Tag: International Monetary Fund

  • Pakistan receives final installment of IMF’s $3 billion SBA

    Pakistan receives final installment of IMF’s $3 billion SBA

    Pakistan has received the final tranche of $1.1 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as part of its $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA), the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced on Tuesday.

    The disbursement follows the IMF’s successful completion of its final review of Pakistan’s economic reform programme supported by the 9-month SBA.

    The SBP said in its statement that the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) of 828 million, equivalent to approximately $1.1 billion, had been received on April 29, 2024, and would be reflected in the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves for the week ending May 3, 2024.

    As of April 19, the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $7.981 billion.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif welcomed the latest disbursement, stating that it would contribute to greater economic stability in Pakistan.

    He highlighted that the SBA was critical in preventing the country from defaulting on its external liabilities. 

    Pakistan’s government is now focused on securing a larger and longer Extended Fund Facility (EFF) to achieve sustained macroeconomic stability.

    The prime minister has already signalled his intention to pursue another IMF programme to ensure the continuity of economic growth and fiscal discipline.

    On Sunday, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting in Saudi Arabia.

    During the meeting, the prime minister reiterated his government’s commitment to implementing structural reforms, maintaining strict fiscal discipline, and following prudent policies that would support macroeconomic stability and sustainable economic growth.

    Pakistan is seeking additional support to maintain the economic gains made during the current SBA and to continue its positive economic growth trajectory.

  • Pakistan anticipates final IMF tranche approval in late April

    Pakistan anticipates final IMF tranche approval in late April

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that its Executive Board meeting, anticipated for late April, is crucial for approving Pakistan’s final tranche of approximately $1.1 billion (SDR 828 million). 

    This sum represents the last portion of the $3-billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) initiated in June of the previous year.

    Julie Kozack, IMF Communication Director, revealed this information during a media briefing, highlighting the significance of the staff-level agreement reached on March 19 between IMF staff and Pakistani authorities. 

    This agreement, subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, acknowledges Pakistan’s strong program implementation by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and the interim government, as well as the new government’s commitment to ongoing policy and reform endeavors aimed at transitioning Pakistan from stabilisation to robust, sustainable recovery.

    Kozack emphasised the improvement in Pakistan’s economic and financial position since the completion of the first review, with growth and confidence steadily rebounding. 

    Looking ahead, she mentioned the possibility of a successor IMF-supported program to address Pakistan’s fiscal and external stability challenges and foster inclusive growth, indicating the IMF’s readiness to engage in discussions with Pakistani authorities.

    Meanwhile, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves witnessed a modest increase, reaching $8.04 billion as of March 29, although still considered low for an import-dependent economy, raising concerns about potential future pressure. 

    Finance Minister Muhammad Aurganzeb has acknowledged the need for another IMF bailout, with discussions slated for the upcoming Spring meetings of the Board of Governors of the World Bank Group and IMF scheduled for April 15-20, 2024, in Washington DC, where Aurangzeb is expected to lead Pakistan’s delegation.

  • IMF engagement should not hinder Pakistan’s economic progress: PM Shehbaz

    IMF engagement should not hinder Pakistan’s economic progress: PM Shehbaz

    Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif asserted on Tuesday that any forthcoming engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) must not impede Pakistan’s economic progress.

    His remarks come in the wake of discussions regarding a potential Extended Fund Facility (EFF) with the IMF, scheduled for deliberation in Washington next month, as the nation grapples with mitigating a looming economic crisis.

    With the expiration of the standby $3 billion arrangement with the IMF looming on April 11, recent negotiations have culminated in a staff-level agreement, paving the way for the disbursal of the final tranche of $1.1 billion.

    PM Shehbaz, following his re-inauguration, promptly directed his financial team to initiate efforts towards securing an EFF from the IMF.

    Speaking at a ceremony in Islamabad, the Prime Minister underscored the indispensability of another IMF programme while highlighting the imperative of simultaneously pursuing economic expansion.

    He highlighted key areas such as agriculture, IT exports, and both traditional and non-traditional exports as avenues for growth, questioning any limitations posed by an IMF programme on such initiatives.

    “If there is an IMF programme, who has stopped you from doubling agriculture output? from increasing IT exports? from increasing traditional and non-traditional exports?” PM Shehbaz posited, stressing the compatibility of economic growth initiatives with an IMF programme.

    He cautioned against using the IMF as an excuse for stagnation, urging prioritisation of domestically controllable economic avenues.

    In reiterating his stance, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif conveys a dual commitment to engaging with the IMF while ensuring a steadfast focus on bolstering Pakistan’s economic trajectory, fostering employment, and curbing inflation.

    As the nation navigates through economic challenges, the Prime Minister’s emphasis on proactive economic strategies resonates as a call to action for sustainable growth and resilience.

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves surge to $8.02 billion, SBP data shows

    Pakistan’s forex reserves surge to $8.02 billion, SBP data shows

    The latest data released on Thursday revealed a noteworthy surge in the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), marking an increase of $105 million over the course of a week, reaching a total of $8.02 billion as of March 15.

    In addition to the SBP’s reserves, the total liquid foreign reserves for the country now stand at $13.4 billion, with commercial banks accounting for $5.38 billion of this amount.

    Despite the significant boost, the central bank did not provide specific details regarding the reason behind this increase.

    However, it did report that during the week ending on March 15, SBP’s reserves climbed by $105 million to reach $8,017.9 million, indicating a positive trend.

    The previous week had also witnessed an increase in Pakistan’s central bank reserves, albeit a smaller one, amounting to $17 million.

    In a pivotal development, Pakistani authorities successfully concluded negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on the second and final review of the $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA).

    As per the agreement reached, pending approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, an additional access of $1.1 billion under the SBA will become available.

    This anticipated inflow from the IMF is expected to further bolster the country’s reserves and serve as a promising sign for its struggling economy.

  • IMF mission holds crucial talks with FinMin Aurangzeb on $3 billion SBA

    IMF mission holds crucial talks with FinMin Aurangzeb on $3 billion SBA

    In a pivotal meeting held on Thursday, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, engaged in discussions regarding structural reforms and the viability of the energy sector with the visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission.

    The mission’s visit is part of the second review process of the $3 billion Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) established between Pakistan and the international lender.

    Key points of deliberation encompassed various facets of Pakistan’s macroeconomic landscape, including fiscal consolidation efforts by the government, structural reforms, energy sector sustainability, and governance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

    Expressing a warm reception, the finance minister underscored the government’s steadfast commitment to collaborating with the IMF to drive forward the reform agenda, aimed at fostering economic growth and bolstering stability across Pakistan.

    During the meeting, Nathan Porter, head of the IMF mission, extended congratulations to Muhammad Aurangzeb on his appointment as the finance minister.

    Anticipations are high that the IMF mission’s visit could culminate in a staff-level agreement regarding the second review of the SBA.

    Since its inception in July 2023, Pakistan has received $1.9 billion out of the allocated $3 billion under the nine-month programme.

    Aurangzeb, articulating the government’s stance, outlined intentions to explore the possibility of acquiring a more extensive and prolonged Extended Fund Facility (EFF) within the IMF framework, with the overarching objective of attaining macroeconomic stability.

    Officials from Pakistan, including Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and Energy Minister Musadik Malik, apprised the IMF team of the concerted efforts undertaken to implement the prescribed reforms, including the adjustment of energy tariffs.

    An official from the Finance Division, speaking on anonymity, disclosed the IMF’s acknowledgment of Pakistan’s strides in meeting quarterly programmeme targets under the SBA.

    Simultaneously, discussions are underway to chart the trajectory of the subsequent programmeme, with deliberations leaning towards a more extensive endeavour valued at approximately $8 billion.

    Minister Malik elaborated on the government’s energy reform agenda, highlighting recent adjustments in electricity and gas prices aligned with the stipulated schedule.

    The recent levy hike on petrol and diesel, coupled with the augmentation of gas tariffs for domestic consumers, underscores Pakistan’s commitment to fulfilling key conditions outlined in the IMF’s final review.

    Economic analysts anticipate a seamless final review process, citing Pakistan’s commendable adherence to the IMF’s performance targets as a harbinger of success.

  • SBP sees surge of over $17 million in forex reserves

    SBP sees surge of over $17 million in forex reserves

    The latest data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) revealed a notable rise in the country’s foreign exchange reserves. During the week ending March 8, 2024, SBP’s reserves increased by $17.2 million, marking a 0.22 per cent growth, reaching a total of $7.91 billion.

    Additionally, Pakistan’s overall reserves experienced a surge, ascending by $131.3 million, or 1.01 per cent, week-on-week (WoW), to a sum of $13.15 billion. This increase was further complemented by a rise in reserves held by commercial banks, which climbed by $114.1 million, or 2.23 per cent, to reach $5.24 billion.

    In a significant development, the second review of the stand-by arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is slated to take place from March 14 to 18, 2024. This review holds particular importance as it marks the final assessment under the SBA. Upon reaching a staff-level agreement, the final tranche of $1.1 billion will be disbursed, subject to approval by the Executive Board of the IMF.

    It is noteworthy that in the current fiscal year, Pakistan has witnessed a substantial increase in its total liquid foreign reserves, amounting to $3.99 billion, or 43.57 per cent. Similarly, the ongoing calendar year has seen a rise of $0.48 billion, or 3.77 per cent.

  • Pakistan clears hurdles for IMF review, final agreement expected

    Pakistan clears hurdles for IMF review, final agreement expected

    The newly elected government of Pakistan has indicated its intention to secure a new loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    In line with this, representatives from the IMF are scheduled to visit Pakistan for the second review of the ongoing Stand-By Arrangement (SBA). The review is set to take place from March 14 to 18 in Islamabad.

    According to a statement released by the finance ministry, Pakistan has successfully met all structural benchmarks, qualitative performance criteria, and indicative targets required for the IMF review.

    This upcoming review marks the final evaluation of the SBA, with a staff-level agreement anticipated upon its completion.

    Once this agreement is reached, the final tranche of $1.1 billion under the SBA will be disbursed, subject to approval from the IMF’s Executive Board.

    Last summer, Islamabad secured a vital rescue package from the IMF, preventing a potential sovereign debt default.

    The successful completion of the final review is expected to unlock approximately $1.1 billion.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has instructed his finance team, led by newly appointed Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, to begin preparations for seeking an Extended Fund Facility (EFF) once the standby arrangement concludes on April 11.

    The IMF has expressed readiness to develop a medium-term programme if Pakistan submits an application for one.

    Notably, the government has not officially disclosed the amount of additional funding it intends to seek through a successor programme from the IMF.

  • IMF mission to arrive tomorrow for final review discussions on Pakistan’s SBA

    IMF mission to arrive tomorrow for final review discussions on Pakistan’s SBA

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission is poised to commence vital economic review discussions from March 14 to 18, 2024, marking the conclusive evaluation of Pakistan’s Standby Arrangement (SBA).

    Sources within the Finance Ministry have confirmed that the IMF mission is scheduled to touch down in Pakistan tomorrow night, kickstarting a series of pivotal discussions set to unfold over the next four days.

    During this intensive period, the IMF mission is slated to engage in comprehensive dialogue with Pakistan’s economic team. Key participants include representatives from the Finance Ministry, Energy Ministry, Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), Planning Commission, and the Petroleum Division.

    Insiders suggest that the IMF mission will delve into discussions covering a spectrum of economic facets. Talks are expected to encompass various critical sectors, including finance, energy, taxation, and central banking.

    Furthermore, in parallel with these discussions, preliminary conversations are anticipated to unfold regarding the potential initiation of a new loan programme with the IMF mission. This prospect adds an extra layer of significance to the ongoing economic deliberations as Pakistan navigates its financial landscape in the pursuit of sustainable economic growth.

    Stay tuned for comprehensive coverage as the IMF mission engages in the final review of Pakistan’s Standby Arrangement, paving the way for crucial decisions that could shape the nation’s economic trajectory in the coming months.

  • Pakistan gears up for crucial IMF talks on $3 billion SBA programme

    Pakistan gears up for crucial IMF talks on $3 billion SBA programme

    Pakistan is set to commence vital discussions with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concerning the completion of the second review under the $3 billion Standby Arrangement (SBA) programme.

    The formal invitation to the Washington-based lender is expected to be dispatched shortly after the formation and oath-taking of the federal cabinet, with negotiations anticipated to commence in the coming week.

    Simultaneously, Pakistan plans to request a new deal under the 36-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF).

    Sources have indicated that the size of the upcoming EFF programme is yet to be finalized, but Islamabad aims to explore the inclusion of climate finance to potentially increase the programme’s magnitude from $6 billion to $8 billion.

    A significant challenge facing the incoming finance minister is the pursuit of the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR) tax collection target of Rs890 billion for March 2024. Failure to meet this quarterly (Jan-March) target with the IMF may prompt additional taxation measures for the remaining fiscal year.

    Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif chaired a high-level meeting on Tuesday to receive a comprehensive briefing from the FBR team on the future strategy for revamping the taxation system.

    The FBR has, to date, collected Rs5.82 trillion in the first eight months of the current fiscal year, experiencing a shortfall of Rs33 billion in achieving the February 2024 monthly target.

    To meet the targeted Rs9.415 trillion by June 30, 2024, the FBR must collect Rs3.58 trillion in the remaining four months (March-June) period.

    March 2024 holds particular significance, with the monthly target of Rs890 billion crucial for fulfilling the agreed third-quarter (Jan-March) period with the IMF.

    PM Shehbaz emphasized the immediate commencement of automation and digitization of the FBR, personally committing to monitor the entire process.

    According to The News, he urged the adoption of international best practices to enhance transparency, increase tax collection, and eradicate tax evasion, corruption, and smuggling.

    Expressing dissatisfaction with the current progress, PM Shehbaz directed the FBR to start the automation and digitization process immediately, urging the acquisition of services from international firms. He stressed the appointment of officers based on merit in the Track and Trace system.

    During the meeting, FBR Chairman Malik Amjad Tiwana briefed the prime minister on measures taken towards automation, tax net expansion, refund payments to exporters, and anti-smuggling efforts.

    PM Shehbaz, however, insisted on immediate progress, highlighting the collaboration with the Ministry of Interior and the Pakistan Army to combat smuggling effectively.

    As the meeting concluded, PM Shehbaz praised the efforts of caretaker finance minister Dr. Shamshad Akhtar and her team, commending their adherence to the policies laid by the previous government to avert default.

    The prime minister expressed confidence in achieving progress and prosperity through diligent efforts and adherence to the right direction.

    The meeting, attended by key officials, emphasized the urgency of digitalized invoicing and the inclusion of 1.5 million more individuals into the tax net, underlining the government’s commitment to fostering economic stability and growth.

  • Political instability, IMF loan conditions threaten Pakistan’s economic growth

    Political instability, IMF loan conditions threaten Pakistan’s economic growth

    In January, Pakistan experienced a boost in economic activity, thanks to the financial aid provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as reported by Bloomberg Economics Tracker.

    However, there are three key developments that may impact future economic conditions.

    Firstly, the aftermath of the inconclusive February 8 election has resulted in persistent political instability, presenting a potential obstacle to new investments.

    Secondly, there is a likelihood of more stringent conditions associated with additional IMF loans. Lastly, there is an increasing probability that the State Bank of Pakistan will delay rate cuts.

    Despite the challenges, January saw a positive trend with a 0.9 per cent increase in economic activity compared to December, breaking a four-month contraction streak.

    The injection of IMF loans and eased trade restrictions contributed to this improvement, enabling increased purchases of essential import supplies.

    Looking ahead, the unresolved election outcome may prolong political uncertainty, affecting potential investments.

    The recent hike in gas prices on February 15 will likely drive inflation higher, further reducing the chances of a March rate cut.

    Considering these developments, Bloomberg Economics is considering revising its growth outlook.

    While Bloomberg currently predicts 2.1 per cent GDP growth through June 2024 (up from a 0.2 per cent contraction in the previous fiscal year), the consensus estimate is 2.5 per cent, and the IMF forecasts 2 per cent.

    It’s essential to note that the Bloomberg Economics monthly tracker assesses inflation-adjusted indicators of activity.