Tag: oil prices

  • PKR ends week in green, settles at Rs281.4 vs USD

    PKR ends week in green, settles at Rs281.4 vs USD

    The Pakistani rupee demonstrated resilience, marking its third consecutive session of gains against the US dollar with a 0.1 per cent appreciation in the inter-bank market on Friday. 

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs281.4, reflecting an increase of Re0.27.

    In a noteworthy development, the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves experienced a significant boost of $1.3 billion over a two-week period, attributed to official inflows from international financial institutions facilitated by the government of Pakistan. 

    The upward trajectory in the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves was evident in the final weeks of December. Inflows totaling $852 million were reported for the week ending December 22, 2023, followed by an additional $464 million by December 29, 2023. 

    Cumulatively, an impressive $1.316 billion contributed to the SBP’s reserves during this fortnight.

  • Pakistani rupee strengthens by 5 paisa, closes at PKR 281.67 against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee strengthens by 5 paisa, closes at PKR 281.67 against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) demonstrated a 5.08 paisa appreciation against the US dollar during Thursday’s interbank session, concluding at PKR 281.67 per USD, compared to the previous closing at PKR 281.72 per US dollar (USD).

    Throughout the day, the currency reached an intraday high (bid) of Rs281.84 and a low (ask) of Ra281.8. In the open market, Exchange Companies quoted the dollar at Rs281 for buying and Rs283 for selling.

    It’s noteworthy that the local unit concluded its 13-day historic winning streak against the greenback in the first trading session of 2024, experiencing a modest depreciation of 3.37 paisa against the US dollar.

    In contrast to major currencies, PKR gained 56.27 paisa against the Euro, closing at Rs308.07 compared to the previous value of Rs308.63. 

    The British Pound saw an increase of Rs1.25, concluding at Rs357.49 compared to Rs356.24 from the previous day.

    The Swiss franc recorded gains of 75.99 paisa, closing at Ra332.01 compared to Rs331.25 from the previous session. 

    Against the Japanese Yen, PKR gained 1.18 paisa, closing at 1.964 versus 1.9758 a day ago. The Chinese Yuan lost 4.96 paisa, closing at 39.38 against 39.43 from the previous session. 

    The Saudi Riyal closed at 75.1 with a loss of 1.75 paisa from its values of 75.12 a day ago, and the U.A.E Dirham decreased by 1.28 paisa from 76.69 to 76.71.

    In the current financial year, PKR has appreciated against the Dollar by 4.32 rupees or 1.53 per cent, while the current calendar year has seen PKR appreciate by 18.73 paisa or 0.07 per cent. 

    In the money market, the benchmark 6 Month Karachi Interbank Bid and Offer rates decreased by 6 bps to 21.16 and 21.41 per cent.

  • Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee resumes winning streak against US dollar

    Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee resumes winning streak against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee exhibited resilience against the US dollar in the inter-bank market, marking a 0.06 per cent gain on Wednesday, reaching a settlement of Rs281.72, reflecting an increase of Re0.17, as reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). 

    This positive momentum follows a slight dip on Tuesday, when the rupee settled at Rs281.89 against the US dollar.

    Meanwhile, on the international front, the US dollar experienced a broad ascent on Wednesday, hovering near a two-week high against major peers. 

    This surge is attributed to various factors, including elevated US Treasury yields and a cautious shift in risk sentiment that impacted Wall Street.

    In another significant development, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is poised to implement stringent measures targeting non-filers during the current month. 

    The initial phase involves the blocking of mobile SIM cards and mobile phones for non-filers, with the issuance of the Income Tax General Order expected by January 15. 

    The FBR is also formulating a strategy to disconnect electricity and gas connections for non-filers, acknowledging a current lack of comprehensive data on the electricity connections of non-filers.

  • Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    Pakistani rupee extends winning streak against US dollar for 12th straight session

    The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trend against the US dollar for the 12th consecutive session, appreciating by 0.1 per cent in the inter-bank market on Thursday. 

    The State Bank of Pakistan reported that the rupee settled at Rs281.93, marking an increase of Re0.27. A day earlier, the rupee had experienced a slight gain, closing at Rs282.20 against the US dollar.

    In a related development, the Ministry of Finance acknowledged the persistent challenge of higher markup payments. The ministry stressed the importance of both revenue enhancement and prudent expenditure control.

    Internationally, the US dollar faced substantial losses on Thursday, poised for a yearly decline after two years of robust gains. 

    Anticipation of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming year influenced market sentiments. As the year concludes, limited market activity is expected until the New Year due to thin liquidity.

    The dollar index, measuring the US currency against six rivals, reached a five-month low of 100.81. It declined by 0.5 per cent on Wednesday and is on track for a 2.6 per cent decrease this year, breaking a two-year trend of strong gains. I

    Investors are closely monitoring the timing of potential interest rate cuts from the Fed, with markets indicating an 89 per cent chance of a cut in March 2024, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Futures suggest up to 158 basis points of Fed easing in the coming year.

    Oil prices, a significant indicator of currency parity, stabilised on Thursday following a previous sharp decline. 

    Concerns about shipping disruptions along the Red Sea route eased, despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. 

    Brent crude futures rose by 2 cents to $79.75 a barrel, while US WTI crude futures traded 3 cents lower at $74.08 a barrel, rebounding from a nearly 2 per cent drop on Wednesday as major shipping firms resumed operations in the Red Sea.

  • 7th consecutive gain: Pakistani rupee closes at Rs282.9 against US dollar

    7th consecutive gain: Pakistani rupee closes at Rs282.9 against US dollar

    In a persistent surge, the Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued its upward trend against the US dollar (USD) for the seventh consecutive session, appreciating by 0.04 per cent in the inter-bank market on Wednesday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the PKR concluded at Rs282.9, marking an increase of Rs0.11.

    In the open market scenario, the PKR experienced a decline of 25 paisa for both buying and selling against the USD, settling at Rs281.50 and Rs284.50, respectively.

    Conversely, against the Euro, the PKR maintained stability for both buying and selling, closing at Rs307.00 and Rs310.00, respectively.

    Against the UAE dirham, the PKR held steady for both buying and selling, concluding at Rs77.30 and Rs78.00, respectively.

    In comparison, against the Saudi Riyal, the PKR saw a gain of 10 paisa for both buying and selling, closing at Rs75.20 and Rs75.90, respectively.

    This positive trend follows Tuesday’s marginal gain, where the rupee settled at Rs283.01 against the US dollar.

    The dollar index, which experienced a slight dip on Tuesday, maintaining a mostly flat position at 102.20, had previously reached a four-month low of 101.76 last week.

    In the backdrop of global trade concerns and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi forces conducting attacks on ships in the Red Sea, oil prices surged past $80 a barrel on Wednesday.

    Brent crude futures observed an 89-cent increase, or 1.1 per cent, reaching $80.12 a barrel by 1101 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 93 cents, or 1.3 per cent, to $74.87 a barrel.

  • Pakistani rupee gains 20 paisa against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee gains 20 paisa against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) extended its positive trajectory against the US dollar for the sixth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.07 per cent in the inter-bank market on Tuesday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs283.01, marking an increase of Re0.20.

    In the previous session, the rupee saw a marginal gain, settling at Rs283.21 against the US dollar.

    Meanwhile, in a noteworthy development, Pakistan secured $4.285 billion from various financing sources in the first five months (July–November) of the current fiscal year 2023–24.

    This represents a decrease from the $5.114 billion borrowed during the corresponding period in 2022–23, as disclosed by data from the Economic Affairs Division (EAD).

    On the global front, the US dollar experienced a 0.3 per cent decline against the yen, maintaining its position close to a four-month high of 140.95 reached last week.

    Additionally, the greenback lingered near approximately five-month lows against the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

    This was attributed to the strength of risk-sensitive currencies, driven by the anticipation that the US Federal Reserve might initiate interest rate adjustments as early as the beginning of next year.

    In the realm of commodities, oil prices stabilised on Tuesday as investors assessed the potential repercussions on oil supply arising from attacks by Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants on ships in the Red Sea.

    These attacks have disrupted maritime trade, compelling companies to reroute vessels. Notably, crude prices surged nearly 2 per cent on Monday due to concerns about trade disruptions through the Suez Canal, a vital shipping route that accounts for approximately 15 per cent of global shipping traffic.

    Brent crude declined by 12 cents to $77.83 per barrel.

    The US West Texas Intermediate crude for January, set to expire on Tuesday, experienced a decrease of 62 cents, reaching $71.85. In contrast, the more active February contract only incurred a marginal loss of 3 cents.

  • PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    PKR gains ground against US dollar, closes at Rs283.26

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) continued its positive trajectory against the US dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive session, appreciating by 0.09 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs283.26, reflecting an increase of Re0.25.

    Thursday witnessed a marginal gain in the rupee, settling at Rs283.51 against the US dollar.

    The ongoing optimism is buoyed by the recently released trade figures for November, revealing a noteworthy 13.16 per cent month-over-month (MoM) and a substantial 31.72 per cent year-over-year (YoY) reduction in the trade deficit, amounting to $1.89 billion.

    Export figures exhibited a robust 7.66 per cent YoY surge, reaching $2.57 billion, while imports saw a YoY decline of 14.47 per cent, totaling $4.46 billion.

    On the global front, the US dollar remained near four-month lows on Friday, influenced by the increasing likelihood of US interest rate cuts in the coming year.

    Conversely, the euro and pound found support as their respective central banks reiterated the necessity for sustained higher interest rates.

    Amid an eventful week for central banks, clarity emerged regarding the potential timing of interest rate cuts following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s statement during Wednesday’s meeting.

    Powell suggested that the tightening of monetary policy is likely concluding, with discussions about cuts coming “into view.”

    The Fed’s projections imply a 75-basis-point cut next year from the current level, leading to a broad decline of the greenback against its counterparts.

    The dollar index stands at 102.05, not far from the four-month low of 101.76 observed on Thursday, marking a 1.9 per cent decrease and its most significant weekly decline since July.

    Oil prices, a pivotal indicator of currency dynamics, saw an increase on Friday, set to achieve their first weekly rise in two months.

    This positive shift is attributed to a bullish forecast from the International Energy Agency (IEA) regarding oil demand for the upcoming year, coupled with a weaker dollar.

    Brent futures rose by 21 cents to $76.82 a barrel at 0918 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also experienced a 21-cent climb, reaching $71.79.

  • Pakistani rupee experiences 11th consecutive session of decline against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee experiences 11th consecutive session of decline against US dollar

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    The Pakistani rupee faced its eleventh consecutive session of losses against the US dollar, depreciating by 0.34 per cent in the inter-bank market on Monday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee settled at 285.29, marking a decline of Re0.98.

    In the preceding week, the rupee had also suffered losses against the US dollar, closing 1.33 per cent lower at 284.31 in the inter-bank market, equivalent to a decrease of Rs3.74. This marked the third consecutive week of declines for the local currency.

    Prior to this recent trend, the Pakistani rupee had maintained a positive trajectory for 28 consecutive sessions, one of the longest appreciation runs, gaining a cumulative 10.93 per cent since reaching a record low of 307.1 in the inter-bank market on September 5.

    This surge was largely attributed to efforts to combat smuggling and increased controls on exchange companies.

    However, the situation has since shifted in favour of the US dollar, with global currencies remaining stable on Monday but appearing poised to continue their recent uptrend. This comes as the US dollar retreated following a moderation in the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance.

    Internationally, major global currencies showed stability early on Monday, with the US dollar index flat at 105.11 and the euro at $1.0726.

    The dollar index experienced its most significant decline since mid-July, falling over 1 per cent last week and reaching a six-week low.

    Weakness in US job data, softer global manufacturing figures, and declining longer-term Treasury yields also contributed to the dollar’s weakened position.

  • Pakistani rupee continues to lose against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee continues to lose against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee experienced a 0.16 per cent depreciation against the US dollar in the inter-bank market on Wednesday, settling at 279.88, marking a decrease of Re0.45, as reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    The previous day, the rupee had depreciated by 0.11 per cent, closing at 279.43 against the US dollar. In a related development, the SBP anticipates an increase in remittances to Pakistan due to a notable rise in labour migration. 

    In fiscal years 2022 and 2023, Pakistan observed a significant surge in labour migration compared to the preceding two years, with around 0.8 million Pakistani workers registered through the Bureau of Emigration and Overseas Employment (BEOE) and Overseas Employment Corporation (OEC) during FY23.

    Internationally, the US dollar gained strength on Wednesday, supported by robust US economic data. Meanwhile, the euro faced challenges due to a dimming growth outlook in the Eurozone. US business output showed improvement in October, signalling a recovery from a five-month contraction, as reported on Tuesday. 

    In contrast, data from the same day indicated an unexpected downturn in business activity in the Eurozone. The euro, against the dollar, was up 0.05 per cent at $1.0595 but had declined by 0.75 per cent the previous day. This shift boosted the dollar index, which steadied at 106.23, moving away from a one-month low of 105.35 recorded in the previous session.

    Furthermore, oil prices remained above $88 on Wednesday, driven by concerns about escalating conflicts in the Middle East, which offset worries about reduced demand due to the gloomy economic prospects in Europe.

  • Pakistani rupee set to become best performer against US dollar following record-low recovery

    Pakistani rupee set to become best performer against US dollar following record-low recovery

    In September, Pakistan’s rupee emerged as the global front-runner in currency performance, driven by the interim government’s vigorous measures to curb illicit US dollar trading.

    According to a comprehensive report by Bloomberg, the Pakistani rupee has experienced a remarkable surge of nearly 6 per cent during this month, a notable accomplishment given the downward trajectory of most other currencies like the Thai baht and South Korean won against the strengthening US dollar, fueled by expectations of prolonged high US interest rates.

    On Thursday, the rupee exhibited resilience by rising 0.1 per cent, reaching Rs287.95 per dollar after hitting a record low of approximately Rs307 earlier in the month.

    Khurram Schehzad, the Chief Executive Officer of Alpha Beta Core Solutions Pvt. Ltd., a financial consultancy located in Karachi, commented on the situation, highlighting the prevalence of leakages through informal channels such as hawala and hundi trade, which are common in South Asia.

    Schehzad noted, when the USD rate reverses, everyone from hoarders to exporters, who have been holding onto their export proceeds, starts offloading their dollars.

    The Bloomberg report underscores the Pakistani government’s intensified efforts to crack down on illegal dollar trading, which have significantly contributed to the rupee’s resurgence.

    In addition to these measures, the central bank has raised capital requirements for smaller exchange companies and mandated large banks to establish their exchange entities, aiming to enhance transparency and oversight in the retail foreign exchange market.