Tag: International Monetary Fund

  • Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves increase by $31 million, reaching $7.64 billion

    Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves increase by $31 million, reaching $7.64 billion

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported an increase of $31 million in its foreign exchange reserves on a weekly basis, reaching a total of $7.64 billion as of October 6, according to data released on Thursday.

    The overall liquid foreign reserves of the country amounted to $13.03 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves of $5.39 billion.

    The central bank did not provide a specific explanation for the increase in reserves.

    In its report, the SBP stated, “During the week ending on October 6, 2023, the SBP’s reserves rose by $31 million, reaching $7,646.7 million.”

    Notably, the previous week witnessed a decrease of $21 million in Pakistan’s central bank reserves.

    In July of this year, the SBP’s reserves received a significant boost when Pakistan received the first tranche of approximately $1.2 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) after the approval of a new $3-billion stand-by arrangement. Additionally, inflows from Saudi Arabia and the UAE contributed to the growth of reserves.

    However, it’s worth mentioning that the central bank’s reserves have been under pressure due to ongoing debt repayments, an increase in import expenditures following the relaxation of restrictions, and a lack of fresh inflows.

  • Pakistan expected to secure second IMF tranche despite missed deadlines

    Pakistan expected to secure second IMF tranche despite missed deadlines

    Pakistan is poised to secure the next installment of its $3 billion stand-by arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), despite potential delays in meeting certain deadlines, as indicated in a recent brokerage report. 

    Topline Securities, in its analysis, acknowledged that Pakistan had achieved the prescribed targets for net international reserves, net domestic assets, and foreign currency swap/forward positions as of the close of June 2023.  

    However, it also pointed out that Islamabad had fallen short in meeting the targets for the primary deficit, which assesses the fiscal balance excluding interest payments as well as external public debt disbursements. 

    Furthermore, the report highlighted that Pakistan had yet to implement a gas price adjustment agreed upon with the IMF, which was a prerequisite for completing the second review of the program. 

    Pakistan initially received a $1.2 billion installment from the IMF’s stand-by arrangement in July after the IMF’s Executive Board approved the bailout package to stabilise the country’s economy.  

    Under the agreement, the remaining $1.8 billion is set to be disbursed in two tranches following reviews in November and February. 

    The current IMF programme outlines nine performance criteria, four indicative targets, and ten structural benchmarks for the upcoming review. 

    In a briefing for analysts on September 14, the Governor of the State Bank of Pakistan confirmed that all quantitative performance targets related to the central bank, including net domestic assets, swaps, and net international reserves, had been met.  

    Similarly, the Finance Ministry expressed its commitment to maintaining fiscal discipline and achieving primary balance targets. 

    Despite challenges and some unmet targets related to external funding, the primary deficit, gas price adjustments, etc., Topline Securities remains optimistic about Pakistan’s chances of receiving the next IMF tranche.  

    They believe that if the government can effectively manage the current account deficit to around $4 billion for FY2024, as opposed to the projected $6.5 billion, it can meet its financing requirements, particularly given the difficulty of commercial borrowing. 

    The Ministry has projected gross external financing requirements of $28.4 billion for the current fiscal year, including the current account deficit of $6.5 billion, aligning with IMF projections outlined in the latest country report. 

    Regarding funding sources, the government plans to secure a total of $11 billion, with $5 billion coming from China and $6 billion from Saudi Arabia, primarily in the form of rollovers and an oil facility with deferred payments, according to Topline’s report.  

    The government also anticipates around $6.3 billion from multilateral creditors, including the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Islamic Development Bank, and Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. 

  • Pakistan’s forex reserves decline by $59 million to $7.64 billion due to debt payments

    Pakistan’s forex reserves decline by $59 million to $7.64 billion due to debt payments

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a weekly decrease in foreign exchange reserves, with a decline of $59 million, bringing the total to $7.64 billion as of September 22, according to data released on Thursday.

    The overall liquid foreign reserves of the country amounted to $13.16 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves of $5.52 billion.

    The central bank attributed this reduction in reserves to debt repayments, stating, “During the week ending on September 22, 2023, SBP’s reserves decreased by $59 million to $7,636.7 million due to debt repayments.”

    Notably, Pakistan’s central bank reserves had increased by $56 million the previous week, following four consecutive weeks of decline, during which SBP reserves had dwindled by a cumulative total of $416 million.

    In July, SBP’s reserves received a boost when Pakistan received approximately $1.2 billion as the first tranche from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), following approval of a new $3-billion stand-by arrangement. Additionally, inflows from Saudi Arabia and the UAE contributed to the increase.

    Despite these positive developments, the central bank’s reserves have come under pressure due to ongoing debt repayments, increased import payments following the easing of restrictions, and a lack of fresh inflows.

  • Govt’s borrowing soars to over Rs1.6 trillion in three months, marking a fivefold increase from last year

    Govt’s borrowing soars to over Rs1.6 trillion in three months, marking a fivefold increase from last year

    In the current fiscal year, FY24, the federal government’s net borrowing to meet its financial obligations for governing the nation amounted to Rs1.6 trillion.

    According to official data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the government secured loans exceeding Rs1.6 trillion in cash from the domestic banking sector during the first quarter, up significantly from the Rs261 billion borrowed during the same period in the previous year.

    During this period, the government obtained a net loan of Rs98 billion from SBP. It’s worth noting that the government is obligated to adhere to International Monetary Fund regulations, which prohibit direct borrowing from the central bank.

    Additionally, the government raised Rs1.5 trillion from scheduled banks in the first quarter of FY24 (up to September 8) to address the budget deficit.

    The net borrowing by the government for budgetary support in FY23 totaled Rs3.74 trillion, marking an increase from Rs3.13 trillion in FY22.

  • Pakistan imports tea worth Rs31.64 billion in just two months 

    Pakistan imports tea worth Rs31.64 billion in just two months 

    According to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), Pakistan’s imports of food items in the first two months of the fiscal year 2023–24 amounted to Rs378.98 billion. 

    The PBS data reveals that during this two-month period, Pakistan imported tea worth Rs31.64 billion, a notable increase from Rs20.23 billion during the corresponding period in the previous year.  

    Additionally, Pakistan imported palm oil valued at Rs158.7 billion and soybean oil worth Rs13.56 billion. 

    Furthermore, Pakistan imported pulses worth Rs48.25 billion and dry fruits valued at over Rs2 billion during the same two-month period. 

    It is worth noting that in July, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) lifted all import restrictions as part of its efforts to meet the conditions set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    Read more: Pakistani rupee gains value, now at Rs292.78 per US dollar 

    The central bank issued a circular to abolish these import restrictions and authorised banks to facilitate remittances to clear more than 6,000 containers. 

    The SBP clarified in the circular that remittances would be made available for all imports following the implementation of the latest order. 

  • IMF urges Pakistan to increase taxation on the rich and ‘protect the poor’

    IMF urges Pakistan to increase taxation on the rich and ‘protect the poor’

    International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director (MD) Kristalina Georgieva has urged Pakistan to increase taxation for the rich and safeguard the well-being of the less privileged. She said that these actions align with the desires of the people in Pakistan. 

    According to Geo News, speaking on the sidelines of the 78th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) session in New York, she stated, “What we are asking in our programme is that you please collect more taxes from the wealthy and please protect the poor people of Pakistan. I do believe this is in line with what people in Pakistan would like to see for the country.”

    In a separate social media post after a meeting with Pakistan’s caretaker prime minister, Anwaar ul Haq Kakar, Georgieva stated, “Very good meeting with Pakistan’s PM today on Pakistan’s economic prospects. We agreed on the vital need for strong policies to ensure stability, foster sustainable and inclusive growth, prioritise revenue collection, and provide protection for the most vulnerable in Pakistan.”

    Furthermore, the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) released a statement expressing gratitude for the IMF’s approval of a $3 billion stand-by agreement (SBA) to support Pakistan’s economy. The arrangement, approved by the IMF’s Executive Board in July, is set for its second review in November.

    The statement mentioned that Kakar briefed the MD IMF on various measures taken by the Government of Pakistan to stabilise and revive the country’s economy, with a focus on creating a stable environment for sustainable economic growth and investment, particularly for vulnerable segments of society.

    Kristalina Georgieva commended Pakistan’s concerted efforts in implementing policies and reforms to revive the economy and assured continued engagement with Pakistan.

    Read more: UAE bans fresh meat imports from Pakistan 

    In July, Pakistan secured a last-minute SBA with the IMF, providing relief to its economy, which had long grappled with a boom-and-bust cycle due to the absence of meaningful structural reforms. High inflation and a balance-of-payments crisis have led to economic distress, prompting the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to revise its growth outlook for the country.

    Low foreign exchange reserves have resulted in import restrictions as debt payments remained high and avenues for dollar inflows were limited.

    Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar also called upon the international community to find a lasting solution to the debt issues faced by 59 countries in debt distress, emphasising the need for global and regional cooperation to achieve sustainable development goals. 

    He highlighted the importance of resources for developing countries and reiterated Pakistan’s commitment to supporting the Global Development Initiative. Kakar also noted the significance of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) in achieving sustainable development goals.

  • IMF approves relief plan for 4 million consumers with monthly power usage below 200 units

    IMF approves relief plan for 4 million consumers with monthly power usage below 200 units

    After extensive negotiations prompted by widespread protests against soaring electricity bills, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has reportedly granted approval to a relief proposal targeting consumers with monthly electricity consumption of up to 200 units, allowing authorities to implement an installment-based billing system, according to sources cited by Geo News.

    Sources indicated that the final authorisation for implementing the installment billing system will require approval from the federal cabinet. 

    Approximately 4 million electricity consumers are expected to benefit temporarily from this initiative.

    Regrettably, the interim government’s proposal to extend relief to consumers using up to 400 units of electricity per month was rejected by the IMF. This decision means that approximately 32 million consumers would have benefited if the proposal had been accepted.

    Additionally, sources disclosed that the IMF stressed the importance of combating electricity and gas theft while also focusing on improving revenue collection.

    Furthermore, the sources revealed that the IMF had requested an increase of 45 to 50 per cent in gas tariffs, effective from July 1. However, the approval of this tariff hike remains contingent upon federal cabinet approval.

    In response to persistent protests by citizens and traders who have taken to the streets to denounce the steep increases in power bills and additional taxes, the caretaker government led by Prime Minister Anwaar ul Haq Kakar in Islamabad has been actively engaging with the IMF to secure immediate relief for electricity consumers in the economically challenged nation, where the populace is grappling with soaring inflation.

    It is crucial to note that Pakistan is currently operating under an IMF programme, making any relief or subsidy subject to IMF approval.

  • Pakistani rupee sets new record, falls to Rs307.10 per US dollar 

    Pakistani rupee sets new record, falls to Rs307.10 per US dollar 

    In the interbank market on Tuesday, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued to weaken against the US dollar, losing PKR 1.4569 (0.48 per cent) on a day-over-day basis and ending the session at PKR 307.0996 per US dollar.

    On Monday, the Pakistani rupee experienced a slight decline against the US dollar, settling at Rs305.64 in the interbank market.

    The government has not yet finalised relief measures for the surging electricity bills of consumers, primarily due to disagreement between the federal government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding the provided data.

    On the international front, the US dollar remained strong on Tuesday, while the Australian dollar faced some pressure. Traders were closely monitoring the Reserve Bank of Australia’s upcoming interest rate decision, speculating that interest rates may have reached their peak.

  • IMF declines request for tariff adjustment and subsidy on high electricity bills 

    IMF declines request for tariff adjustment and subsidy on high electricity bills 

    In light of the government’s comprehensive deliberation on strategies to alleviate the burden of electricity bills, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has declined the proposal for tariff adjustments or additional subsidies. This decision was made despite the government’s assertion that its bill collections for August had nearly met expectations, as reported by The News on Tuesday. 

    The IMF has expressed strong reservations regarding the government’s initiative to provide relief to economically disadvantaged individuals facing high power bills. Pakistan has consequently approached the global lender, requesting permission to phase in upcoming quarterly tariff adjustments (QTAs) and Fuel Price Adjustments (FPAs) amounting to Rs7.50 per unit over the next four to six months. 

    An authoritative source confirmed this request, stating, “Pakistan has sought the IMF’s approval for a gradual implementation of QTAs and FPAs over a four to six-month period, potentially incurring additional costs that will require mutual agreement.” 

    According to sources, the power sector continues to grapple with challenges, given the necessity of increasing tariffs by approximately Rs5 per unit in the current month and incorporating FPAs amounting to Rs2.72 per unit. Consequently, a cumulative tariff increase exceeding Rs7 per unit is anticipated.  

    The computation of QTAs will be based on losses incurred during the April-June period, reflecting reduced unit usage, increased interest payments, and fluctuations in exchange rates. Meanwhile, the FPA is calculated to address the rising prices of imported fuel, resulting in a potential hike of Rs7.50 per unit in September bills, subject to regulatory approval.  

    Simultaneously, the Ministry of Power asserts that its bill collection performance for August 2023 has improved and is nearing expectations. They contend that to mitigate the impact of inflated bills, they must seek the IMF’s approval for the staggered implementation of QTAs and FPAs.  

    According to calculations by the Ministry of Power for various consumer categories, those utilising 400 units can anticipate a reduction in power charges from Rs21,000 in August 2023 to Rs16,963 in September and further to Rs11,356 in October, factoring in QTAs and FPAs. Similarly, charges for consumers using 300 units are projected to decrease from Rs13,000 in August to Rs10,000 in September and Rs8,000 in October 2023. 

    With the onset of winter in October, it is anticipated that the issue of escalated bills will gradually subside. Additionally, officials are planning to approach the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) to determine the next tariff adjustments, considering seasonal usage trends. Given the peak usage during the summer months followed by a decline in winter, tariff adjustments will be tailored to accommodate these seasonal fluctuations. 

    The Prime Minister has instructed the Ministry of Finance to develop a strategy for economic stability in Pakistan. During a meeting with Interim Finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar, the current economic situation was discussed. 

    The government aims to find innovative solutions to ease the burden on electricity consumers, addressing issues like circular debt, power theft, and taxes with short-term measures. 

    The caretaker government’s primary goal is to facilitate early general elections while upholding constitutional obligations such as constituency delimitation following the population census. The focus is on restructuring fiscal and monetary policies for economic revitalization. 

  • Air Link partners with Xiaomi for assembling TVs in Pakistan

    Air Link partners with Xiaomi for assembling TVs in Pakistan

    Air Link Communication Ltd. will start assembling Xiaomi televisions in Pakistan in January 2024. This noteworthy development, reported by Bloomberg, marks a strategic move forward for the company.

    Muzzaffar Hayat Piracha, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Air Link, shared insightful details with the publication. He highlighted the collaborative partnership formed two years ago between Air Link and Xiaomi, focused on distributing mobile phones across Pakistan.

    Importantly, both companies foresee a streamlined investment process, as the assembly lines for the two product lines exhibit notable similarities.

    Bloomberg’s analysis sheds light on Pakistan’s positive economic transformation following a pivotal deal with the International Monetary Fund. This consequential agreement effectively doubled the nation’s foreign exchange reserves, elevating them to an impressive $8 billion. A key requirement of this agreement was the removal of all restrictions on imports, a significant move that has provided relief and opportunities for companies, including Air Link.

    Notably, Air Link’s journey has been one of progress, transitioning from breaking even to achieving profitability over the past six months. This serves as a testament to their resilience and strategic acumen, according to Air Link’s CEO.

    Air Link, which commenced operations as a mobile phone distributor a little over a decade ago, etched its name in history by spearheading Pakistan’s largest private sector initial public offering in 2021.

    Piracha highlighted this milestone while also outlining the company’s ambitious goal to ramp up monthly mobile phone production to an impressive 500,000 units by the end of the year, surpassing the current rate of 300,000 units.