Tag: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics

  • Weekly inflation increases more than 38% as prices of petrol and food items hit the roof

    Weekly inflation increases more than 38% as prices of petrol and food items hit the roof

    According to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) based inflation for the week ended February 16, 2023, registered an increase of 2.89 per cent. The rise in inflation can be attributed to an increase in the prices of both food and non-food items.

    Food Items that saw an increase in prices

    The following food items saw a significant increase in prices during the week ended February 16, 2023:

    • Cooking oil 5 litre (8.65 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee 1kg (8.02 per cent)
    • Bananas (8.01 per cent)
    • Chicken (7.49 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee 2.5 kgs (6.76 per cent)

    Non-food items that saw an increase in prices

    The following non-food items saw an increase in prices during the week ended February 16, 2023:

    • Petrol (8.82 per cent)
    • Diesel (6.49 per cent)
    • Cigarettes (6.18 per cent)

    Year-on-Year Trend

    The year-on-year trend depicts an increase of 38.42 per cent mainly due to an increase in the prices of the following items:

    • Onions (433.44 per cent)
    • Chicken (101.86 per cent)
    • Diesel (81.36 per cent)
    • Eggs (81.22 per cent)
    • Rice irri-6/9 (74.12 per cent)
    • Rice basmati broken (73.05 per cent)
    • Petrol (69.87 per cent)
    • Moong (67.98 per cent)
    • Bananas (67.68 per cent)
    • Tea Lipton (63.89 per cent)
    • Pulse gram (56.93 per cent)
    • Bread (55.36 per cent)
    • Maash (53.42 per cent)
    • LPG (52.68 per cent)
    • Cigarettes (50.02 per cent)

    On the other hand, the prices of tomatoes (65.30 per cent), electricity for q1 (7.50 per cent), and chillies powdered (7.42 per cent) saw a decrease during the same period.

    SPI for the week under review

    The SPI for the week under review in the above-mentioned group was recorded at 234.77 points against 228.17 points registered in the previous week. Out of 51 items, prices of 34 (66.67 per cent) items increased, 05 (9.80 per cent) items decreased and 12 (23.53 per cent) items remained stable.

    SPI for different consumption groups

    The SPI for the consumption group up to Rs17,732, Rs17,732-22,888, Rs22,889-29,517, Rs29,518-44,175 and above Rs44,175 consumption group increased by 2.45 per cent, 2.73 per cent, 2.79 per cent, 2.88 per cent, and 2.94 per cent, respectively.

    Items that recorded an increase in average prices

    The following items recorded an increase in their average prices during the week over previous:

    • Petrol super (8.82 per cent)
    • Cooking oil Dalda or other similar brand (sn), 5 litre tin each (8.65 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib or other superior quality 1 kg pouch each (8.02 per cent)
    • Bananas (8.01 per cent)
    • Chicken (7.49 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib 2.5 kg tin each (6.76 per cent)
    • Hi-speed diesel (6.49 per cent)
    • Cigarettes Capstan (6.18 per cent)
  • Pakistan’s export market takes a hit: Textile group exports down 14.83% in January

    Pakistan’s export market takes a hit: Textile group exports down 14.83% in January

    According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the country’s textile group exports declined by approximately 8.17 per cent during the first seven months (July-January) of fiscal year 2022-23, totaling $10.039 billion as compared to $10.933 billion during the same period of the previous year.

    The data also showed that textile group exports witnessed a year-on-year decline of 14.83 per cent in January 2023, amounting to $1.321 billion, compared to $1.551 billion during the same month in the previous year. Additionally, on a month-on-month basis, the textile group registered a negative growth of 2.53 per cent compared to $1.356 billion in December 2022.

    Cotton yarn exports experienced a negative growth of 34.66 per cent during July-January, totaling $449.419 million compared to $687.857 million during the same period in the previous year. On a year-on-year basis, cotton yarn exports registered a negative growth of 12.34 per cent, while on a month-on-month basis, it registered a growth of 27.22 per cent.

    Rice exports declined by 15.82 per cent during the first seven months of fiscal year 2022-23, totaling $1.083 billion compared to $1.286 billion during the same period in the previous fiscal year. Overall, the country’s exports during July-January 2022-23 totaled $16.499 billion (provisional) compared to $17.739 billion during the corresponding period of the previous year, showing a decrease of 6.99 per cent.

    In January 2023, the country’s exports amounted to $2.244 billion (provisional) compared to $2.313 billion in December 2022, reflecting a decrease of 2.98 per cent and a decline of 14.15 per cent compared to $2.614 billion in January 2022. The primary commodities of exports during January 2023 were knitwear, readymade garments, bed wear, cotton cloth, rice others, towels, cotton yarn, made-up articles (excluding towels and bedwear), rice basmati, and surgical goods and medical instruments.

  • Exports from Pakistan witness 35.7% increase in first four months of FY23

    According to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), exports from Pakistan increased by 35.77 per cent in rupee terms during the first four months of the current fiscal year (2022-23) compared to the same time previous year.

    According to Geo, exports from July through October (2022-23) were Rs2,131,776 million, up from Rs1,570,136 in the corresponding period the previous year. This represents a growth of 35.77 per cent.

    In comparison to October 2021, when exports were Rs423,063 million, the country’s exports rose by 24.29 per cent to Rs525,831 million in October 2022.

    When compared to the exports of Rs563,714 million reported in September 2022, the exports climbed by 6.72 per cent in October 2022 on a monthly basis.

    The main commodities of exports during October 2022 were:

    Knitwear (Rs86,400 million), readymade garments (Rs60,778 million), bedwear (Rs47,895 million), cotton cloth (Rs37,407 million), rice other than basmati (Rs20,344 million), towels (Rs17,553 million), made-up articles, excluding towels & Bedwear (Rs12,758 million), fish products (Rs12,057 million), rice Basmati (Rs11,375 million) and cotton yarn (Rs10,819 million).

    On the other side, imports increased by 12.87 per cent from July through October 2022 to a total of Rs4,701,648 million, compared to Rs4,165,590 million during the same time previous year.

    Imports totaled Rs1,039,036 million in October 2022 compared to Rs1,232,299 million in September 2022 and Rs1,093,545 million in October 2021, a drop of 15.68 per cent over September 2021 and 4.98 per cent over October 2021.

    The major imports during October 2022 were:

     Petroleum products (Rs100,436 million), petroleum crude (Rs82,124 million), natural gas, liquified (Rs65,485 million), palm oil (Rs59,739 million), plastic materials (Rs47,301 million), iron & steel (Rs38,517 million), raw cotton (Rs29,943 million), iron & steel scrap (Rs26,037 million), electrical machinery & apparatus (Rs24,058 million) and medicinal products (Rs23,234 million).

  • Exports of leather garments witness 10.15 per cent increase

    Exports of leather garments witness 10.15 per cent increase

    Owing to a partial recovery of international orders and government support programmes, Pakistan’s non-textile exports increased by 25.85 per cent year over year to $12.46 billion in the preceding 2021–22.

    The value-added sectors are primarily driving overall growth in the non-textile sector. According to data produced by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Thursday, the non-textile sector has not yet received full orders to pre-Covid levels.

    Despite lockdowns in several nations, three industries—leather clothing, medical equipment, and engineering goods—maintained growth in export revenues in FY21.

    Exports of leather clothing increased by 10.15 per cent and those of leather gloves by 10.60 per cent in the value-added leather industry. In contrast, raw leather exports rose by more than 28.50% over the previous fiscal year.

    One of the major producers of surgical instruments worldwide is Pakistan. However, well-known brands resell these instruments in western nations. Because of this, the export value of these goods is still extremely low.

    In FY22, surgical tool exports experienced a 1.29 per cent decline. Pharmaceutical exports, however, decreased by 0.49 per cent.

  • The recent ban on imports might barely make a dent

    The recent ban on imports might barely make a dent

    On Thursday, May 19th, 2022, the federal cabinet issued a list of 41 items which will be banned from being imported for two months. This is in an attempt to address the current account deficit. The list of products is banned from being imported into the country, which means that essentially any shops or restaurants which rely on using these products will be forced to find local alternatives.

    These products will be banned regardless of what branding or packaging they use and only on the basis of whether the specific product is imported or not. Even products which are imported from abroad but packaged locally, will now be banned.

    Officially released list of imported non-essential luxury items

    Economists, university professors and business journalists took to Twitter to analyze and assess the merits and demerits of this decision. The discussion around luxury products and the fact that a lot of products which are labelled as “luxury items” are actually essential. Sanitary imports, valued at $16.4m are wrongly categorized as non-essential and although local alternatives also exist but it is definitions like these which disallow such decisions to be founded in research and expertise.

    The valuation of these imports which was published by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, was being quoted to ridicule the decision by many. What’s interesting to note is that most brands which appear to be entirely local, import a major chunk of their supply and will now be forced to smuggle goods instead.

    Only from the data shared by PBS it becomes clear that for the fiscal year 2022, June to March, the total value of petroleum imports was $11 billion, while the total value of banning all these non-essential “luxury” items is a total $984 million, which forms only about 8.9% of the total value of petroleum imports.

    In conversation with Profit Magazine’s Ariba Shahid, she clarified that this would still prove to be a largely fruitless move since the most significant chunk of the import bill is still being used up to run the energy sector without any thought being given to the humongous fuel subsidies . “For a very long time the State Bank of Pakistan has been talking about how if we remove the oil component from it, the current account deficit is improving, which is true and basically means that people are not spending money to buy other items and most of the import bill is petrol and soy bean oil.”

    Economists Ammar Khan and Atif R Mian also took to Twitter to analyze this decision of “patchwork economics”. Commenting on this unsustainable gap in Pakistan’s balance of payment, on April 15th, 2022 during a discussion on Pakistan’s economy at Princeton University, he explains that for Pakistan to grow it is a necessary condition for Pakistan to deal with this problem and digs deeper into the structure of the economy. He particularly takes apart urban land reforms, the necessity to levy a capital gains tax on speculative real estate transactions and analyzes how Pakistan is not even economically stable enough to grow at the rate of India and Bangladesh and it is primarily due to the elite capture of the economy that disallows the economy to attempt to fix its loopholes.

    Echoing similar sentiments, Ariba Shahid explained that due to a weaker economy, the import bill is not as significantly high due to a reduced demand pull because of a lowered purchasign power and hence banning these products will be insignificant and might barely make a dent in the current account deficit. “The need of the hour is to reverse the fuel subsidy,” says Shahid, “This decision will swell up the grey market economy and smuggling will increase.”

  • Inflation hike up to 11.5pc, highest in 20 months

    An increase in consumer prices continued as inflation rises up to 11.5 per cent from 9.2 per cent in November, the highest increase in the past 20 months due to a record hike in fuel prices last month, reports Dawn. This has been revealed by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data.

    Inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to its highest level in 20 months.

    Prices of fresh vegetables, fruits, and meat have also shown a significant increase in major urban and rural centres.

    The average inflation during the July-November period rose to 9.32 per cent on a yearly basis.

    Currently, the government aims to increase agriculture productivity for food security and self-sufficiency to counter food inflation by offering Agri-loans.

    The finance division in its recent report claimed that taking into account new price impulses in November and the low base effect, inflation would remain between 8.5 and 9.5 per cent, but the November inflation has already surpassed the projected figure.