also tied to the country getting the green light from the IMF.

    According to Ruiz, the mission’s main objectives would be power sector reforms and local and international sustainability restoration strategies, such as strengthening the budgetary situation while aiding flood victims.

    The reinstatement of a market-based process to decide the value of the Pakistani rupee would also be discussed, she added. The country must have such a structure in place before receiving IMF assistance, but up until this week, it had not done so.

    The relaxation of price ceilings that the government had established but that the IMF disagreed with has resulted in a loss of close to 10 per cent of the value of the Pakistani rupee in just two days.

    In just two days, the local currency has lost close to 10 per cent of its value after the removal of price caps imposed by the government, which the IMF opposed.

    Stronger policy initiatives and reforms, according to Ruiz, are essential for Pakistan to get financial help from official partners and the markets and to lessen the high level of uncertainty that is weighing on its future.

    Market observers claimed that the IMF programme was trying to be restarted when the price limitations were abruptly removed.

  • IMF Executive Board meeting to discuss revival of loan plan today

    IMF Executive Board meeting to discuss revival of loan plan today

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board will meet on Monday (today) to discuss the bailout plan for Pakistan.

    The 8th and 9th tranches, totaling over $1.2 billion, are anticipated to be disbursed with board approval.

    According to Geo, Pakistan also requested that the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) be increased from $6 billion to $7 billion and that the term be extended from September 2022 to June 2023.

    If the contract is approved by the board, the IMF will give Pakistan an initial payment of roughly $1.2 billion and could give up to $4 billion during the remaining months of the current fiscal year, which started on July 1.

    The board gave its approval for the transfer of $1.386 billion to Pakistan under the RFI in April 2020 to help with the economic effects of the Covid-19 shock.

    Additionally, according to The Wall Street Journal, Pakistan has secured at least $37 billion in foreign loans and investments in recent weeks, saving it from a financial catastrophe similar to that of Sri Lanka.

    The restart of the programme will greatly benefit the government led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif as it will assist prevent what would be the second default in Asia this year after Sri Lanka.

    Bloomberg estimates that Pakistan would have to pay at least $3 billion in debt payment during the first half of the fiscal year 2023.

    The State Bank of Pakistan anticipates that foreign exchange reserves would increase to around $16 billion this fiscal year from $7.8 billion, thanks to the IMF loan opening the door for additional funding.

  • Another friendly country to confirm assurance this week: Miftah Ismail

    Another friendly country to confirm assurance this week: Miftah Ismail

    According to Pakistan’s Finance Minister Miftah Ismail, “one friendly country” has confirmed its commitment to assist Pakistan in filling the funding gap, while another nation would confirm its assurance in a day or two.

    An announcement will be made soon on this subject after confirmation.

    Earlier, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that Pakistan has completed the final prior action for the combined seventh and eighth reviews with the increase in the petroleum development levy (PDL).

    The IMF also stated that the board meeting is tentatively scheduled for late August once adequate financing assurances are confirmed.

    In order to prevent Pakistan from having a liquidity vacuum following the IMF loan, the international lender wants to make sure Pakistan will be able to get $4 billion in additional cash.

    The country has a $4 billion finance imbalance, according to Miftah, and the IMF wants our reserves to grow by $6 billion.

    Pakistan is in touch with friendly nations to cover the gap, and one of them has already reaffirmed its assurance. Within a day or two, the other nation will confirm as well.

    The assurances would be announced in advance of the IMF board meeting, which is slated to take place in the last week of August. According to reports, the IMF would announce the disbursement for Pakistan as soon as sufficient finance assurances are verified.

    The import bill has decreased to $4.92 billion, according to the minister. Due to this, there is now more cash coming in than going out. The market attitude has improved as a result of this.

    He believed that the Pakistani rupee had grown significantly versus the US dollar and would continue to do so.

    The Pakistani rupee made a significant recovery on Wednesday, recording its largest day-over-day gain in absolute terms against the US dollar to settle at Rs228.8, up Rs9.58 or 4.19 per cent in the inter-bank market. In the early hours of Thursday, trade, the rupee kept rising.

    On Thursday, stocks extended their gains, with analysts blaming the strong recovery of the rupee and soaring global equities for the optimistic trend.

    Read more: Dollar may drop near Rs180 after IMF tranche

    The benchmark KSE-100 index increased 356.50 points or 0.87 per cent to settle at 41,425.37 points, according to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).

    After being battered for weeks due to political and economic unrest, the local currency recovered by Rs9.59 on Wednesday, marking the highest one-day rise in decades.

  • Pressure on Pakistani rupee may decrease in August

    Pressure on Pakistani rupee may decrease in August

    Finance Minister Miftah Ismail expressed his continued faith in Pakistani rupee’s (PKR) ability to withstand pressure despite the PKR continuing to hit historic lows versus the US dollar and suffering its biggest weekly slide in more than 20 years.

    The finance minister stated in an interview with Radio Pakistan that the political climate and the fact that import payments are being made for shipments beginning in June are both contributing factors to the pressure on the PKR.

    “Import of $80 billion were made during the last fiscal year. We are still making payments for energy commodities purchased last month. Therefore, the rupee is under pressure. However, as we are importing less in July, its effect would be reflected from next month or, I should say, next week.”

    “The rupee’s fall is connected to the political situation as well. Before July 17, the situation wasn’t like this,” he added.

    Miftah also spoke about Pakistan’s economic issues, stating that the poor export base continues to be a matter of concern.

    The local currency has continued to depreciate against the US dollar, losing 7.6 per cent last week, more than what businesses typically account for in terms of annual currency depreciation, as the inter-bank market experienced a turbulent five sessions due to renewed political uncertainty and increased worries about Pakistan’s external financing needs.

    He also revealed that one friendly country is ready for an instant investment in Pakistan.

    It is worth noting that Pakistan anticipates receiving the next International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche before the end of the following month following the board meeting.