Tag: US dollar

  • Pakistani rupee witnesses biggest single-day decline against dollar in more than two decades

    Pakistani rupee witnesses biggest single-day decline against dollar in more than two decades

    Pakistani rupee dropped significantly against the US dollar in the interbank market on Thursday, as it fell more than 9 per cent during the intraday trade. Around 1:30 PM, the dollar’s intraday quote was Rs254.75, which represents a depreciation of Rs23.86.

    According to Ismail Iqbal Securities, “This is the largest single-day decline in both absolute and percentage terms, at least since 2000.”

    Earlier in the day the local unit was trading under Rs231.

    Experts predicted that as Pakistan attempted to meet the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) requirements to renew its bailout programme, the local currency would depreciate significantly in the coming days.

    While speaking to Brecorder, the Head of Research at Ismail Iqbal Securities Limited, Fahad Rauf, said it seems like the rupee has been let go today.

    “This is a market-driven rate,” Rauf said. “This is a sign that we are moving closer to reviving the stalled IMF programme.”

    The market expert said the development was much-needed, as capping the interbank rate only led to the creation of the grey market. He said that the development will improve the greenback supply to a significant extent.

    On Wednesday, the rupee registered a loss for the 26th successive session against the dollar to settle at Rs230.89, a decrease of Re0.49 or 0.21 per cent.

    Pakistani rupee on Thursday fell 9.61 per cent or Rs24.54 to a shocking all-time low of Rs255.43, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

  • Dollar inflows from next week will increase foreign exchange reserves: SBP governor

    Dollar inflows from next week will increase foreign exchange reserves: SBP governor

    Governor of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Jameel Ahmad expressed hope on Wednesday that the situation of Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves will improve as the country is anticipated to receive capital inflows in the coming days.

    “We are expecting inflows from next week onwards, which would reduce pressure on our foreign exchange reserves,” the SBP governor said.

    Ahmad reaffirmed his commitment to addressing the concerns of manufacturers and claimed that the nation’s foreign exchange reserves have reached very low levels. But as projects in the pipeline start to take shape, he predicted, “we will see a boom in reserves, which will increase our ability to support businesses.”

    According to the most recent SBP data, the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves dropped significantly by $1.23 billion, to a critically low level of $4.34 billion. SBP’s reserves are at their lowest point since February 2014.

    The country held $10.19 billion in liquid foreign reserves, and commercial banks kept $5.85 billion in net foreign reserves, according to Brecorder.

    To the dismay of many importers and firms in Pakistan, who claimed these limits as the cause for closing or curtailing operations, the SBP restricted imports earlier this year due to the low level of reserves.

    According to Ahmad, the SBP facilitated shipments under the headings of necessities, energy, industries focused on exports, agricultural inputs, deferred payment / self-funded imports, and imports for projects focused on exports that were almost finished.

    Prior to this, the central bank made the decision to remove import restrictions beginning on January 2, 2023.

    “Our capacity to export will build up only after we complete export-oriented projects, thus we have facilitated the timely completion of these projects,” he said.

    “We want to facilitate all the industries, however, we can only do so under our given capacity of inflows. We do not produce dollars locally, they come through exports, remittances, and inflows from lenders,” said Ahmed.

    “We are focusing on improving our capacity, and are also taking administrative intervention to bring our imports on a reasonable level,” he added.

    The SBP chief said evaluating the Letter of Credit (LC) is a time-consuming exercise. “We have cleared 33,000 LC cases,” he said.

    He added that steps had been done to control the current account deficit and that the central bank was aware of issues facing the business community.

    The governor stated that an action plan in this regard will soon be launched after the SBP carefully evaluates the business community’s ideas.

    He assured the business community that the central bank will ensure the approval of 365 days or over LCs from banks. “Similarly, if you have arranged a project loan, and yet the LCs are not being opened, the SBP will ensure it,” he said.

    The SBP had recommended banks to compel the retention of 35% of their export receipts in special foreign currency accounts in order to encourage IT companies and independent contractors to bring their foreign exchange earnings into the nation.

    “We are hopeful that the problems of the IT sector will be addressed, and as a consequence, our exports from the IT sector will increase,” said Ahmed in his address.

  • Exchange companies suggest higher US dollar rate to increase remittances

    Exchange companies suggest higher US dollar rate to increase remittances

    The government has been advised by the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP) to “set” the dollar rate to lessen currency market volatility as the country fights a severe economic crisis and declining foreign exchange reserves.

    The general secretary of ECAP Zafar Paracha said in a statement on Monday, “It is advised to fix the rupee/dollar exchange rate for export-import bills and remittances”. He further said these remittance proceeds could be received by banks and money changers at a fixed rate of Rs240 per dollar.

    Pakistani rupee closed at Rs228.34 per US dollar, compared with the previous close of Rs228.15 in the interbank market. In the open market, the local unit was trading at Rs238.75 against the greenback.

    Paracha suggested the government to set the rate of Rs240 per dollar for overseas Pakistanis and for inward remittance.

    He expects that by making the change, the official channel would be strengthened, remittances would increase, Hundi/Hawala would decline, and eventually, the grey market would vanish.

    According to Paracha, the exchange rate between the dollar and the local currency has hit Rs267 to Rs270. The offer could be made at Rs228 against/ the dollar in order to obtain exporters’ revenues. Additionally, the rate for importers would be determined by the weighted average of the exporter and home remittance rates. He said that it would help remittances and exporters.

    It will boost the nation’s foreign exchange reserve, encourage exporters to bring dollars, and strengthen the exchange companies’ remittances division.

    The country received $14.1 billion in remittances during the first six months (July-December) of the current fiscal year, a decline of 11.1 per cent from a year earlier.

    As of January 6, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves at the State Bank of Pakistan fell by $1.2 billion to $4.3 billion, just enough to fund three weeks’ worth of imports.

    Due to significant repayments of foreign debt and a lack of external funding, which have severely reduced Pakistan’s foreign reserves and resulted in ongoing dollar shortages, the country is currently facing a balance of payments crisis.

  • Pakistani rupee remains unchanged for the 4th time in a week

    Pakistani rupee remains unchanged for the 4th time in a week

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) once again remained unchanged versus the US dollar in the interbank market during the final trading session of the week.

    It is worth noting that this is the fourth time that the local currency has shown a 0.00 per cent change this week. The only change witnessed in the rupee’s value was reported by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on December 1, when the rupee appreciated only 0.12 per cent to close at Rs223.69.

    The rupee closed at Rs223.69 against the US dollar on Friday. On a weekly basis, the PKR registered an increase of 0.11 per cent against the greenback.

    Additionally, the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves declined by $327 million every week, totaling $7.5 billion as of November 25, 2022.

    For Pakistan, which has been frantically pursuing dollar inflows to meet its balance-of-payments needs, the reserve position is crucial. A low reserve level puts pressure on the currency, which has recently only experienced stability.

    As data showing increased US consumer spending in October encouraged investor hopes that the peak in interest rates was on the horizon, the dollar held steady on Friday but was pinned down near 16-week lows against a basket of major currencies.

    A stronger US dollar limited gains as oil prices, a major metric of currency parity, edged up in Asian trading on Friday on expectations for further easing of COVID controls in China, which might aid in the recovery of demand in the world’s second-largest economy.

  • Pakistani rupee depreciates for the 5th day in a row, settles at Rs222.67

    Pakistani rupee depreciates for the 5th day in a row, settles at Rs222.67

    The Pakistani rupee (PKR) lost 0.12 per cent on Thursday in the inter-bank market, continuing its downward trend against the US dollar.

    The rupee dropped by Rs0.26 and ended the day at Rs222.67. The rupee has decreased by Rs1.25, or 0.56 per cent, over the last five trading sessions.

    PKR continued to lose value against the US dollar on Wednesday, falling Rs0.50 (0.22 per cent) to settle at Rs222.41.

    In a significant breakthrough on Wednesday, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) promised the Standing Committee on Finance of the National Assembly that action would be taken against banks by the end of the month for allegedly overcharging importers when establishing Letters of Credit.

    The SBP informed the banks in person about the practise and counselled them to rationalise the margins they were charging customers, according to information provided to the committee.

    Additionally, Pakistan’s external debt and liabilities reduced by $3.282 billion from $130.196 billion as of June 30, 2022, to $126.914 billion at the end of September 2022.

    The dollar recovered globally on Thursday as strong US retail data challenged the recent narrative that inflation is declining and US interest rates do not need to increase significantly more.

    The US reported overnight that retail sales increased 1.3 per cent in October, exceeding economists’ expectations of 1.0 per cent, a positive sign but one that dashed expectations for a pause in rate increases.

    The dollar index, which compares the value of the dollar to six important peers, increased 0.18 per cent to 106.46.

    A key indicator of currency parity, oil prices fell on Thursday due to easing geopolitical tensions and worries about Chinese demand, though signs of tighter supply, such as lower US inventories, provided support.

  • US dollar may drop to Rs210 in November

    US dollar may drop to Rs210 in November

    Considering expected inflows from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Pakistan’s deletion from the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) grey list, the currency is projected to strengthen versus the US dollar this week.

    According to The News, this week in the interbank market, the local currency dipped by 0.89 per cent in value against the dollar. However, thanks to encouraging news from the ADB and FATF, the local currency increased to Rs220.84 during the last trading session.

    According to the analysts, assistance from multilateral creditors during the floods would help boost foreign exchange reserves and strengthen the local currency.

    The State Bank of Pakistan’s foreign exchange holdings as of October 14 totaled $7.59 billion, or nearly one month’s worth of imports.

    According to Tresmark, a terminal that tracks real-time pricing of financial markets, the rupee is predicted to trade at 216 to the dollar in the coming 10 days and 210 to the dollar in the coming 30 days.

    “This is because of ADB-related inflows of $1.5 billion in the coming week and $2 billion of inflows in the first week of November. Of course, this would not have been possible without the finance minister’s undervalued rupee mantra,” Tresmark said in a client note.

    Six months from now, though, would be the rupee’s true test, it was said.

    Analysts predict that the US interest rate will surpass 5 per cent (a level last reached in 2008) and that the dollar will continue to rise.

    Markets expect the Indian Rupee to be at 95 per dollar, the Bangladesh Taka to be at 115 per dollar, and the Yuan to continue declining, despite the fact that major currencies all have a bearish tendency. Although the dollar’s strength is an issue, the global recession continues to be of much greater concern.

    A 15-20 per cent decline in exports and a 5 per cent decline in remittances are anticipated by economists, even if the current account deficit (CAD) for September was practically at breakeven.

    They continued, saying that maintaining the economic winter would need sustained import compression and additional economic deceleration.

    Due to lower letters of credit being settled during the previous week, the rupee somewhat declined. According to market estimates, only around 50 per cent, or roughly $600 million, has yet to be processed.

  • Pakistani rupee continues to rise for 13th consecutive session

    Pakistani rupee continues to rise for 13th consecutive session

    The Pakistani rupee is strengthening versus the US dollar in the interbank market and increased by more than 0.4 per cent on Tuesday morning.

    During intra-day trading, the rupee was quoted at Rs216.97 at around 10:40 am, up Rs1 or 0.46 per cent against the US dollar.

    On Monday, the rupee continued its upward trend against the US dollar for the 12th straight session and appreciated Rs1.95 or 0.89 per cent to settle at Rs217.97.

    The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the central bank maintained its benchmark policy rate at 15 per cent on Monday, which was a significant development.

    However, market observers attribute the rupee’s recent increase to the central bank and other authorities’ efforts to curb market speculation.

    According to Brecorder, the United Nations Development Programme issued a grim warning on Tuesday, stating that there was a debt problem that was rapidly worsening in a number of developing countries, including Pakistan.

    Without prompt assistance, the poverty rate in at least 54 countries would increase, according to UNDP, and “critical investments in climate adaptation and mitigation will not happen.”

    Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Tunisia, Chad, and Zambia are the nations most at risk right now, according to UNDP head economist George Gray Molina.

    In other countries, the dollar loomed big over precarious financial markets on Tuesday, worrying investors with concerns about rising interest rates, global growth, and geopolitical tensions.

    The 20-year high of Rs114.78 that it reached late last month was not far away; the US dollar index was up 0.053 per cent at Rs113.12 at the time.

    An increase in COVID-19 cases in China and a stronger US dollar contributed to Tuesday’s decline in oil prices, a major measure of currency parity, as they sparked worries about a faltering global economy.

  • US dollar will go below Rs200 in coming months, says Ishaq Dar

    US dollar will go below Rs200 in coming months, says Ishaq Dar

    Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said on Monday that the actual worth of the US dollar is less than Rs200 and that the Pakistani rupee (PKR) will strengthen in the coming months with the correct policy measures.

    Dar predicted that eventually, the value of the US dollar will go below Rs200 while speaking on the Geo News show Capital Talk.

    According to Geo, the minister stated that the local currency value had been manipulated and threatened speculators with harsh punishment. He noted that the British pound just hit an all-time low against the dollar but added that the rupee will strengthen since it is currently undervalued despite the growth of the US currency.

    It is important to note that the Pakistani rupee strengthened today in relation to the US dollar by 0.51 per cent, closing at Rs227.29 after gaining Rs1.16 in the interbank market. The rupee has risen against the dollar for seven days running.

    It is important to note that after Ishaq Dar was appointed finance minister, currency speculation seems to have decreased.

  • Pakistani rupee gains Rs3 against dollar in early interbank trading

    Pakistani rupee gains Rs3 against dollar in early interbank trading

    The Pakistani rupee maintained its stability on Wednesday, the second working day of the week, after regaining ground versus the US dollar on Tuesday in the interbank market.

    Details indicate that the value of the local currency relative to the US dollar increased by Rs3.32 and that it was trading at about Rs234. Data from Pakistan’s central bank show that the rupee ended the day at Rs237.02 on Monday.

    The rupee has recovered a total of Rs5.65 over the last two working days thanks to the most recent intraday increase.

    Despite disastrous floods wrecking Pakistan’s economy, the rupee came close to hitting a record low of Rs240 versus the dollar but was unable to do so following many encouraging signs.

    According to Zafar Paracha, General Secretary of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP), the market appears to be reacting to the arrival of PML-N leader Ishaq Dar and the announcement that he will succeed Miftah Ismail as finance minister.

  • British pound hits 37-year low against US dollar as recession fears grow

    British pound hits 37-year low against US dollar as recession fears grow

    As central banks raised interest rates to combat soaring inflation, the pound fell to a record 37-year low versus the US dollar on Friday, raising concerns among traders about the economy’s outlook.

    Following the Bank of England’s Thursday increase in borrowing prices by 50 basis points, the value of the pound dropped as low as $1.1151, its lowest level since early 1985.

    That came after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by three-quarters of a point on Wednesday and hinted at further increases.

    Additionally, the dollar rose versus the euro, with the euro trading at $0.9753, a fresh 20-year low.

    The Fed has taken a notably hawkish stance, stating it would not relent until the inflation, which is near four-decade highs, is controlled, even at the expense of the economy, while central banks around the world are raising borrowing prices.

    The focus of traders is now on London, where the new finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng is scheduled to present a mini-budget to assist individuals and companies.

    On Thursday, Kwarteng announced he would repeal a recent salary tax introduced by his predecessor Rishi Sunak and would disclose the price tag for the new administration’s proposal to cap energy costs for both homes and companies.

    It occurs when the Bank of England issues a warning that Britain is on the verge of entering a recession as a result of skyrocketing gasoline and food prices.