Tag: spi

  • Weekly inflation increases more than 38% as prices of petrol and food items hit the roof

    Weekly inflation increases more than 38% as prices of petrol and food items hit the roof

    According to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) based inflation for the week ended February 16, 2023, registered an increase of 2.89 per cent. The rise in inflation can be attributed to an increase in the prices of both food and non-food items.

    Food Items that saw an increase in prices

    The following food items saw a significant increase in prices during the week ended February 16, 2023:

    • Cooking oil 5 litre (8.65 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee 1kg (8.02 per cent)
    • Bananas (8.01 per cent)
    • Chicken (7.49 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee 2.5 kgs (6.76 per cent)

    Non-food items that saw an increase in prices

    The following non-food items saw an increase in prices during the week ended February 16, 2023:

    • Petrol (8.82 per cent)
    • Diesel (6.49 per cent)
    • Cigarettes (6.18 per cent)

    Year-on-Year Trend

    The year-on-year trend depicts an increase of 38.42 per cent mainly due to an increase in the prices of the following items:

    • Onions (433.44 per cent)
    • Chicken (101.86 per cent)
    • Diesel (81.36 per cent)
    • Eggs (81.22 per cent)
    • Rice irri-6/9 (74.12 per cent)
    • Rice basmati broken (73.05 per cent)
    • Petrol (69.87 per cent)
    • Moong (67.98 per cent)
    • Bananas (67.68 per cent)
    • Tea Lipton (63.89 per cent)
    • Pulse gram (56.93 per cent)
    • Bread (55.36 per cent)
    • Maash (53.42 per cent)
    • LPG (52.68 per cent)
    • Cigarettes (50.02 per cent)

    On the other hand, the prices of tomatoes (65.30 per cent), electricity for q1 (7.50 per cent), and chillies powdered (7.42 per cent) saw a decrease during the same period.

    SPI for the week under review

    The SPI for the week under review in the above-mentioned group was recorded at 234.77 points against 228.17 points registered in the previous week. Out of 51 items, prices of 34 (66.67 per cent) items increased, 05 (9.80 per cent) items decreased and 12 (23.53 per cent) items remained stable.

    SPI for different consumption groups

    The SPI for the consumption group up to Rs17,732, Rs17,732-22,888, Rs22,889-29,517, Rs29,518-44,175 and above Rs44,175 consumption group increased by 2.45 per cent, 2.73 per cent, 2.79 per cent, 2.88 per cent, and 2.94 per cent, respectively.

    Items that recorded an increase in average prices

    The following items recorded an increase in their average prices during the week over previous:

    • Petrol super (8.82 per cent)
    • Cooking oil Dalda or other similar brand (sn), 5 litre tin each (8.65 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib or other superior quality 1 kg pouch each (8.02 per cent)
    • Bananas (8.01 per cent)
    • Chicken (7.49 per cent)
    • Vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib 2.5 kg tin each (6.76 per cent)
    • Hi-speed diesel (6.49 per cent)
    • Cigarettes Capstan (6.18 per cent)
  • Weekly Inflation jumps 34.5% from last year due to petrol and food prices

    Weekly Inflation jumps 34.5% from last year due to petrol and food prices

    According to official statistics released on Friday, prices rose at their fastest pace in more than four months in the outgoing week, mostly due to rises in the cost of food and petroleum.

    Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) data showed that as a result, short-term inflation increased from the previous week’s 32.6 per cent to 34.5 per cent on an annual basis for the week that ended on February 2, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

    The week-on-week inflation figure also jumped to 2.8 per cent from 0.45 per cent a week ago. Of the 51 items tracked, prices of 32 items increased, one item decreased, whereas those of 18 items remained unchanged.

    The 34.5 per cent surge in prices is the highest increase since the week ending Sept 15, 2022, when the SPI inflation was recorded at 40.6 per cent.

    The items whose prices increased the most compared to the previous year were onions (up 556.36 per cent), chicken (90.9 per cent), eggs (81.7 per cent), diesel (81.4 per cent), petrol (68.8 per cent), tea (63.9 per cent), broken basmati rice (63.4 per cent), rice Irri-6/9 (62.4 per cent), pulse moong (61.1 per cent), bananas (57.4 per cent), gram pulse (53.2 per cent), bread (48.8 per cent), wheat flour (48.4 per cent), powdered salt (48.1 per cent), maash pulse (46.2 per cent), LPG (43.8 per cent), mustard oil (42.1 per cent), and washing soap (42 per cent).

    Prices of tomatoes (62 per cent), powdered chillies (15.3 per cent), electricity (12.3 per cent) and gur (0.27 per cent) dropped.

    On a week-on-week basis, the highest change was noted in the prices of garlic (17.1 per cent), gram pulse (7.1 per cent), bananas (4.8 per cent), chicken (4.4 per cent), mash pulse (3.9 per cent), masoor pulse (3.9 per cent), mustard oil (3.5 per cent), eggs (3.4 per cent), moong pulse (2.3 per cent), sugar (2.3 per cent), vegetable ghee (2.13 per cent), and broken basmati rice (2.12 per cent), LPG (17.6 per cent), petrol (16.2 per cent), and diesel (15.3 per cent).

    The SPI increased by 1.71 per cent for the lowest-income group (i.e. people earning below Rs17,732 per month) and by 3.3 per cent for the group with a monthly income of more than Rs44,175, according to the PBS.

  • Here’s how Pakistan’s inflation is impacting consumer buying pattern

    Here’s how Pakistan’s inflation is impacting consumer buying pattern

    In Pakistan, the real value of income has been undermined by inflation, while high interest rates have raised the cost of borrowing.

    Record inflation rates have dominated news for the past year, coupled with supply chain problems, material shortages, elevated fuel prices, and vegetable prices that increased by 500 per cent in September.

    According to a poll by Pulse Consultant, which was conducted in August 2022, 78 per cent of Pakistanis think that their country’s economy is going on the wrong path. Inflation has affected 66 per cent of people hard, and 12 per cent of people say their expenses aren’t keeping up.

    Pulse Consultant asked an open-ended question in a nationwide computer-assisted telephonic study in which more than 1,600 people across the country responded and revealed how they are dealing with the current wave of inflation.

    The following are the areas where customers lowered their spending:

    • Reduced Grocery Purchasing – 24 per cent
    • Avoid Going Out – 18 per cent
    • Stop Unnecessary Shopping – 16 per cent
    • Reduced Fast Food – 10 per cent
    • Reduced Overall Expenses -9 per cent
    • Save Petrol – 7 per cent
    • Reduced Children Expenses – 5 per cent
    • Avoid Beauty Parlor / Salon – 3 per cent
    • Save Electricity – 3 per cent
    • Avoid Family Gatherings – 3 per cent
    • Reduced Meat Consumption – 2 per cent

    In Pakistan, CPI inflation increased to 27.3 per cent in August 2022 from 12.1 per cent in January 2022. There are a number of causes for the sudden rise in inflation, despite the fact that core inflation (excluding oil and food costs) is at 18 per cent. The incidence of imported inflation has increased as a result of the rupee’s depreciation. From April through August 2022, the rupee’s value against the US dollar decreased by around 23 per cent.

    Pakistani currency is presently strengthening as a result of the restoration of the IMF package following its derailment last winter. Additionally, even though the oil bill still accounts for around 26–30 per cent of all imports, import reduction has improved the current account situation. The administration has promised to pass along any decrease in oil prices to the public.

    The lag effect of the significant budget deficit experienced in the previous year is one of the other primary causes of the high level of inflation. In contrast to the 4.2 per cent agreed upon with the IMF, the budget deficit during the FY ending on June 30, 2022, reached as high as Rs6,900 billion, or about 9 per cent of GDP.

    In addition, $20 billion in debt, as opposed to $53 billion between 2008 and 2018, was committed over the past four years. As a result, more money is being spent in pursuit of fewer commodities.

    The challenges of recession and skyrocketing inflation are pretty much universal. Despite having low inflation rates, China and Japan’s economies are expected to slow down. Inflation is being fueled by earlier Covid and current high oil, gas, and commodity costs in the wake of the Ukraine war, which is slowing growth.

  • Weekly inflation down 8.1% due to lower FCA, timely import of vegetables

    Weekly inflation down 8.1% due to lower FCA, timely import of vegetables

    Weekly inflation measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ending September 22, 2022, decreased by 8.11 per cent.

    The year-over-year (YoY) trend shows a rise of 29.28 per cent, which is down around 11 per cent from the 40.58 per cent observed last week. The YoY rise stayed above 40 per cent during the previous five weeks, reaching an all-time high of 45.50 per cent.

    The price increase over the previous year was mostly brought on by an increase in prices of tomatoes (117.55 per cent), diesel (105.12 per cent), petrol (91.87 per cent), pulse masoor (75.38 per cent), pulse gram (73.55 per cent), mustard oil (65.64 per cent), cooking oil-5 litre (63.63 per cent), washing soap (61.50 per cent), vegetable ghee-2.5 kg (59.42 per cent), pulse mash (56.93 per cent), vegetable ghee-1 kg (56.09 per cent), onions (50.83per cent) and LPG (49.89 per cent), while decrease was observed in the prices of electricity for q1 (45.61 per cent), chilies powder (43.05 per cent), sugar (19.20 per cent) and gur (3.37 per cent).

    According to the most recent PBS data issued on Friday, the SPI for the week under review in the aforementioned category was recorded at 203.21 points compared to 221.14 points observed in the previous week.

    Out of 51 items, 26 items (50.98 per cent) saw price increases during the week, 10 items (19.61 per cent) saw price decreases, and prices of 15 items (29.41 per cent) remain unchanged.

    For the first quarter, power charges were among the items whose average prices decreased on a week-over-week (WoW) basis showing a decrease of 64.23 per cent.

    Other items which recorded a decrease include tomatoes (8.15 per cent), LPG (3.82 per cent), bananas (1.90 per cent), garlic (1.31 per cent), pulse masoor (0.99 per cent), cooking oil-dalda or other similar brand (sn), 5 litre tin each (0.78 per cent), onions (0.46 per cent), vegetable ghee-dalda/habib 2.5 kg tin each (0.34 per cent) and vegetable ghee-dalda/habib or other superior quality 1 kg pouch each (0.06 per cent).

    The general populace has been impacted by the heavy rains and flooding since they are lacking in basic commodities while supply lines for food products have been disrupted.

    On the other hand, timely imports from Iran and Afghanistan are accountable for the decrease in vegetable prices, particularly for onions and tomatoes.

  • Weekly inflation decreases only 0.58 per cent from record high

    Weekly inflation decreases only 0.58 per cent from record high

    According to Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the Sensitive Price Index (SPI) for the week ending September 8, 2022, decreased by 0.58 per cent as a result of falling food prices.

    In comparison to the previous week’s record high of 45.50 per cent, the yearly trend shows an increase of 42.70 per cent.

    The year-on-year increase was driven by an increase in prices of tomatoes (144.25 per cent), diesel (114.08 per cent), petrol (98.73 per cent), pulse masoor (76.34 per cent), cooking oil-5 liter (67.99 per cent), mustard oil (66.53 per cent), LPG (64.98 per cent), washing soap (64.50 per cent), electricity for Q1 (63.03 per cent), vegetable ghee-2.5 kg (62.53 per cent), pulse gram (61.02 per cent), onions (59.97 per cent) and vegetable ghee-1 kg (58.19 per cent), while a decrease was observed in the prices of chilies powder (43.42 per cent), sugar (18.07 per cent) and gur (2.08 per cent).

    As per the latest data, the SPI went down from 222.85 per cent during the week ended September 1st 2022 to 221.55 per cent during this week.

    During the week, out of 51 items, prices of 26 items (50.98 per cent) increased, nine items (17.65 per cent) decreased and 16 (31.37 per cent) items remained stable.

    The items which got more expensive include LPG (10.66 per cent), wheat flour (4.15 per cent), eggs (3.96 per cent), bread (3.27 per cent), pulse moong (2.74 per cent), curd (2.72 per cent), tea-lipton (2.50 per cent), pulse gram (1.65 per cent), chicken (1.58 per cent), milk fresh (1.57 per cent), fire wood (1.54 per cent), potatoes (1.02 per cent), and others

    A reduction was observed in the prices of onions (41.99 per cent), tomatoes (8.11 per cent), bananas (2.51 per cent), pulse masoor (1.37 per cent), vegetable ghee-1 kg (0.55 per cent), cooking oil-5 liter (0.33 per cent), mustard oil (0.16 per cent) and vegetable ghee-2.5 kg and sugar (0.11 per cent) each.

    Highest week-on-week decrease

    Onions: 41.99 per cent

    Tomatoes: 8.11 per cent

    Bananas: 2.51 per cent

    Pulse Masoor: 1.37 per cent

    Vegetable ghee (1kg): 0.55 per cent

    Highest week-on-week increase

    LPG: 10.66 per cent

    Flour: 4.15 per cent

    Eggs: 3.96 per cent

    Bread: 3.27 per cent

    Pulse Moong: 2.74 per cent

    Highest year-on-year increase

    Tomatoes: 144.25 per cent

    Diesel: 114.08 per cent

    Petrol: 98.73 per cent

    Pulse Masoor: 76.34 per cent

    Cooking oil (5 litre): 67.99 per cent

  • Pakistan inflation hits highest level since 1973

    Pakistan inflation hits highest level since 1973

    According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), Pakistan’s Consumer Price Index-based inflation (CPI) climbed by 27.3 per cent on a year-over-year basis in August 2022 as opposed to an increase of 24.9 per cent the previous month and 8.4 per cent in August 2021.

    Inflation has increased by an average of 26.1 per cent in the first two months of the current fiscal year 2023 compared to 8.36 per cent in 2022. August’s inflation rate was the highest since November 1973.

    According to brokerage house Arif Habib Limited (AHL) the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of Aug’22 clocked in at 27.26 per cent YoY (+2.45 per cent MoM). This takes 2MFY23 average inflation to 26.1 per cent compared to 8.36 per cent in 2MFY22.

    CPI inflation

    Urban

    In August 2022, urban CPI inflation was 26.2 per cent on an annual basis, up from 8.3 per cent in August 2021 and 23.6 per cent the month before.

    It climbed by 2.6 per cent month over month in 2022, compared to 4.5 per cent the month before and 0.5 per cent in August 2021.

    Rural

    In addition, rural CPI inflation reached 28.8 per cent on an annual basis in August 2022, up from 8.4 per cent in August 2021 and 26.9 per cent in the preceding month.

    In August 2022, it climbed by 2.2 per cent month over month, compared to 4.2 per cent the month before and 0.7 per cent in August 2021.

    Further increase expected

    Rising inflation has become a major worry for Pakistan’s economy, which is already experiencing a loss of foreign exchange reserves.

    In the midst of severe flash floods that have resulted in at least 1,100 fatalities, extensive destruction, and millions of displaced people, experts have cautioned that the country will experience additional increases in food costs.

  • Vegetable prices soar amid low supply due to floods

    Vegetable prices soar amid low supply due to floods

    Extreme flooding has hampered the supply of perishable items from agricultural areas, driving up the prices of onions and tomatoes in city markets.

    While tomatoes cost Rs400-450 per kilogramme (kg), onions cost Rs350-400 per kg. Onion prices rose by Rs75 per kg week over week in the official rate list, while tomato prices rose by Rs234 per kg.

    The supply chain is hampered by road blockages and transportation restrictions in flood-affected areas, according to The News.

    Onion A-grade cost Rs75 more per kg, was fixed at Rs180-190, and was sold for Rs350-400 per kg. Onion B-grade cost Rs160-167 per kg, was sold for Rs235-250 per kg, and onion C-grade was priced at Rs180-200 per kg.

    Tomato A-grade price increased by Rs234 per kg, maintained at Rs320-330 per kg, sold for Rs400-450 per kg, followed by B-grade price increase to Rs290-300 per kg, C-grade price increase to Rs240-250 per kg, and B&C price increase to Rs350 per kg.

    Chinese carrot prices increased by Rs11 per kg, from Rs80 to Rs85 per kg to Rs120 to Rs160 per kg for sale. Fenugreek (Methi) remained constant at Rs250-260 per kg and was sold for Rs400 per kg.

    This week, the price of chicken also climbed by Rs20 per kg, from Rs240 per kg to Rs280–300 per kg, and the price of chicken meat by Rs30 per kg, from Rs362/kg to Rs380–650/kg.

    Cucumber Farm increased its price by Rs50 per kg, fixed at Rs120-125 per kg, sold at Rs150 per kg, and locally sold cucumbers were sold for Rs200 per kg.

    Brinjal price increased by Rs5 per kg, from Rs86 to Rs90 per kg, and was sold for Rs120 to Rs140 per kg.

    Price of bitter gourd rose by Rs10 per kg, fixed at Rs160-165 per kg, and sold at Rs200 per kg.

    Local lemon prices increased by Rs20 per kg, from Rs235-245 per kg to Rs280-320 per kg when sold. Pumpkin remained at Rs60–63 per kg, sold for Rs80–100 per kg, and pumpkin long was sold for Rs140–150 per kg.

  • Food price hikes pushes weekly inflation to 3.38 per cent

    Food price hikes pushes weekly inflation to 3.38 per cent

    According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended June 16, 2022, surged by 3.38 per cent due to increases in the prices of food and non-food items.

    The year-over-year (YoY) trend indicates a 27.82 per cent rise, owing primarily to an increase in rates of following:

    Onions (135.31 per cent), diesel (132.61 per cent), tomatoes (117.27 per cent), petrol (110.16 per cent), vegetable ghee 1 kg (81.76 per cent), mustard oil (80.88 per cent), pulse Masoor (74.77 per cent), cooking oil 5 litre (71.52 per cent), vegetable ghee 2.5 kg (68.47 per cent), LPG (60.97 per cent), garlic (57.72 per cent), washing soap (52.73 per cent), garlic (57.72 per cent (51.11 per cent).

    On the flip side, a considerable decrease was reported in prices of chilli powder (43.42 per cent), pulse Moong (18.06 per cent), sugar (10.79 per cent), bananas (0.83 per cent), gur (0.45 per cent).

    According to the most recent data, the SPI increased from 182.88 per cent to 189.07 per cent during the week ended June 9, 2022.

    The SPI increased by 2.85 per cent, 3.45 per cent, 3.10 per cent, 3.12 per cent, and 3.10 per cent for consumption groups up to Rs17,732 and Rs17,733 to Rs22,888, Rs22,889 to Rs29,517, and Rs29,518 to Rs44,175 and above Rs44,175 respectively.

    According to the PBS, out of 51 items, 36 (70.59 per cent) increased in price, 06 (11.76 per cent) decreased in price, and 09 (17.65 per cent) remained stable during the week.

    Increase: Vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib or other superior quality 1 kg pouch each (4.95 per cent), tea prepared (4.83 per cent), bread plain (4.37 per cent), toilet soap Lifebuoy (4.13 per cent), pulse Masoor (3.50 per cent), cooking oil Dalda 5 litre tin each (2.87 per cent), Sufi washing soap (2.33 per cent), mustard oil (2.24 per cent), vegetable ghee Dalda/Habib 2.5 kg tin each (1.93 per cent), pulse Mash (1.71 per cent), beef with bone (1.50 per cent), energy saver (1.04 per cent), curd (1.01 per cent), mutton (0.89 per cent), eggs (0.85 per cent), salt powdered (0.79 per cent), lawn printed Gul Ahmed/Al Karam (0.77 per cent), basmati broken (0.68 per cent), garlic (0.59 per cent), tomatoes (0.49 per cent), milk fresh (0.45 per cent), powdered milk Nido (0.41 per cent).