Tag: International Monetary Fund (IMF)

  • IMF Board to review $7 billion loan programme for Pakistan on September 25

    IMF Board to review $7 billion loan programme for Pakistan on September 25

    The International Monetary Fund’s Executive Board is expected to take Pakistan’s 37-month Extended Fund Facility Arrangement (EFF) of about $7 billion on agenda on September 25.

    Kozack in a press briefing on Thursday, said that the discussion regarding Pakistan’s loan approval is taking place following Pakistan’s receipt of the necessary financing assurances from “its development partners.”

    The spokesperson of the global lender further said that economic stability in Pakistan has been supported by consistent policymaking, which has resulted in the resumption of growth and an increase in the country’s forex reserves.

    “The new EFF arrangement follows the successful implementation of the nine-month standby arrangement in 2023,” added Kozack.

    Following the development, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb expressed his gratitude to all relevant institutions, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s team, and the IMF negotiators.

    The debt-hit country reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF in July, but board approval for the 37-month programme had been pending since then. The delay, which was resolved today with the IMF Executive Board adding Pakistan to its agenda, had fueled speculation about whether Pakistan had failed to meet the IMF’s bailout conditions.

  • US dollar hits six-month low against Pakistani currency 

    US dollar hits six-month low against Pakistani currency 

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) has been on an upward trajectory, with the US dollar (USD) experiencing its lowest value in six months.

    This development follows a concerted effort to combat dollar smuggling, resulting in a decrease of Rs5.50 in interbank trading this week. The greenback concluded the week at Rs282.69.  

    In the open market, the US dollar saw a significant drop of 6.50 rupees, closing at Rs281.50, down from Rs288.

    This decline has been a consistent trend in recent weeks, starting from the beginning of September, when the US currency has been steadily losing ground against the Pakistani rupee.  

    Notably, other foreign currencies have also seen a decrease in their value within the currency market. Over the past week, the Euro fell by 8 rupees, going from Rs306 to Rs298. Similarly, the British Pound Sterling lost Rs5, reaching a rate of Rs248 from its previous Rs253.

    The Saudi Riyal experienced a modest decrease of one rupee, moving from Rs76.20 to Rs75.20, while the Emirates dirham shed Rs2.60 to settle at Rs77.20, down from its previous rate of Rs79.80 over the weekend.  

    This strengthening of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar in the open market has occurred while maintaining a narrow gap with the interbank market, aligning with the limits stipulated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  

    This positive trend in the rupee’s value against the dollar can be attributed to a nationwide crackdown on illegal currency operations carried out by law enforcement agencies. 

  • Govt increases excise duty on registration of cars over 2000cc

    Govt increases excise duty on registration of cars over 2000cc

    The federal government has implemented a considerable increase in excise duty on vehicle registration for vehicles with engine capacities exceeding 2000cc in the Finance Bill for the fiscal year 2023-2024.

    Under the new regulations, a fixed tax rate of six per cent has been imposed on vehicles ranging from 2001cc to 2500cc. Individuals who file their taxes will be subject to a tax payment of Rs0.25 million for vehicles falling within this range.

    For vehicles with engine capacities between 2501cc and 3000cc, the government has introduced an eight per cent fixed tax rate. Previously, filers were required to pay Rs0.2 million, while non-filers were subjected to a higher tax amount of Rs 0.4 million. Furthermore, a substantial ten per cent fixed tax has been imposed on the registration of vehicles with a capacity of 3000cc.

    The National Assembly has already approved the Finance Bill for the upcoming fiscal year, incorporating vital budgetary proposals. Finance Minister Ishaq Dar presented the bill to the House, outlining a total outlay of Rs14,480 billion.

    The passage of the federal budget in the House was a crucial step taken to address the concerns of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and secure the revival of a suspended loan program. In light of these developments, revisions were made to the tax collection target, raising it from Rs9,200 billion to Rs9,415 billion.

    To accommodate increased pension payments, an allocation of Rs801 billion has been designated, reflecting a significant rise from the previously allocated amount of Rs761 billion. These measures demonstrate the government’s commitment to addressing pressing fiscal matters and ensuring financial stability.

  • President Alvi approves mini-budget amidst concerns of pushing Pakistanis into deeper poverty

    President Alvi approves mini-budget amidst concerns of pushing Pakistanis into deeper poverty

    President Dr Arif Alvi has given his approval for the Finance (Supplementary) Bill 2023, also known as the mini-budget, under Article 75 of the Constitution, which requires the president to assent to a bill presented to him within 10 days.

    National Assembly had passed the Rs170 billion mini-budget with some modifications, which will have an annual impact of about Rs550 billion.

    The budget’s approval has brought Pakistan closer to an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) but at the cost of pushing people deeper into the poverty trap.

    The majority of the taxation measures were implemented, although the president had not given his assent when the National Assembly passed the bill.

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar admitted during his wind-up speech that inflation was unbearable for the people and blamed the maladministration of the previous government of former prime minister Imran Khan.

    Dar also admitted that the news stories about Rs675 billion to Rs700 billion taxes were not untrue and the IMF had demanded those measures, which the government did not accept. Dar added that almost all major issues with the IMF had been sorted out, and Pakistan is now very near to the staff-level agreement.

  • ‘Toughest’ technical level talks between Pakistan and IMF on ninth review begin in Islamabad

    ‘Toughest’ technical level talks between Pakistan and IMF on ninth review begin in Islamabad

    Negotiations to reach a staff-level agreement on the ninth review of the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) have started between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday.

    As the cash-strapped government launches new efforts to conclude the lingering ninth review, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar is leading the Pakistani side and Nathen Porter is in charge of the IMF review team. The review team from the IMF arrived in Islamabad on Monday.

    Pakistan is likely to discuss its strategy for implementing further revenue measures with the visiting review delegation.

    The Fund has refused to compromise on the terms it outlined for the restoration of the lending facility, causing analysts to label the technical level negotiations as “toughest.”

    According to The News, Pakistan is experiencing a severe economic crisis, with the currency falling, inflation skyrocketing, and a shortage of electricity. Because he was worried about backlash before the upcoming elections in October, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif resisted the IMF’s demands for tax increases and subsidy reductions for months.

    However, Islamabad has begun to yield to pressure in recent days as the threat of national insolvency grows and no friendly nations are ready to give less severe bailouts.

    To manage a growing illicit market in US dollars, the government relaxed limitations on the rupee, which led to the currency falling to historic lows. Additionally, artificially low petrol costs have increased.

    “We’re at the end of the road. The government has to make the political case to the public for meeting these (IMF) demands,” former World Bank economist Abid Hasan told AFP.

    “If they don’t, the country will certainly default and we’ll end up like Sri Lanka, which will be even worse.”

    Last year, Sri Lanka entered into debt default and experienced months of food and fuel shortages that led to unrest and finally forced the nation’s government to depart the country.

  • S&P Global lowers Pakistan’s credit rating to CCC+

    S&P Global lowers Pakistan’s credit rating to CCC+

    Pakistan’s long-term sovereign credit rating was downgraded by S&P Global from “B” to “CCC+” to reflect the continuous deterioration of the country’s external, fiscal, and economic metrics.

    According to S&P, Pakistan’s already meagre foreign exchange reserves would continue to be under pressure through 2023 without a drop in oil prices or an improvement in international aid. The nation also faces significant political risks that could alter its future course of policies.

    According to the report, Pakistan’s economic and fiscal results are predicted to be negatively impacted by this year’s devastating floods, skyrocketing food and energy prices, and rising global interest rates, with refinancing issues over the medium term.

    The agency maintained its outlook at “stable”.

    With barely enough reserves to pay one month’s worth of imports, a dollar shortage, and a delay in its loan programme with the International Monetary Fund, Pakistan is in the midst of an economic catastrophe. Despite the payment of a $1 billion bond this month, long-term dollar bonds continue to trade at distressed prices, reflecting investors’ lack of confidence in Pakistan’s capacity to meet its international debt commitments.

    Following the terrible floods that hit the country earlier this year, Moody’s lowered Pakistan’s sovereign credit rating by one notch, from B3 to Caa1, citing heightened government liquidity and external vulnerability risks.

  • Pakistan is committed to completing IMF programme while meeting debt repayments on time: Ishaq Dar

    Pakistan is committed to completing IMF programme while meeting debt repayments on time: Ishaq Dar

    Pakistan is committed to completing the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme while meeting external debt repayments on time, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said on Tuesday during a meeting with the ambassador of its top bilateral lender, China.

    The country is in desperate need of external financing as the IMF’s review for the disbursement of its next tranche of funding has been on hold since September, according to Reuters.

    Ishaq Dar, the finance minister, stated last week on local television that the IMF was “behaving abnormally” by not finishing the ninth review even though all targets had been met.

    “The Finance Minister … apprised the Chinese Ambassador that the Government remains committed to completing the IMF program while meeting all external debt repayments on time,” the finance ministry said in a statement.

    The IMF programme is “back on track,” according to a separate statement released by the finance ministry on Tuesday, and preparations for the ninth review were well underway.

    An Extended Fund Facility (EFF) bailout for Pakistan in 2019 included a $6 billion bailout that was later increased by $1 billion.

    Dar said that Pakistan’s government has a “realistic plan” for handling the costs associated with rehabilitating the areas damaged by devastating flooding a few months ago during his meeting with the Chinese Ambassador. Official estimates place the cost of flood damage at $40 billion.

    Pakistan is dealing with a balance of payments issue and a growing current account deficit. Dar announced last week that a $3 billion loan from a friendly nation will be used to bolster Pakistan’s foreign reserves, which have fallen to $7.5 billion.

    According to the finance ministry, the government has implemented austerity measures to cut non-essential spending and has prioritised energy conservation to lower its import expenses.

  • IMF to help Pakistan after World Bank and UNDP assess flood damages

    IMF to help Pakistan after World Bank and UNDP assess flood damages

    The International Monetary Fund stated that it is awaiting the assessment reports from the World Bank and UNDP as well as the economic destruction brought on by the country’s severe flooding before determining how it might assist Pakistan.

    According to Geo, the international lender announced that as part of the preparations for the upcoming review, it will also dispatch a delegation the following month after the annual meetings.

    But the IMF made it clear that it would hold off until the UNDP and World Bank completed their assessments of the damages.

    At a news conference in Washington on Thursday, Jihad Azour, the IMF’s Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department, stated that “We were saddened by the loss of human as well as livelihood in Pakistan with the flood, and we present, and we reiterate our condolences to the people of Pakistan. The Fund has been very supportive of Pakistan over the last few years. We have a programme with Pakistan that has been extended and increased in size.

    According to Azour, the Fund took these actions to provide Pakistan more flexibility during the Covid-19 crisis in order to help the government deal with the confluence of shocks.

    When talking about subsidies, the director remarked “Targeted subsidies that promote certain products have not been found to be highly beneficial. It has shown to be extremely regressive, “added he.

    Azour said that the Fund urges Pakistan and other nations to stop giving out ineffective subsidies that waste money. He further emphasised that the IMF supports nations in allocating these resources to those who are in most need.

  • IMF expects Pakistan’s govt gross debt to decline by 6.7%

    IMF expects Pakistan’s govt gross debt to decline by 6.7%

    According to projections made by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Pakistan’s government gross debt will decrease from 77.8 per cent of GDP in 2022 to 71.1 per cent in 2023.

    The predictions for Pakistan’s fiscal year 2022–2023, however, are made using data as of the end of August 2022 and do not take the current floods’ effects into account.

    The net debt for Pakistan is predicted to decrease from 71.5 per cent of GDP in 2022 to 66.1 per cent in 2023, according to the IMF study “Fiscal Monitor, Helping People Bounce Back.”

    According to projections, government revenue will represent 12.4 per cent of GDP in 2023 and 12.8 per cent of GDP in 2024, compared to 12.1 per cent during the same time in 2022.

    The primary balance of the government was predicted by the Fund to be 0.2 per cent in 2023 as opposed to -3.0 per cent in 2022. Furthermore, compared to 2022, 2023 is expected to see a decrease in the government’s overall balance of 4.8 per cent.

  • Pakistan did not breach any of IMF conditions by reducing petrol price: Aisha Ghaus Pasha

    Pakistan did not breach any of IMF conditions by reducing petrol price: Aisha Ghaus Pasha

    Following the government’s decision to lower the price of petroleum products, Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Aisha Ghaus Pasha gave the assurance that Pakistan had not violated any of the terms set forth by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    According to Geo, there have been numerous rumours surrounding the future of the IMF contract ever since Finance Minister Ishaq Dar cut the price of gasoline last week.

    Since he was sworn in, Dar and his predecessor Miftah Ismail were unable to cooperate because they held divergent views on the IMF agreement and the gradual elimination of gasoline subsidies.

    Pasha responded to the worries by stating that Pakistan had some margin, which the government utilised to relieve the people by lowering the price of gasoline by Rs12.63 per litre.

    She said that the government is still committed to the IMF programme and intends to provide relief to the flood hit masses without tampering IMF conditions.

    Moreover, she said that the government officials are scheduled to meet IMF representatives this month and both sides will discuss things in detail.

    Speaking of the rupee-dollar controversy, she said that the central bank is investigating eight known banks in this issue regarding the banks involved in currency manipulation. Strict action will be taken against any bank found guilty according to Pasha.

    Earlier, the Senate Standing Committee on Finance had summoned the representatives of eight commercial banks that were issued show-cause notices by the central bank on suspicion of currency manipulation.