Tag: State Bank of Pakistan

  • Overseas remittances to Pakistan soar to $2.4 billion

    Overseas remittances to Pakistan soar to $2.4 billion

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) revealed that the inflow of overseas workers’ remittances reached $2.4 billion in December 2023, marking a notable 5.4 per cent increase from the previous month’s $2.25 billion, according to data released on Wednesday.

    On a yearly basis, December’s remittances exhibited a robust growth of 13.4 per cent, totaling $2.1 billion compared to the same period in the previous year.

    These remittances continue to play a pivotal role in sustaining Pakistan’s external account, fostering economic activity, and supporting the disposable incomes of remittance-dependent households.

    Despite the December upswing, the cumulative workers’ remittances for July-December FY24 recorded a decline of 6.8 per cent Year-on-Year (YoY), amounting to $13.43 billion.

    This decrease amounted to $982.8 million compared to the $14.42 billion reported in the corresponding period of FY23.

    Saudi Arabia

    Overseas Pakistanis in Saudi Arabia led the remittance surge in December, contributing $577.6 million. This figure marked a 6 per cent increase from the previous month and over 9 per cent higher than the same month in the previous year.

    United Arab Emirates (UAE)

    Remittances from the UAE witnessed a marginal monthly increase of nearly 2 per cent, rising from $411.8 million in November to $419.2 million in December. Year-on-year, these remittances surged by almost 27 per cent.

    United Kingdom (UK)

    December saw an uptick in remittances from the United Kingdom, totaling $368 million—a 7.5 per cent increase compared to November 2023.

    European Union (EU)

    Remittances from the European Union demonstrated substantial growth, rising by 19 per cent YoY and 6 per cent on a monthly basis, reaching $284.9 million in December 2023.

    United States (US)

    Overseas Pakistanis in the United States sent $263.9 million in December 2023, reflecting an 8.5 per cent YoY increase.

    This breakdown underscores the significance of remittances from various regions, contributing to Pakistan’s economic resilience amid global challenges. 

    The upward trajectory in December bodes well for the nation’s economic prospects as it navigates through the fiscal year.

  • Interbank closing: PKR continues winning streak, settles at Rs281.22

    Interbank closing: PKR continues winning streak, settles at Rs281.22

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) extended its upward trend against the US dollar for the fifth consecutive session, gaining 0.02 per cent in the inter-bank market on Tuesday.

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported that the rupee concluded at Rs281.22 after a rise of Re0.06. In the preceding session on Monday, the rupee had experienced a slight increase, settling at Rs281.28 against the US dollar.

    On a global scale, the US dollar took a pause in its rally on Tuesday, with traders expressing confidence in multiple Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

    This optimism is based on the belief that the slowdown in US inflation is significant.

    Meanwhile, in the cryptocurrency realm, bitcoin maintained its position near the highest level since April 2022, driven by growing expectations of the imminent approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF).

    These market movements were influenced, in part, by the New York Fed’s recent Survey of Consumer Expectations, revealing that US consumers’ short-term inflation expectations in December reached the lowest level in almost three years.

    A key reading on US inflation is scheduled later in the week, offering additional insights into the Federal Reserve’s potential room for interest rate adjustments this year.

    Futures currently indicate the pricing in of nearly 140 basis points worth of easing by the Fed in the coming year.

    Against a basket of currencies, the US dollar experienced a slight decline of 0.08 per cent, settling at 102.22, following a 1 per cent increase in the previous week.

  • Winning streak: Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.04% in fourth consecutive session

    Winning streak: Pakistani rupee appreciates 0.04% in fourth consecutive session

    In a resilient display, the Pakistani rupee continued its upward trajectory against the US dollar, marking gains for the fourth consecutive session in the interbank market on Monday. 

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a noteworthy appreciation of 0.04 per cent, with the rupee settling at Rs281.28 after a rise of Re0.12.

    This positive trend extends the rupee’s recent performance, as it achieved a 0.16 per cent appreciation during the preceding week, settling at Rs281.40 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market. 

    Impressively, this marks the eighth consecutive week of the local currency advancing against the greenback.

    The momentum driving the rupee’s strength can be attributed to the recent announcement of a staff-level agreement (SLA) between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

    This agreement pertains to the first review of the $3 billion standby arrangement (SBA), reinforcing investor confidence in Pakistan’s economic stability.

    A significant development contributing to this positive outlook is the notable increase in foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan. 

    According to SBP data from the previous week, the central bank’s reserves surged by $464 million on a weekly basis, reaching $8.2 billion as of December 29.

    Internationally, the US dollar maintained stability on Monday, with investors eagerly awaiting a crucial US inflation report later in the week. This report is expected to provide clarity on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. 

    The greenback’s recent rally was supported by a rebound in US Treasury yields as traders adjusted their expectations regarding the pace and scale of potential Fed cuts this year. 

    This cautious optimism globally has complemented Pakistan’s positive economic indicators, contributing to the sustained strength of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar.

  • PKR ends week in green, settles at Rs281.4 vs USD

    PKR ends week in green, settles at Rs281.4 vs USD

    The Pakistani rupee demonstrated resilience, marking its third consecutive session of gains against the US dollar with a 0.1 per cent appreciation in the inter-bank market on Friday. 

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee concluded at Rs281.4, reflecting an increase of Re0.27.

    In a noteworthy development, the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves experienced a significant boost of $1.3 billion over a two-week period, attributed to official inflows from international financial institutions facilitated by the government of Pakistan. 

    The upward trajectory in the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves was evident in the final weeks of December. Inflows totaling $852 million were reported for the week ending December 22, 2023, followed by an additional $464 million by December 29, 2023. 

    Cumulatively, an impressive $1.316 billion contributed to the SBP’s reserves during this fortnight.

  • Pakistani rupee strengthens by 5 paisa, closes at PKR 281.67 against US dollar

    Pakistani rupee strengthens by 5 paisa, closes at PKR 281.67 against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) demonstrated a 5.08 paisa appreciation against the US dollar during Thursday’s interbank session, concluding at PKR 281.67 per USD, compared to the previous closing at PKR 281.72 per US dollar (USD).

    Throughout the day, the currency reached an intraday high (bid) of Rs281.84 and a low (ask) of Ra281.8. In the open market, Exchange Companies quoted the dollar at Rs281 for buying and Rs283 for selling.

    It’s noteworthy that the local unit concluded its 13-day historic winning streak against the greenback in the first trading session of 2024, experiencing a modest depreciation of 3.37 paisa against the US dollar.

    In contrast to major currencies, PKR gained 56.27 paisa against the Euro, closing at Rs308.07 compared to the previous value of Rs308.63. 

    The British Pound saw an increase of Rs1.25, concluding at Rs357.49 compared to Rs356.24 from the previous day.

    The Swiss franc recorded gains of 75.99 paisa, closing at Ra332.01 compared to Rs331.25 from the previous session. 

    Against the Japanese Yen, PKR gained 1.18 paisa, closing at 1.964 versus 1.9758 a day ago. The Chinese Yuan lost 4.96 paisa, closing at 39.38 against 39.43 from the previous session. 

    The Saudi Riyal closed at 75.1 with a loss of 1.75 paisa from its values of 75.12 a day ago, and the U.A.E Dirham decreased by 1.28 paisa from 76.69 to 76.71.

    In the current financial year, PKR has appreciated against the Dollar by 4.32 rupees or 1.53 per cent, while the current calendar year has seen PKR appreciate by 18.73 paisa or 0.07 per cent. 

    In the money market, the benchmark 6 Month Karachi Interbank Bid and Offer rates decreased by 6 bps to 21.16 and 21.41 per cent.

  • Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee resumes winning streak against US dollar

    Interbank closing: Pakistani rupee resumes winning streak against US dollar

    The Pakistani rupee exhibited resilience against the US dollar in the inter-bank market, marking a 0.06 per cent gain on Wednesday, reaching a settlement of Rs281.72, reflecting an increase of Re0.17, as reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). 

    This positive momentum follows a slight dip on Tuesday, when the rupee settled at Rs281.89 against the US dollar.

    Meanwhile, on the international front, the US dollar experienced a broad ascent on Wednesday, hovering near a two-week high against major peers. 

    This surge is attributed to various factors, including elevated US Treasury yields and a cautious shift in risk sentiment that impacted Wall Street.

    In another significant development, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is poised to implement stringent measures targeting non-filers during the current month. 

    The initial phase involves the blocking of mobile SIM cards and mobile phones for non-filers, with the issuance of the Income Tax General Order expected by January 15. 

    The FBR is also formulating a strategy to disconnect electricity and gas connections for non-filers, acknowledging a current lack of comprehensive data on the electricity connections of non-filers.

  • Pakistan’s exports to China surge to $1223.5 million

    Pakistan’s exports to China surge to $1223.5 million

    In a noteworthy development, Pakistan’s export of goods and services to China experienced a substantial increase of 39.44 per cent during the initial five months of the current fiscal year (2023–24), as reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

    According to the latest SBP data, the overall exports to China reached $1223.532 million from July to November (2023–24), marking a significant rise compared to the $877.444 million recorded during the same period last fiscal year.

    On a year-to-year basis, the exports to China showed a remarkable growth of 36.29 per cent, rising from $199.058 million in November 2022 to $271.316 million in November 2023.

    However, on a month-on-month basis, there was a slight decline in exports to China during November 2023, registering a decrease of 14.90 per cent compared to the exports of $318.842 million in October 2023, as per the SBP data.

    Meanwhile, Pakistan’s overall exports to other countries exhibited a commendable increase of 4.99 per cent in the first five months, surging from US $11.915 billion to US $12.510 billion, according to the SBP data.

    In contrast, the imports from China into Pakistan during the reviewed months amounted to US $4741.099 million, reflecting a decline of 6.03 per cent compared to the corresponding period last year (2022–23).

    On a year-on-year basis, imports from China saw a notable increase of 10.71 per cent, rising from US $906.128 million in November 2022 to US $1003.248 million in November 2023.

    On a month-on-month basis, the imports from China recorded a marginal uptick of 0.99 per cent in November 2023 compared to the imports of US $993.401 million in October 2023, according to the data.

    The overall imports into Pakistan witnessed a significant decrease of 16.02 per cent, declining from $25.341 billion to US $21.281 billion, as reported by the data.

  • Inflation may drop to 20-22% in the coming year: SBP report

    Inflation may drop to 20-22% in the coming year: SBP report

    In the Governor’s Annual Report 2022–23, released ahead of the upcoming national election, the Chief of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) conveyed that the country’s inflation is expected to decrease to approximately 20–22 per cent in fiscal year 2024.

    The SBP remains committed to making decisions aimed at preventing persistently high inflation. Notably, Pakistan’s economy fell significantly short of its fiscal and primary surplus targets in FY23, resulting in a contraction of the real GDP to 0.2 per cent.

    During FY23, Pakistan, with a population of 241 million, witnessed its highest-ever inflation, leading to historic lows in its currency value. The situation was mitigated by a $3 billion IMF bailout in July, preventing an imminent sovereign default.

    Governor Jameel Ahmed highlighted in the report that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) surged to 29.2 per cent in FY23, aligning with the upper bound of the bank’s revised projections.

    The SBP remains committed to anchoring inflation expectations to achieve its medium-term target of 5-7 per cent by the end of FY25.

    Fiscal and policy measures implemented before and after the bailout are contributing to stabilising Pakistan’s $350 billion economy as the country approaches the national election scheduled for February 8.

    Despite missing fiscal and primary surplus targets by a considerable margin, the SBP emphasises its dedication to curbing inflation.

    Simultaneously, the finance ministry anticipates a moderate inflation outlook for the remaining months of FY24, even with the upward revision of administered prices, particularly gas prices.

    According to the ministry’s monthly economic report, Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation in Pakistan for December is projected to be in the range of 27.5-28.5 per cent.

    Looking ahead, the ministry foresees a further easing of inflation to 24–25 per cent in January 2024.

  • Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee ends 2023 with marginal gain versus US dollar

    Pakistani rupee demonstrated a slight appreciation against the US dollar for the 13th consecutive session, marking a gain of 0.02 per cent in the inter-bank market on Friday.

    According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the day concluded with the rupee settling at Rs281.86, reflecting an increase of Rs0.07.

    Remarkably, this signifies a closure of 2023 with the rupee undergoing a depreciation of 19.7 per cent, originating from its starting point at Rs226.43 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market at the beginning of the year. 

    Notably, on the preceding Thursday, the rupee experienced a marginal upturn, settling at Rs281.93 against the US dollar.

    A significant development unfolded as the foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan observed a substantial weekly upswing, surging by $852 million to reach $7.75 billion as of December 22, according to data released on Thursday. 

    The overall liquid foreign reserves for the country tallied at $12.85 billion, with commercial banks holding net foreign reserves amounting to $5.1 billion. The SBP attributed this surge in reserves to official government inflows.

    On the global stage, the US dollar appeared poised to conclude 2023 with a loss, reversing a two-year trend of gains. This shift was influenced by market expectations that the US Federal Reserve might initiate rate easing as early as March of the following year. 

    The greenback remained generally subdued on the last trading day of the year, hovering near a five-month low against a basket of currencies, falling 0.02 per cent to 101.18, following a recent dip to 100.61. 

    This trend underscored the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate-hike cycle initiated in early 2022 on the dollar’s trajectory over the past two years.