Tag: spi

  • Pakistan’s weekly inflation dips slightly amid lower fuel and onion prices

    Pakistan’s weekly inflation dips slightly amid lower fuel and onion prices

    Pakistan’s weekly inflation, as measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), registered a slight decline of 0.16 per cent for the combined consumption groups during the week ending on August 15, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

    The SPI for the period under review stood at 322.03 points, down from 322.54 points the previous week. However, compared to the corresponding week last year, the SPI for the combined consumption group saw a significant increase of 16.86 per cent.

    The SPI, with the base year set at 2015-16, covers 17 urban centres and tracks 51 essential items across all expenditure groups.

    For the lowest consumption group, with a monthly expenditure of up to Rs17,732, the SPI witnessed a marginal increase of 0.07 per cent, rising to 311.04 points from 310.83 points in the previous week.

    Similarly, the SPI for the Rs 17,732-22,888 consumption group saw a minimal rise of 0.01 per cent. In contrast, for consumption groups with expenditures ranging from Rs22,889-29,517, Rs29,518-44,175, and above Rs44,175, the SPI declined by 0.05 per cent, 0.10 per cent, and 0.25 per cent, respectively.

    Out of the 51 items monitored during the week, the prices of 19 items (37.25 per cent) increased, 13 items (25.50 per cent) decreased, while the remaining 19 items (37.25 per cent) remained stable.

    The key items that saw a decrease in average prices on a week-on-week basis included onions (4.91 per cent), petrol (3.15 per cent), diesel (2.44 per cent), wheat flour (1.83 per cent), pulse moong (1.81 per cent), chicken (1.57 per cent), bananas (1.36 per cent), LPG (0.90 per cent), sugar (0.59 per cent), potatoes (0.58 per cent), and pulse masoor (0.56 per cent).

    Conversely, items that recorded an increase in their average prices included tomatoes (34.77 per cent), eggs (4.78 per cent), garlic (1.99 per cent), beef (0.88 per cent), cooked beef (0.41 per cent), georgette (0.40 per cent), gur (0.39 per cent), curd (0.32 per cent), and mustard oil (0.28 per cent).

  • Weekly inflation rises 1.28% as essential food items, fuel costs surge

    Weekly inflation rises 1.28% as essential food items, fuel costs surge

    In a challenging economic climate, food prices in Pakistan have surged, forcing consumers to purchase essential items at elevated costs.

    According to the Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the SPI for the Combined Group increased by 1.28 per cent week-on-week (WoW) for the week ending July 4, 2024.

     Additionally, the SPI saw a substantial year-on-year (YoY) rise of 23.59 per cent compared to the same period last year.

    The PBS data revealed that the Combined Index stood at 318.61, up from 314.57 a week earlier, and significantly higher than the 257.79 recorded a year ago. Out of 51 monitored items, prices of 29 (56.86 per cent) increased, 5 (9.80 per cent) decreased, and 17 (33.34 per cent) remained stable during the week.

    Significant weekly price increases were observed in tomatoes (70.77 per cent), wheat flour (10.57 per cent), powdered milk (8.90 per cent), diesel (3.58 per cent), and petrol (2.88 per cent). Conversely, notable price hikes on a yearly basis were recorded for onions (9.05 per cent), wheat (1.79 per cent), potatoes (1.04 per cent), eggs (0.79 per cent), and bananas (0.60 per cent).

    The SPI percentage change by income groups showed that the SPI rose across all income quantiles, ranging from 1.23 per cent to 1.44 per cent weekly. The lowest income group experienced a weekly rise of 1.43 per cent, while the highest income group saw a 1.23 per cent increase.

    Yearly SPI analysis across different income segments indicated increases ranging between 16.97 per cent and 26.49 per cent. The SPI for the lowest income group rose by 16.97 per cent, while the highest income group recorded a 21.39 per cent increase.

    Additionally, the average price of Sona urea was reported at Rs4,746 per 50 kg bag, which is 0.13 per cent higher than the previous week and 51.52 per cent higher compared to last year.

    Meanwhile, the average cement price reached Rs1,409 per 50 kg bag, marking a significant 10.48 per cent increase from the previous week and a 23.16 per cent rise from last year’s prices.

    The persistent rise in food and essential item prices continues to burden Pakistani consumers, exacerbating the financial strain on households across the country.

  • Weekly inflation inches down, yearly SPI surges

    Weekly inflation inches down, yearly SPI surges

    The Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the Combined Group saw a slight dip of 0.09 per cent week over week (WoW) for the week ending March 28, 2024.

    However, compared to the same period last year, the SPI surged by 29.41 per cent, as revealed by data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

    The Combined Index stood at 323.20, a slight decrease from 323.50 the previous week, while it was considerably higher at 249.75 a year ago.

    Among the 51 items monitored, prices of 04 (7.84 per cent) items increased, 18 (35.30 per cent) items decreased, and 29 (56.86 per cent) items remained stable during the week.

    Notable decreases were observed in the prices of Tomatoes (12.04 per cent), Wheat Flour (3.80 per cent), Garlic (2.59 per cent), LPG (2.42 per cent), and Wheat (2.09 per cent).

    Conversely, significant increases were noted in the prices of Chicken (4.92 per cent), Eggs (1.61 per cent), Shirting (0.56 per cent), and Rice Irri 6/9 (0.15 per cent).

    The weekly SPI percentage change across all income groups indicated a decrease, ranging between -0.03 per cent and -0.27 per cent.

    The lowest income group experienced the most significant weekly fall of 0.27 per cent, while the highest income group saw a decrease of 0.03 per cent.

    On a yearly basis, SPI increased across all income segments, ranging between 22.15 per cent and 33.5 per cent.

    The Lowest Income Group recorded a 22.15 per cent increase, while the highest income group saw a rise of 26.58 per cent.

    In terms of specific commodities, the average price of Sona urea stood at Rs4,828 per 50 kg bag, marking a marginal decrease of 0.02 per cent compared to last week, yet reflecting a significant increase of 69.56 per cent compared to last year.

    Meanwhile, the average Cement price was recorded at Rs1,220 per 50 kg bag, showing a slight decrease of 0.06 per cent compared to the previous week but an increase of 8.47 per cent compared to prices last year.

  • Pakistanis catch a break as weekly inflation hits 18-week low

    Pakistanis catch a break as weekly inflation hits 18-week low

    Short-term inflation in Pakistan dipped to 29.06 per cent year-on-year by the week ending March 21, stepping down from its prolonged stint above 30 per cent for the past 18 weeks, as per recent official data.

    The pullback in weekly inflation, tracked by the Sensitive Price Index (SPI), was primarily attributed to a drop in the prices of key staples like tomatoes, onions, and potatoes. The SPI noted a 1.13 per cent week-on-week decrease as of March 21, down from 32.89 per cent recorded in the previous week.

    This follows an unbroken 11-week stretch of inflation topping 40 per cent, starting from 29 per cent noted on November 8, 2023. The surge was largely fueled by upticks in gas prices, electricity tariffs, and essential kitchen item costs.

    Weekly inflation peaked at a record 48.35 per cent year-on-year in early May 2023, before cooling off to as low as 24.4 per cent in late August 2023, only to surge past 40 per cent again by the week ending November 16, 2023.

    Among the notable declines in prices on a week-on-week basis were tomatoes (36.73 per cent), onions (19.58 per cent), potatoes (4.02 per cent), garlic (2.87 per cent), pulse mash (1.25 per cent), wheat flour (1.02 per cent), sugar (0.95 per cent), pulse masoor (0.86 per cent), and diesel (0.60 per cent).

    Conversely, significant increases were seen in the prices of LPG (1.49 per cent), shirting (0.74 per cent), beef (0.53 per cent), rice basmati broken (0.48 per cent), mutton (0.42 per cent), mustard oil (0.40 per cent), rice irri 6/9 (0.25 per cent), powdered milk (0.14 per cent), and georgette (0.03 per cent) compared to the previous week.

    On an annual basis, notable price hikes were observed in gas charges for Q1 (570 per cent), chilli powder (86.05 per cent), gents sponge chappal (58.05 per cent), garlic (57.41 per cent), onions (54.65 per cent), gents sandal (53.37 per cent), gur (39.86 per cent), sugar (35.01 per cent), salt powder (33.29 per cent), energy saver (29.83 per cent), and pulse mash (27.31 per cent).

    In contrast, certain items witnessed declines, with cooking oil 5-litre dropping by 21.35 per cent, followed by vegetable ghee 2.5 kg (18.48 per cent), vegetable ghee 1 kg (18.44 per cent), mustard oil (13.90 per cent), bananas (13.52 per cent), diesel (2.47 per cent), and cigarettes (0.06 per cent).

    The short-term inflation, gauged through the SPI, stood at 323.50, compared to 327.21 in the preceding week and 250.66 a year ago. Comprising 51 items collected from 50 markets in 17 cities, the SPI is calculated weekly to monitor the prices of essential commodities and services at shorter intervals. Data indicates that prices of nine items increased, 17 items decreased, and 25 items remained stable compared to the previous week.

  • Inflation edges higher as weekly SPI indicates increase in prices

    Inflation edges higher as weekly SPI indicates increase in prices

    According to the Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the Combined Group’s SPI increased by 0.04 per cent during the week ending February 22, 2024.

    Additionally, the SPI surged by 30.68 per cent YoY compared to the same period last year.

    As of February 22, 2024, the Combined Index stood at 315.31, a slight uptick from 315.18 on February 15, 2024. A year ago, on February 23, 2023, the index was significantly lower at 241.29.

    Analysing the data for 51 items, it was found that the average prices of 23 items increased, 8 items decreased, and 20 items remained stable.

    Notable increases during the week were observed in the prices of tomatoes (22.71 per cent), bananas (7.40 per cent), diesel (3.02 per cent), chicken (1.22 per cent), and petrol (1.00 per cent).

    Conversely, onions (14.42 per cent), eggs (11.19 per cent), LPG (1.82 per cent), cooking oil (5 litres) (0.75 per cent), and wheat flour (0.36 per cent) experienced significant decreases.

    Breaking down the SPI percentage change by income groups, it was noted that SPI decreased across all 3 quantiles while increasing across 2 quantiles. The lowest-income group saw a weekly decline of -0.08 per cent, while the highest-income group recorded a rise of 0.09 per cent.

    On a yearly basis, the SPI change across different income segments revealed an increase ranging between 25.53 per cent and 35.39 per cent. The lowest-income group witnessed a 25.53 per cent increase, while the highest-income group recorded a 28.22 per cent rise.

    Specifically, the average price of Sona urea reached Rs4,928 per 50 kg bag, reflecting a 9.19 per cent increase from the previous week and a substantial 69.14 per cent surge compared to the same period last year.

    The surge in prices, especially for essential items, poses a challenge for the general populace, particularly those in lower-income groups.

    Authorities and policymakers are likely to face increasing pressure to address and mitigate the impact of inflation on the economy and the daily lives of people.

  • Yearly basis: Weekly inflation stays above 34%

    Yearly basis: Weekly inflation stays above 34%

    In the week concluding on February 15, 2024, the Weekly Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the Combined Group exhibited a slight decrease of 0.78 per cent week-over-week (WoW).

    However, compared to the same period last year, the SPI surged by 34.25 per cent YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

    The combined index, standing at 315.18, marked a slight dip from 317.65 recorded on February 8, 2024. A year ago, on February 16, 2023, the index was substantially lower at 234.77.

    Analysing the data further, out of the 51 items monitored, the average price of 22 items increased, 11 items witnessed a decrease, and 18 items remained stable.

    Notably, PBS did not release SPI data last week, following a 0.28 per cent WoW decline in the preceding week.

    During the week under review, significant decreases were noted in the prices of eggs (28.82 per cent), chicken (4.23 per cent), onions (3.48 per cent), LPG (2.85 per cent), and gur (1.13 per cent).

    Conversely, notable increases were observed in the prices of bananas (4.64 per cent), potatoes (2.80 per cent), match boxes (1.31 per cent), long cloth (1.29 per cent), and cooked daal (0.77 per cent).

    Analysing the SPI percentage change by income groups, a uniform decline of -0.82 per cent to -0.72 per cent was witnessed across all quantiles.

    The lowest-income group experienced a weekly decline of 0.78 per cent, while the highest-income group recorded a decrease of 0.77 per cent.

    On a yearly basis, SPI increased across all quantiles, ranging between 28.68 per cent and 38.54 per cent. The lowest-income group saw a 28.68 per cent increase, while the highest-income group recorded a 32.08 per cent rise.

    The average price of Sona urea fell to Rs4,513 per 50 kg bag, marking a 0.50 per cent decrease from last week and a significant 54.84 per cent increase from the previous year.

    Meanwhile, the average cement price recorded at Rs1,234 per 50 kg bag marked a 2.05 per cent increase from the previous week and a 14.27 per cent hike from the prices recorded last year.

    In a volatile market environment, these fluctuations in the SPI indicate the dynamic nature of the economic landscape, impacting consumers across various income groups.

  • Price Monitoring Committee responds to alarming spike in food prices

    Price Monitoring Committee responds to alarming spike in food prices

    In response to the surge in food prices, the Food and Industries Departments of Punjab, Sindh, and KP have jointly implemented robust monitoring measures, including heavy fines, surprise raids, and the sealing of establishments engaging in price gouging.

    The Caretaker Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives, Muhammad Sami Saeed, led a crucial meeting of the National Price Monitoring Committee (NPMC) on Tuesday.

    The committee convened to assess the prices of essential commodities amid the current economic challenges.

    As of the week ending on January 11, 2024, the Chief Statistician, PBS, presented a comprehensive overview of the country’s price situation.

    The report revealed a 1.4 per cent increase in the SPI over the previous week (WoW) and a significant 44.2 per cent surge over the corresponding week of the previous year.

    The spike in SPI was primarily attributed to the increased prices of perishable items such as tomatoes and onions, as well as poultry products like chicken and eggs.

    Out of the 21 monitored items, prices for 21 increased, 8 decreased, and 22 remained stable. Noteworthy declines were observed in the prices of potatoes, vegetable ghee, and sugar.

    During the meeting, the minister inquired about the measures taken by provincial governments and ICT to bridge the gap between wholesale and retail prices.

    Representatives from the provincial Food and Industries Departments of Punjab, Sindh, and KP assured strict monitoring through the imposition of heavy fines, surprise raids, and the sealing of shops involved in overcharging.

    Despite challenges in the supply of perishable items due to extreme weather conditions, the meeting underscored the importance of addressing climate change.

    The administration of Punjab is actively working on controlling prices by sensitising Deputy Commissioners across the province.

  • Weekly inflation in Pakistan remains above 40% for sixth consecutive week

    Weekly inflation in Pakistan remains above 40% for sixth consecutive week

    In the week concluding on December 21, weekly inflation exhibited a marginal easing but persisted above 40 per cent for the sixth consecutive week. 

    Official data released for this week highlighted heightened consumer costs for eggs, firewood, and pulses. 

    The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) revealed a 0.51 per cent decline in the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) from the previous week, attributed to lower prices of potatoes, petrol, diesel, tomatoes, and sugar.

    Despite this reduction, the SPI inflation rate remained notably high at 43.16 per cent, surpassing last year’s figure of 42.68 per cent for the same week. 

    This elevated inflation has adversely impacted the purchasing power of consumers, particularly those in lower and middle-income brackets. 

    The decline in SPI was driven by significant drops in the prices of potatoes (13.17 per cent), petrol (4.97 per cent), diesel (4.68 per cent), tomatoes (3.45 per cent), sugar (1.16 per cent), and other essential items.

    Conversely, considerable increases were observed in the prices of eggs (10.4 per cent), firewood (1.23 per cent), onions (1.19 per cent), and various pulses. 

    Out of the 51 essential items in the SPI, 35.29 per cent experienced price increases, 17.65 per cent saw decreases, and 47.06 per cent remained stable during the week.

    ConsumeRsin the lowest income bracket, earning up to Rs17,732 per month, faced a substantial SPI inflation rate of 35.13 per cent. 

    Meanwhile, the higher-income group, spending more than Rs44,175 per month, encountered an even higher SPI inflation rate of 40.93 per cent. 

    The middle quintile, ranging from Rs22,889 to Rs29,517, experienced a weekly inflation rate of 46.46 per cent.

    Various consumer goods displayed a mix of price increases, decreases, and stability, as indicated by the latest PBS data. 

    Notably, the price of a dozen eggs rose by 10.42 per cent, reaching Rs388.7, while firewood’s 40kg bundle increased by 1.23 per cent, totaling Rs1146. 

    Onion prices rose by 1.2 per cent, and various pulses witnessed increases.

    In contrast, potato prices per kilogramme dropped significantly by 13.17 per cent, reaching Rs76.8/kg, and petrol recorded a decrease of 4.97 per cent per litre, settling at Rs268.41. Hi-Speed Diesel also saw a decline of 4.68 per cent, reaching Rs277.29 per litre. 

    Tomatoes and refined sugar experienced decreases of 3.45 per cent and 1.16 per cent, respectively.

    Several essential commodities, including bread, beef, mutton, and various household items, maintained stable prices during the week with no significant fluctuations.

  • Cost of living rises: SPI records increase in weekly inflation 

    Cost of living rises: SPI records increase in weekly inflation 

    The Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) recorded a slight increase of 0.71 per cent for the week ending November 3, 2023, compared to the previous week.

    According to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the combined index stood at 279.08 on November 3, 2023, up from 277.11 on October 26, 2023, and significantly higher than the index of 214.88 recorded a year ago on November 3, 2022.

    Out of 51 items, the prices of 12 items increased, 14 items decreased, and 25 items remained stable. 

    The most notable price increases were seen in tomatoes (25.58 per cent), onions (25.25 per cent), chicken (10.79 per cent), potatoes (1.61 per cent), Lipton tea (1.58 per cent), eggs (1.30 per cent), garlic (0.50 per cent), basmati broken rice (0.19 per cent), georgette (0.28 per cent), and firewood (0.05 per cent).

    Conversely, significant price decreases were observed in gur (2.66 per cent), bananas (1.78 per cent), 5-litre cooking oil (1.62 per cent), 1 kg vegetable ghee (1.23 per cent), LPG cylinders (1.05 per cent), masoor pulse (0.93 per cent), wheat flour (0.62 per cent), washing soap (0.41 per cent), and mustard oil (0.32 per cent).

    The weekly SPI percentage change across different income groups revealed an increase in SPI for all quantiles, ranging from 0.64 per cent to 0.86 per cent.

  • Sharp rise in petrol price drives weekly inflation up, worsening daily struggles for Pakistanis

    Sharp rise in petrol price drives weekly inflation up, worsening daily struggles for Pakistanis

    The Sensitive Price Index (SPI) in Pakistan has risen by 1.30 per cent compared to the previous week, intensifying the financial burden on the already struggling population. The nation is grappling with ever-depreciating financial resources as it faces a sharp increase in petroleum prices and food inflation.

    One of the major contributors to the rising costs is the persistent increase in petroleum and oil prices over the past year-and-a-half. This increase directly affects commuters who have to bear the brunt of higher transportation costs, making it more challenging for them to manage their daily expenses, particularly when it comes to purchasing essential goods like food items.

    Although the SPI has seen a significant decline since reaching its highest level of 48.35 per cent on May 4, the overall inflation remains a concern. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the current fiscal year to be 25.9 per cent, which is still high despite being lower than the 29.6 per cent recorded in 2022-23.

    According to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the SPI has witnessed a staggering 29.83 per cent jump compared to the same week last year. This increase followed the government’s decision to hike petrol and high-speed diesel prices by Rs19.95 and Rs19.90 per litre, as well as a substantial increase in the rate of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).

    The outgoing government, whose constitutional term is about to expire on Aug 12, defended the decision to increase fuel prices, citing the recently reached $3 billion IMF deal as being in the national interest.

    The SPI, which covers 51 essential items, has seen prices of 23 items go up, 7 items go down, and 21 items remaining unchanged compared to the previous week. The largest week-on-week rise was observed in the prices of tomatoes, increasing by 16.85 per cent, followed by chillies powder (7.58 per cent), garlic (5.71 per cent), onions (5.50 per cent), powdered milk (5.17 per cent), eggs (3.86 per cent), and rice basmati broken (2.06 per cent).

    Looking at the year-on-year comparison, the prices of wheat flour have surged by a staggering 131.40 per cent, while rice basmati broken and rice Irri-6/9 have increased by 82.86 per cent and 72.73 per cent, respectively. This is alarming as wheat flour and rice are staple foods for the majority of the population, and such steep price hikes can exacerbate the existing nutritional deficiencies and lack of protein in the daily diet.

    Adding to the concern is the rising cost of pulses, lentils, chicken, eggs, potatoes, and other vegetables, which are crucial components of the daily diet. This trend points towards a looming food insecurity crisis in Pakistan.

    The situation is expected to worsen as Pakistan must implement the harsh IMF conditions, which revolve around higher prices of utilities and fuel. This will make it even more challenging for the inflation-hit people to sustain the required food intake, leading to further hardship for the already struggling population.